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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 114988 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/10/21

Thank You Plus, That means a lot to me to have somebody That understands what i'm

doing ,evolution to our Window of time, that over laps with other Windows of time of the past and

future . A tidbit linebreeding (2 or more lines in a Pedigree) females Something Royal, Aspidstra,

Narrate, La Troienne, Mumtaz Begum, For the derby Winner in 8 generation Female only
Linebreeding with a strong Female to young to have 2 progeny in a pedigree.

Like Leslies Lady strong breeding to Storm Cat Line or Rasmussen Factor like

Narrate 2f in Justify's great  Pedigree IMO.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/11/21

This popped up today on Facebook from 2009 before Mine That Bird won the

Derby being the 2nd Derby winner after Barbaro to Have the Ran/ Mr P in The BMS position

That helped start The Window Time frame we are in today along with Fappiano/ Storm Cat

nick. Barbaro had a Turn To Sire line.
---
 

more on the Ran line in addition to the broodmare sire jinx.The K.D winners sire's dam sire line has no ran line either. also Real Quiet is the only winner with ran on the bottom pedigree(dams dam sire line}.
In addition to that Northern Dancer is the only derby winner to have Native dancer as a brood mare sire line. Ran's sire.Funny Cide is the only derby winner with Native Dancer on his dams dam sire line. Kauai King is the only winner with a Native Dancer sire line.14 derby winners have the Ran sire line.
and today we have the conduit mare profile to look at and to help us with the dams 50 percent.Charismatic,grindstone,Ferdinand,spend a buck,and genuine risk are the only derby winners going back to Bold Forbes Year to have more speed than stamina in their conduit mare profile.All but Charismatic had solid or profesional points in their Dosage profile. Charismatic is the only derby winner with more speed than stamina in his conduit mare profile without any solid or profesional points in his dosage profile. He was a Rasmussen factor horse. Outside of these 5 horses all derby winners have more stamina then speed or a balance of stamina or speed in their conduit mare profile.
  • Edited November 11, 2021 1:04 pm  by  smartyslew
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

11/11/21

Sweet. What Facebook name?

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/11/21

I wrote that on my private Robs Horse talk blog that I had on Facebook back in the day.
Facebook is making changes and the sight popped up today. Notifying me.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/14/21


|Thru 11/12/21 the Equibase 2 yr old leaderboard speed numbers for males
the first 6 finished 1st thru 6th in the Juv. turf  8 furlongs Race. The first 9 finishers 
in the turf were awarded a higher speed number than Corniche's 98 in the Juvenile @ 8.5 f
race.
-
1 Modern Games (IRE)      109
2 Tiz The Bomb                   107
3 Grafton Street                  106
4 Mackinnon                        106
5 Dakota Gold                      105
6 Slipstream                         105
7 Jack Christopher               104-  dirt
8 Nakatomi                           104--sprinter 6f
9 My Prankster                   102- sprinter  6f
9Stolen Base  T                  102- 7 th  Juv Turf
11 Commandperformance   100  dirt
11 Gunite                                 100- 7f sprinter
11 Portfolio Company            100- 8th  juv turf
14 Coinage                                 99-- 9th juv turf
15 Rattle N Roll                          99--dirt  g1 8.5 f
------------
16  Corniche                               98    1st Juvenile Dirt Male

---

  • Edited November 14, 2021 12:33 am  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/14/21

11/12/21 Fillies 2yr old Equibase speed numbers leaderboard
-
The first 9 place finishers in the Juv, Fillies Turf speed numbers are higher than
the Fillies Dirt Winner Echo Zulu's 100,10th and 11th place equaled EZ's 100 .
Echo Zulu is the only dirt runner on the leader board with 100. 18 listed
 
-
Pizza Bianca             106
Malavath                  106
Catchet                    105
Haughty                   105
Hello You                  104
Consumer Spending   103
Koala Princess           103
Helens Well               102
Cairo Memories         102
Wild Beauty              100
California Angel         100
Mise En Scene           100
Echo Zulu                 100  1st-dirt
Bubble Rock               99 turf
Mischievous Kiss         99 turf
Caironi                      98 turf
Anador                      98 turf
Full Count Felicia        98  turf
-
Gerh

From: Gerh

11/15/21

They have him listed now at 125-1

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/15/21

Thanks for finding that, Maybe another Giacomo in the futures only very strong up the

middle. I bet he's on many under the Radar list. How could they miss him for so long ?

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/15/21

11/19/21  top 2022 Kentucky Derby wannabe's listed A thru Z
I have none of the 2 yr old turfers on this list at this time.
That can change if they try the dirt and show promise to be competitive
tail female families are listed first.  edit 11/20/21 2.09 AM
--
9f Classic Causeway 
3m Commandperformance
1x-Corniche
16g Double Thunder rf 1x
 21a  Epicenter
19c Giant Game  rf 2d
3j  Howling Time
1e Jack Christopher
8h Key Point
4c Major General rf 3L
2f Mannix rf 2d
12b Messier
3g Mo Donegal
4m Octane  rf  1x
13 Overstep 
1x- Oviatt Class
2h Pappacap
16g Pinehurst
17b Rattle N Roll
10a Rockefeller rf  2s
42  Strava
1n Zatip 
------------------------------
Waiting in the Wings
-
12b Affable Monarch
22c Cajuns Magic
21a Freelancer rf 2s
14c Higher Standard
9f  HP Moon     8/21/21 ?
4r Kamui 
26 Rocket Dawg
4r  Shipsational
12c Simplification rf 12c
6d Smile Happy
1e  Spartan Army
9e White Abarrio
3i Winterwood 
2b Witty rf 1x
-
  • Edited November 20, 2021 2:10 am  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

11/21/21

10/1/21 starter list  updated 11/20/21
2 turn 2 yr old prospects for the fall and BC Juvenile races including turf prospects
Separate  from the other 2 yr old lists . 8 f and longer 2 turn prospects
Male list. I've  added the female list and not finished with it yet. when finished 
-
Males
----
Achilles Heel (T)
Albahr (GB)(T) g1 last Q 23.29
Annapolis (T) 1st g2 8.5f 1.41.04
Armor (T) sprinter
Bayside Boy (T) 1st g2 doncaster
Be Like Clint (AW) off the turf
Ben Diesel
Big Country  front runner dirt
Biz Biz Buzz (T) sprinter
Brit's  Wit  (T)
Bourbon Heist 4th g3
Call Me Midnight
Chancellor Bay RF 4th STK-checked bad
Chaotic Tempo (T) 1st MSW
Castle Star (IRE) 2nd g1
Classic Causeway-speed sprinter
Commandperformance  2nd g1
Corniche  1st g1
Curbstone (T) 2nd Msw
Dakota Gold (T) 1st stk
Daunt (T) 1st Msw
Degree Of Risk (T)3-g1
Derecho Dandy(T)
Dowaiac Chief (T)
Dr Perry
Dream of A Day (T) 1/16 5.73 MSW
Electrostatic (T) 1st MSW    last Q 24.98
Eldons Prince (T)
Epic Luck (T)
First Empire g1  4th
Flip The Script (T)
Fromanothamutha
Fort Washington (T)
G Munning elite sprinter
General Ken (T)
Get Back Goldie (T)
Giant Game
Grafton Street (T) 2nd g1
Grael  (T)
Great Britain (T)
Gingrich (T)
Heaven Street (T)
He's A Angel (T)rf 5h
Heston 
Howling Time
Ignitus  sprinter
Jack Christopher
...[Message truncated]
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