In the Rebel I will do one box of the 4 Lasix free entrants  2 Powerful, 3 Red Route One, 6 Reincarnate
7 Confidence Game: Rain Or Shine 

I'll wait to see what the track Conditions look like before I make a bet Saturday.

Tough field.. On Paper.

 I edit and put more angles for the Rebel on Message 1648 this thread
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best pedigree mud stats Sire only-----------    Sire        BMS AWD                                                                     
 Confidence Game   Starts   1913   % 21         7.1         7.5  
Giant Mischief                        1836   % 19         6.8         7.1
Talladega                                1836   % 19          6.8         6.4
Frosted Departure                 278    %  15         6.6         7.0
Powerful                                  146    %  20         7.1         7.5
Gun Pilot                                  121    %  22         7.3         7.6
Red Route One                       121    %   22         7.3         7.6
Reincarnate                              26     %  23          6.7         7.2
Verifying                                    19     %  21          6.8         7.3
Bourbon Bash                          11     %  18          7.2         6.7
Event Detail                              11     %   18         7.2         6.8
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it goes more than that,  gdm is full to AK bm

The slop sucks today.

smartyslew said...

Also at race time might do a mix from the L free and these

 

 On Our List Racing in The Rebel:5 entrants:1 Verifying, 4 Gun Pilot-rf, 5 Giant Mischief,6 Reincarnate
7 Confidence Game

that worked. :)  

Congrats.  

I've never not bet Confidence Game,  in any race since the beginning of his career........83% ITM, and he goes off at 18-1?  
I am not a big bettor so only made about $200 on single w/p on him. 

We don't need needles........horses don't need needles before every race. 

Thank you, Congrats to you, glad you had a good day, my data had a good day

Maybe it helped  others like it helped me ,lot of it worked for this field.

I was focused on numbers 1 thru 7, 8-11 I tossed,  then 2 of the 1-7 I had at the bottom
Reincarnation Wasn't on my win because of his 180 ft Runup in a Mile race but I used him
the first 2 raced 8.5 in last, 3rd and 4th 8f  in last.

of my spread. It doesn't get any better than that. The Winner received a 94 Beyer, so time will tell

how good this group  is and Red Route One was 19 1/2 lengths behind and was still Last after 6f
and was  One of 3 that hit the Historical Guideline I use for The Last Quarter  previous race of 25.40

or faster.24.93 the fastest of the 3, Verifying one of the 3 came in 4th, and Gun Pilot didn't hit the board.

The first 3 were the Fastest entered at the Distance of the race and all 3 are Lasix free.

A lot to like looking at the data.imo

Not giving up  on Gun Pilot, I think like Creative Minister he may make a  good Preakness horse, unless Asmussen can do something with him before that.  I just like him. (in the way I liked Jackson Bend, too, just some horses creep into your heart).    He is still just very very green.   Red Route One has a ton more races than he did, under his belt.  

BTW, Zito is racing at Oaklawn, he's brought a few last year and this year, he just won a race recently.  

We saw What Graham Motion did with Animal Kingdom, We can't expect that high bar 

with this horse, still might be good on dirt with this breeding.

smartyslew said:

We saw What Graham Motion did with Animal Kingdom, We can't expect that high bar  with this horse, still might be good on dirt with this breeding"

------That great one, Animal Kingdom, was the one who put in the tool kit..

Turf to dirt cha cha..

Still giving Private Creed (24/1 in Risen Star) /appears to date grasser/dirt challenged; a look at, as perhaps he didn't like running later in the day, first time under the lights. Final time was very slow as compared to other Delta Beyers that day with proven horses in substantial purses, as well as favored runners in the Risen Star not running a lick.