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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 214758 views.
pianot

From: pianot

4/30/22

Yes angle works. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/1/22

Early Voting skipping the Derby is a Big deal, He is ranked number 1 by bris for Prime Power scored at  150.6

Next in line is Simplification now number one  148.2 oh And Messier tied at 148.2 both, Simplification  was 3rd in his last race
lost to White Abarrio next with a score 147.4 , interesting, looks like Bris have Florida Derby and Wood ranked the best preps

by the prime numbers. Mo Donegal 146.7 is next, Smile Happy 146.6, Charge It 146.1 all ranked ahead of Epicenter and Zandon.

Who would of thought > the old scoring subtract 8 points from the Number 1 score.  148.2= 140.2 , anybody lower than 140.2

toss for the win. That's from In Due Time 139.9 and lower . That moves up 3 more within 8 points , that were toss's

with Early Voting  score 150.6, now the 3 Tawny Port 142.1,  , Cyberknife,141.6 and  Skippylongstocking  141.2 didn't make the field.

pianot

From: pianot

5/1/22

Smarty- you always come up with great data points!

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/1/22

thanks, Maybe that real Hot day during the Florida Derby had something to do with the real slow late numbers

in that race. I don't know.

sovereign1

From: sovereign1

5/1/22

Didn't someone mention there was a headwind for the Florida Derby?

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/1/22

yes , I heard headwind and sidewinds and hot , tomorrow we may  get the track  variant and its been

reported GP has had timing problems on many days.

PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

5/1/22

This year more than any year I can remember, post position and trip will have a lot more meaning.  Too many of these are so close that being too wide or having a bit of trouble will be difficult to make up.  No one stands that far above.  I've got to hope Rosario gives the wide trip he usually gives me when I need him, and not the practical joke type of ride where he went right to the rail.  EP Front runners more likely to get their trip and avoid the trouble if they can last and keep pace down.  SH on a far post will put him too wide as he was in the BG.  Frenchie will be choking his as usual so you cannot count on the EP.  I think I'll be leaning to the speed horses filling in with some of the later runners, but there as not been a lot of late runners other than Zandon, I'm inclined to toss all those Wood LP figs.  TTB is interesting to me as I liked his race, but have not seen where I think he can translate that to real dirt to be effective.

pianot

From: pianot

5/1/22

What do you think the pace will be? I dont see a smoking one by any means. So speed could hold.

PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

5/1/22

I am not expecting a fast pace, mid 47 at most which is why I am leaning to the speedier horses over the others.  That pace will give some a break from what they have been seeing, never losing to the horse they were chasing.  Who will make him chase?

pianot

From: pianot

5/1/22

Got see PP draw before I can even comment.

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