Hosted by Cindy Dulay (CindyDulay)
This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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11/2/21
Of the three MTR fillies in the Juvy Filly Turf race, most people will give more of a chance to Consumer Spending(Chad Brown) and Bubble Rock(Brad Cox) because of their trainers. I actually like Koala Princess' chances. Delacour will have her ready. His 21% 2021 win rate, and 22% career rate, speak well of him.
11/2/21
Consumer on a good path maybe following Sharing - maiden win Saratoga -Laurel Selima win-3rd jockey change at breeders /patterns are intriguing -this great betting race 8/1 no way on Consumer -can make case ( not necessarily strong) on 9 of field -super betting race
11/2/21
Your Welcome Dogs, As long as they are doing as many gimmick bets
why not a pick 6 for these 6 races instead of 3 doubles or why not both!
11/2/21
Tough pickin, Exacta and tri bets ,with hard pickin keys .
Who you Picken for the Classic ? I think it will be a 3 year old.
11/3/21
I am leaning towards a Max Player upset. In his last two races he has totally changed his running style, with spectacular success. I don't expect him to get near the lead with the pace scenario I expect, but I think he can be closer than usual, and get the jump in a race that falls apart. I know he can get the distance.
11/3/21
ALL..A teaser in sports betting is when player gets more or less points to cover if he in combination also bets the under/over. Two things have to happen. Same wager amount total $ bet and return for eliminating some risk.
Likewise there are many cards where the 6 is not hit and yet the 5 or 4 pays ransom doll-ors.
Also some tracks the 6s are a dollar bet and 4 + 5s are fiddie cents.
Going the 50 cents allows use of more runners. And if card comes up right not using a leg that is a 2 or 1 horse race.
There are some races where the tri or bet say comes up so short; I say if you don't have it, you can't stay and play some more.
In a pick 4 with likely horses and a using a bomb or 2/ or more in each leg one gets more spread for Piñata ticket.
This 2 day BC quality of proven horses; a spread on just 2 races Double could come back a negative payout. So doubles have to hard(er). Yet to wheel..would be 1 horse in 1 leg with the other leg the calculated leg. *one can see the DD Will Pays of course.
And the advantage of catching say 2 long horses in 2 legs in a pick, as RIP Steve M would say.."You have to get paid for your handicapping."
And again the great multiplier.. there are say 4 times the runners in the 4 than 2. Betting the bomb in a leg or 2 of 4 eliminates many with the short spread in legs.
Dogs construct whereas if the ticket runs soft might make a few bucks, yet if my ticket produces 'handicapped long ball runners my usual smile goes G1.
11/4/21
Thanks with all of that.
Dogs good luck this weekend and I hope your DD pays off.
11/4/21