This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
Latest 7:42 PM by SameSteve G
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Outside of poor post positions I feel like I am set... Too soon I know, just looks like this year there is less info available online early... It is difficult to find last years past performances outside of Scrib.. Just crazy how everything is about $
One thing of note, Charge it looks GREAT... I think he has moved up and who knows. Only wish he had a top jockey
You're all set? This is that time of year when I realize: I KNOW NOTHING! Capping this race is a very humbling exercise.
Charge It is like one of those back-alley street fighters. I don't know anything about his jockey, isn't Saez good for Churchill?
P.S. when I told that he was hard to handle (you go home tired after dealing with him all day) and reportedly "randy" I'm not sure if Dogs understood what randy meant? It means like Lani, just not as obvious about it. Ya get me? LOL
I have in my notes that horses who don't work at CD either win or don't hit the board. The ones who work at CD comprise the superfecta about 25% of the time. That seems to be somewhat true.
Gotcha oh Queen of the Mile!
Lani was one rare horse where we knew from the connections he was a head case.
So if now a horse loves the Belmont course surface; that makes it a Sandy.
Great off spring of Candy ride; a Candy
Horse that is always DNF and pulls up a Vandy
Gotcha oh Queen of the Mile!
Thats a classic!
I think with War Emblem it was called a Dandy.
Wintertrian said...Last race he ran was Arkie Derby 25 days ago and came in 4th. He beat Kavod and Ben Diesel, 2 horses who have never won a graded stakes race. He ran 4th in the San Vincente at SA and beat Happy Jack, another horse who has never won a graded stakes race and has only won a maiden.
Doppelganger, still a "Baffert 3rd string" to me ......and after the Pat Day Mile that's a sealed deal.
Maybe they should target a different kinda race for him. longer distance or something. Belmont? LOnger distance is where I give many horses a break since we all know there just aren't many carded here at all so we miss a lot of horses who "look like they aren't great" but really are.
Solomini was a good horse but one that Bafffert screwed up and was moved to Asmussen; people don't look at al l the ones Baffert screwed up because those barns are so large.
After watching Doppelganger run mediocre in the Pat Day, I downgraded Messier and Taiba; I eliminated them from all my tickets but one. Either Yakteen is not adept at preparing 3 year olds for CD the first Saturday of May, or the west coast crop were all overrated, I don't know.....but I did adjust after that race. Baffert's other horses that went Dubai also did poorly.....I mentioned in an earlier post that his very expensive colts did more poorly than in any other year.
Maybe because Bob is under the microscope he wasn't allowed to administer "stuff" to his horses. Usually his horses do well when travelling outside of SA. Now it makes me wonder if American Pharoah was really that good.
I’ve wondered the same thing before but my opinion is that Pharoah was special regardless of his trainer, just from watching him run. Maybe not TC special though and I think Justify was pretty much a lab experiment.