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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 353027 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/7/23

Yes I knew that when I put that out there to begtin with and forgot to highlight it

and you already brought it up and its a good test to learn for some to do their own

due diligence beside you and me , it means you are the only one paying attention and

they could pick it up after your post added to the conversation and i'm leaving it and many

other angles I have left tidbits out and it shows you are the only one paying attention for some of the angles

that are laid out for people to find and notice on their own. It baffles me because its so easy to notice

and nobody mentions it. Or Maybe they are paying attention and only lurk.

2020 and Tiz The Law 9f romp is all over the internet and each Capper should know

that and thats on them.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/7/23

I'm sorry it upsets you, and it's a pet peeve I hope you retain something positive from it

even with its defects.

Rule # 99 1/2 When you decipher someones Analysis remove certain horses from it your self

especialy if the rest of it is positive ,that makes sense to my brain and don't cherry pick

I was behind on your sentences that  were  added after my first response. Sorry for that

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/7/23

Its all Good, you know I love your response's and feedback and I always get something positive

from you , i mean always. you absorb everything like nobody else I have met.

cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

6/7/23

Finally had a chance to look through some pedigrees. To my novice eye, it looks Tapit Trice has one of the lesser ones on the BMS side for this race.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/7/23

He has AP Indy on both sides that's good and perfect Placement and The Tapit/ Mr P nick that Essential Quality had, the Only P/P Tapit Sired Belmont Winner ,the Other 3 were P/N types.

Tapit has a test this year as A BMSIRE, and this field of 9 Has a good crop of Pedigrees for 12 f distance

and the pace will be a key and some like National Treasure to Wire this field,

that will be tough with only 3 wire Jobs in the 21st Century, 2 of those Triple Crown winners and Da Tara.

Gerh

From: Gerh

6/7/23

Interesting article.Thanks for posting it Rob.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/8/23

9 generation Inbreeding 1st chart, 8 generationFemale linebreeding 2nd chart
2023 Belmont Contenders
ANGEL OF EMPIRE C,2020 DP 4-4-2-0-0(10)DI 9.00 CD 1.20, 26, Classic Empire 4m/To Honor& Serve4r
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

6/8/23

FORTE C, 2020 DP = 4-4-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.79 1x, Violence 1g/Blame 5h
Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence
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Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

6/8/23

smartyslew said...

I'm sorry it upsets you, and it's a pet peeve I hope you retain something positive from it

even with its defects.

I hope you did not misunderstand.  Your posting great data is not upsetting. 

I meant that Baffert's horses, IMHO, don't really run to their breeding, and/or I don't trust it.  So when I look at stats, I just remove those from my view until maybe the 3rd or 4th pass.   Or in case of shortened race, I also delete those from my "view" when analyzing. 

Its just my way of how my brain "sorts" data.   

If I were posting stats for each horse/year, on a forum, like you are, I would of course, include them, and as  you say, let the reader/end-user, apply whatever due dilligence to the data as they choose. 

Was just pointing out how I assimilate and translate data, on a personal basis.  :)  Hoping it may be helpful to others.  

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