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2/22/23
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,000,000. Rebel S. (Grade 2). THREE YEAR OLDS. last Q 25.40< 9 have derby nicks, 2 don't Talladega, Frosted Departure, : That is getting tougher |
PP | Horse last 3 races last 1st | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer Runup | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1L | Verifying E5 95L +9 86 G1 82 G1 | 122` | Geroux Florent 25.29 8f | Cox Brad H.60 | ||
2 | Powerful EP5 89 +b 61 G1 85 MDN | 117 | Castillo Isaac | Asmussen Steven M.45 | ||
3 | Red Route One P2 90 G2 sys 82 G2 77 G3 | 117 | Torres Cristian A. 24.93 8.5f | Asmussen Steven M. 60 | ||
4L | Gun Pilot EP 6 rf 90 L N2 89 L 1x 88 MDN | 122` | Santana, Jr. Ricardo 25.39 8f | Asmussen Steven M.60 | ||
5L | Giant Mischief S4 90L-S 99 70L | 117 | Ortiz, Jr. Irad Troubled trip | Cox Brad H.50 | ||
6 | Reincarnate EP6 98 G3 88 MDN 92 Mdn | 122` | Velazquez John R. | Yakteen Tim 180 * | ||
7 | Confidence Game E5 87 G3 92 OC 82 OC | 119 | Graham James | Desormeaux J. Keith 50 | ||
8L | Talladega E4 88 L MN 75L mdn 78 | 117 | Prat Flavien |
2/23/23
princeofdoc said...
I love how you find these off radar types
It's what I do but thanks for noticing. I suck at about a gazillion other aspects of horse racing, but being a longshot player I like to ferret out the ones that nobody has on their lists. I personally don't think he will be ripe for the Derby gate, but maybe preakness, I remember how last year I had figured out Creative Minister, who wasn't on anyone's list and it was only around February---- Just because I saw him in a maiden race and he impressed me. He had to be supplemented by the time the Preakness came around in May, so of course, that put him on the radar right quick (which disappointed me since I thought I'd have a little gold mine all to myself).
So, one that fit with that same idea, and didn't see on any lists I thought I'd share is Uncle Mo's Scoobie Quando
2/23/23
He's a jewel for the BC turf with what you mentioned and 5 or 6 of Northern Dancer Sons strong BMS line
Strong up the middle. 77% 8 generation Female linebreeding from The world for foundation
not many in North America. Motion or Clemente .
2/23/23
smartyslew said...
He's a jewel for the BC turf with what you mentioned and 5 or 6 of Northern Dancer Sons strong BMS line
Strong up the middle. 77% 8 generation Female linebreeding from The world for foundation
not many in North America. Motion or Clemente .
Thank you for this, smartyslew. I really had no idea what to do with him but I wasn't gonna let him go. Your suggestions sounds right to me!
2/23/23
I never heard of that trainer before. Last race finished 2nd to a Cox /Godolphin I think Geroux was up
at a short distance for what both are bred for at Turfway AW
2/23/23
Paolo Lobo.......he gets all that nice South American blood most of the time, you are likely to see his horses be like (CHI) or (ARG) and such. But yes, usually only runs at TP and AW. Remember Gayego? (won the AR Derby in 2005). That was his horse. He had IVAR(BRZ), Imperador(ARG)......Irwin has nothing on him when it comes to going to South America for new blood.
AR Derby new schedule is just so perfectly placed this year, exactly 3 weeks before the KY Derby. Not too far out, not too close up. Genius.
2/23/23
He had a string at Southern Cal years ago and very savvy and every race he's in today he's scary
Lot of Respect for him.
2/23/23
In the Rebel I will do one box of the 4 Lasix free entrants 2 Powerful, 3 Red Route One, 6 Reincarnate
7 Confidence Game: Rain Or Shine
I'll wait to see what the track Conditions look like before I make a bet Saturday.
Tough field.. On Paper.
2/25/23
I edit and put more angles for the Rebel on Message 1648 this thread
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
best pedigree mud stats Sire only----------- Sire BMS AWD
Confidence Game Starts 1913 % 21 7.1 7.5
Giant Mischief 1836 % 19 6.8 7.1
Talladega 1836 % 19 6.8 6.4
Frosted Departure 278 % 15 6.6 7.0
Powerful 146 % 20 7.1 7.5
Gun Pilot 121 % 22 7.3 7.6
Red Route One 121 % 22 7.3 7.6
Reincarnate 26 % 23 6.7 7.2
Verifying 19 % 21 6.8 7.3
Bourbon Bash 11 % 18 7.2 6.7
Event Detail 11 % 18 7.2 6.8
---------