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Kentucky Derby 2022 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 12/2/21 by DogsUp; 44522 views.
In reply toRe: msg 171
DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Apr-18

MO DONEGAL

Joe-L Rosario rode winner in..The Wood. Colt's final time and maneuverability is Delta good.

JOEL will ride the present today favorite in the Kentucky Derby..Epicenter. Say he goes off 2nd choice.

Hoofnote: A jockeys race: Flavin Prat should go Off the favorite come gate.

The Wood final time is significantly promising, as compared to years past.

It has been 22  years since Derby winner scored out of The Wood.

Jockey for Mo D is top of the heap, hey number one; king of the hill (lyrics from New York NY) yet never won the Kentucky Derby. 

The Wood Memorial is one of the prep races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Between 1930 and 2000, eleven winners of the Wood Memorial went on to win the Kentucky Derby (Gallant FoxTwenty GrandJohnstownCount FleetHoop Jr.AssaultFoolish PleasureBold ForbesSeattle SlewPleasant Colony and 
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Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Apr-18

Yes, I knew already they only run 1F at auction.  I thought I said that in one of my other posts.  Anyway....

Yes, putting in horses, taking out horses, last minute, is a pain.  For me it was Mr. Big News, dunno how he got left out with that "33" in his classic spot in profile plus his overall ped was good. 

Problem now is that defections so far has led to 2 horses getting in that I like, Tawny and Charge It.   What I was saying I need is 1 or 2 more horses to join the gate that I do NOT like.   That makes our handicapping easier when that happens, right?   

In reply toRe: msg 173
DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Apr-18

Taiba ....is baby girl naming mainly popular in Muslim religion and its main origin is Arabic. Taiba name meanings is One who refrains from evil-doings, repentant.

Trainer + blood stock agent insisted a no go into Santa Anita. Owner said in my opinion the golden rule is final answer.

My post of December 2nd below and today's Delta review ( in bracket )

Dec-2

My crystal dog bowl has me thinking:

Goldolphin  (no go)

Doug O'Neill colt (Andy out - Doug will race a vanity runner)

And scrutiny of a colt that will emerge on the radar list due to the inheritance of a colt that Baffert forfeited.  (WOW..I can hear this owner of Derby 2021 DQed calmly with polish accepting the trophy.)

Long shot jockey Kent D. (Hey at 500-1 a $20 bet gets $10K and gotta' win)

And a Japanese entry. (no go)

TAIBA's experience on the dirt surface @ Santa A, and the Time fractions...fits the times needed in Derby on that surface.

Transactional time and surface.

Mike Smith will go out early and take colt to the front for as long as they can go.

Mike Smith will ride as in 2012 Dby as favorite like this;

https://youtu.be/5tn9hye7U6g

In reply toRe: msg 175
DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Apr-18

Morello named after guitar player: not drummer, Joe, of Take Five Dave Brubeck fame.

Taking a guess connections will seek a buy in sponsor to experience the pre- Derby wine and cheese and experience of having a gater in the Big Rose Run.

Horses do not attack their fears. They run. Fight vs Flight. 

Morello memory of hitting his head on metal gate in Wood  and bleeding late; coupled with non elite jockey (give up 2/3 seconds skill set) doubtful a top 3er.

By now connections connections perhaps would have announced not ready for  a bet-ie.

Morello was my drumming idol from my teens. He might be a "stick in on name basis.  As one of maybe 5 lifetime. My last stick in was after the son of a dear women friend Eben Carle; who I helped raise as a child. Won Saturday @ Keenland.

That voo doo handicapping said: So even though, Joe may just run slow after fear remembering not to hit his head again from the gate; and the respiratory experience of FT bleeding; hard not to think Joe Morello 

pianot

From: pianot

Apr-18

See afew interesting so far, Epi,Mo, Early. Will see how it plays out.

Msg 1867.178 deleted
ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Apr-19

Mattress Mac just laid down $3mil on Smile Happy for the win in the big one!

Odds just dropped a ton on him. Might be the betting fave on that account!

twoshots

From: twoshots

Apr-19

I guess he has to lose more than he did last year.

TexSquared

From: TexSquared

Apr-19

With which bookmaker? Looks like (as of now) William Hill and Victor Chandler (among others) have him at 12-1 while the other bookies are longer.  

https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/kentucky-derby/winner

If he wanted the best odds he needed to spread out the $3 million among several books at 20-1 or better and place all the bets simultaneously. 

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Apr-19

All

Zandon is right where I want him in the betting @ least 3rd betting..It's a jockey's race alphabetically 

ORTIZ

PRAT (3 deep hope 4th or more)

SMITH

ROSARIO

One could ponder that if they all shook the pills and switched horses; the skill set rides would be as significant to each of their mounts (d)

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