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More2/3/22
smartyslew said...
we don't have Dr. Romans data measuring energy used
argh. Don't remind me. Every time I think about him not putting out his info my heart sinks just like it did when we first learned no more chef-de-race website. It's like fresh pain.
2/3/22
This is his Cmp. not updated but tilted strongly towards stamina to balance his speed dosage .Conduit Mare Profile = 4-4-8-10-5 Speed = 8 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.71 Triads = 16-22-23
tail female family 4m.
Love to see him stretch out.
2/3/22
To All..
WADR the study of genetics (and Classically those infamous flys in the teaching of the math of progeny);
...
The myraid of/ and mathematical combinations is to scope the "Anomalies.
In Chemistry the exact finite measurement of elements, and then; say add heat, cold, pressure, distillation also does not equate to final product.
This is called "Stoichometry.
A recent post here by a gene capper said the Derby Winner had a combination of usually a sire and mare name of royality and that was to be taken to the window. Not too techie. To which I sent him a list of the last 2 dozen.
And the just days before the Derby, the pro breeding analysis of horses that made it to say in the Derby; they're already there. Formula all crop reduce to 20, and calculate their PPs in equation. Still 5 % chance of pickin' winner if soley gene pool is deciding edge.
A pro handicapper editorial narrative factor of a 1st time starter bred by sire with a high percentage of 1st time wins for the crop. I've seen high of 25%, but played out over say 50 to 100, that number shrinks like a bankroll of loser.
Derby winners are named after singer Sting's son, An owner asking his wife: I'll Have Another cookie. Gone are the days of whipping up a bowl of genetic stoichometry ? Spelling? and voo doo Dosage. Crop size, # of stallions standing and stud fee crunch the numbers as well.
Like WTH...a dosage 7; can't win.
Ah don't bet the farm, do 2 barn doors.
2/4/22
smartyslew said...
Speed = 8 Stamina = 15 Index = 0.71 Triads = 16-22-23
tail female family 4m.
Love to see him stretch out.
yeah would love to see him stretch out too, he's game as heck. But I doubt that would happen. Also too bad Ward didn't keep him.
2/4/22
Derby points leaderboard entered in this race: Mo Donegal 10 pts, Giant Game 4,White Abbario 2,
--
PP | Horse | Virtual Stable |
A/S | Med | Jockey | Wgt | Trainer | M/L |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Galt (KY) | 3/C | J Alvarado | 118 | W I Mott | 10/1 | ||
2x | Mo Donegal (KY) | 3/C |
2/4/22
Derby points entrants :Courvoisier 10, Smarten Up 4,Cooke Creek 2
-
r | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1x | EP 4Constitutionlawyer (KY) 7-2 | 3/C | E 91 9f mud | J Lezcano | 118 | R Handal | |
2 | EP 6 Grantham (KY) 10-1 | 3/C | E87 8.5f |
2/4/22
PP | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Messier 6-5 | 3 C E/P 6 | o | 120 | Velazquez John R. | Baffert Bob |
2 | Sir London 9-5 | 3 C E 8 | 120 | Prat Flavien | Callaghan Simon | |
3 | Cabo Spirit 8-1, | 3 C P 3 | 124 | Espinoza Victor | Papaprodromou George | |
4 | Wharton 4-1 | 3 C E/P 6 | 120 | Hernandez Juan J. | Baffert Bob | |
5 | Happy Jack-rf 6-1 | 3 C S 6 | 120 | Cedillo Abel | O'Neill Doug F. |
2/4/22
RAESFAN said...
Emmanuel has had everything his way thus far.
I hope he continues in that manner. He would be in my top 5 right now.
2/4/22
I like your holy bull picks a lot, but also like white abarrio and spin wheel.
2/4/22
This is a real solid field imo for this early, at the cross roads and don't be surprised if somebody jumps way up.
this is the 2nd crop in a row I really like as a group and I think the breeding is still on the rise
I look for it to be really good in 5 years if we get the Meds cleaned up and the window of time is a good group
of using the right Female families with the nicks and sires in 5 generations and the foundation of the 8 generation Females
and The sires 9 generation linebreeding is so strong to influence 4x5 ,5x5 high blood . 5 generation up close and the 8 and 9 generation
Foundation Supporting the single Sire and Mare up close with good marraiges thru out all Imo.