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Even though I've been "blowing off" the Ky Derby this year, and rarely do Future wagers anyway..... I had to laugh looking at my beginning post when I started the topic, from Jan 21st, Future Pool #1, I had no idea what i was doing and look how I picked:
Biggest Regret: White Albarrio had run 3rd in the jockey club at that point, no Holy Bull yet. He wasn't even in the Future Pool #1 yet, but was 171-1 final odds in Future Pool #2 !!! pool closed on 1/23-- he had not run in the Holy Bull yet then either.........really regret not betting into the futures on this one... if he wins I will beat myself up)
Classic Causeway had not won the Sam F. Davis yet. (44-1 in Pool 1)
Smile Happy had alraedy won the jockey club and was (8-1 in Pool 1)
Mo Donegal had won the Remsen ( 37-1 in Pool 1)
Rattle N Roll had won the Futurity (21-1 in Pool 1)
--Rattle n Roll
Still holding out for Rattle N Roll.
Good luck with those, stay with them until they proof you wrong and then adapt and adjust..
pyro won the risen star after a long layoff 10/27 to 2/8,
|2022 Kentucky Derby Future Wager|
|Official Field - Pool Five|
|#||Name||Pool 1 Odds||Pool 2 Odds||Pool 3 Odds||Pool 4 Odds||M/L Odds||Final Odds|
|10||In Due Time||-||-||37-1||48-1||50-1|
|14||Pioneer of Medina||-||-||-||71-1||30-1|
|16||Slow Down Andy||-||-||-||-||50-1|
|18||Summer Is Tomorrow||-||-||-||-||50-1|
|20||Tiz the Bomb||24-1||10-1||-||-||12-1|
|24||Mutuel field (all other 3-year-old)||3-5||9-5||2-1||4-1||15-1
I've been watching the 17, was holding around 15-16 to 1 until the last hour or so, hammered down to 5-1. There goes that one, will check around closing. Zozos has an outlier in the exacta pool, might but some bets down on exactas of ones I don't have covered in field
I didn't make any futures wagers. I told my brother to put down a few bucks on White Alborrio in Pool 2. He went from 99-1 to 171-1 at closing. I hope he wins for my brother.
SH has not been the right price in any of the pools, or in LV, since the fall.....I do like him, as you do, and I think we may get a better price in the Derby itself, possibly closer to 8 or 9-1.
I do have Mo, Zandon, Zozos, and In Due Time, all of whom I like, at attractive prices
He went up from that 5-1 to 8-1.... 9-1 at close. I did bet at 8-1 thinking if he won he would be less on KD day, losing, he will be over that, into double digits. Epicenter Zandon, Taiba may all be favored over him, could be others as well.
Mo may be favored too, as well as White Abarrio.....public usually favors the higher Beyer figs, and the 1st place finish. Workouts matter a small bit, as does trainer. I'm thinking 9 or 10-1 at this moment.
My wife has a future on White Abarrio @ 8/1. Abarrio might be the most overlooked horse in the derby along with Cyberknife who are among the 100 pt colts. I don't read a whole lot about either one!