smartyslew said...

Last year 2022 Louisiana Derby

Last year Brisnet PPs had the trifecta in perfect order.  Epicenter, Zozos, Pioneer of Medina.  Just like that.

Last year Beyer Leaderboard this time of year. Louisiana Derby winner Epicenter 98

thru 3/19/22 Beyer speed figures  for 3 yr olds, mostly route races...  ** one turn mile, no 2 turn races yet

Message 1632 this thread Risen Star , the splits Suck big time

No body ran the last Q in 25.40 or faster, that is not a good prep

and on Lasix ,Single Ruler raced with lasix 3 times already. Suggest looking for troubled trips in Last.

smartyslew said...

Message 1632 this thread Risen Star , the splits Suck big time

No body ran the last Q in 25.40 or faster, that is not a good prep

The Risen Star wasn't a good race.  But at least it was 1-1/8.   I actually liked some of the races the horses who ran in the Risen Star raced in BEFORE the Risen Star, while they were still learning, and I believe they have matured since then and they also got something out of running 1-1/8.  I really liked Tapit Conquest's Jan 21 race  where he was learning to stretch out and how he showed at CDX before that he can stalk and then draw off and win by almost 4 lengths.  All I was looking for at the time was improvement from a baby.   He wont be 3 years old until.....tomorrow!  

Single Ruler is so darn pretty.......it was hard not to fall for him. And I also love his Jan race....he wasn't even 3 years old until this week either!  (March 17th).   For him to have run at FG like he did, way back in January, tracking the pace and sitting right where you would want a stalker to be, in his maiden at 1-1/16th  --- at that age, I thought was impressive and shows he was learning. 

I kinda like watching horses "coming along".....I know US racing fans are so used to seeing fire-breathers coming out of The Baffert Program, which ruins them early, I have no such expectation, and like to see if they are coming around by the time they are going to run 1-1/8 and here, 1-3/16th.   We will get to see if they have matured at all. 

I think going for a new shooter here, to run 1-3/16th, with such a very long stretch that FG has (a lot longer than CD, OP or AQ) is a lot to ask.  That is why I"m not going for the Pletcher or Disarm.   I think they are not ready to do this yet. 

So what do ya think?

Brad Cox has 2 in here that are Lasix free Who would of thought. LOL  Louisiana Derby

Both have the the highest bris speed figures in the field  and with out Lasix.

Which Lasix  Horse will improve to jump up without Lasix and finish  with the best numbers of their

careers to finish ahead of those  2 lasix free if there are no troubled trips is the question if you want to beat them.

I haven't got that far , Last year if there was a Pletcher or Cox L horse in a non L race thats who jumps up.

For some reason I don't know why ,it must be the feed, .

For what race:). 

From my Message1798 above, all was on there before the race and

This was there Data : Ave Dist Pace  Speed : Epicenter 102 102 87 96,Zozos 75 75 111 94, Pion O Med. 93 93 87 91   Came in Like clockwork and I didn't change it pre race, Some will be my own numbers from their mistakes
or I read it different. 4th number their speed number 96 for Epicenter
This was Bris numbers : not bad .filled the super 

this was my Numbers :Last Q :Epicenter 9f 24.62 1/8 12.45, Pion Med. 9f, 24.68 1/8 12.21, Zozos 24.14 3/16 30.04

Picking Epicenterr E8 to Win on a fast track, E types win 40%/ Underneath Pioneer Of Medina, Zozos, Galt,  Call Me Midnight, Rattle N Roll not fit for the win
6/ 2,3,7,8,9/ 2,3,7,8,9...... check back
---------

Not to shabby.

Louisiana Derby.

I know info isn't in that thread :)