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5/22/18
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I'll do these contenders as i have time and it takes time for each
This is from Bill lathrop and some of you know i was one of the 20 to receive his last book
and i have his permission to use his data and i have been using his info on here since 2006 ( Cindys Forums)
The pedigree site is not updated ,the last year was 2011, also the GSV numbers they use are out dated on that site
i have done audible and he is a freak with the conduits and chefs placement in his pedigree
i wouldn't count him out becauce of the placement of Princequillo in his pedigree bred to Nasrullah line nick
up the middle powerful and with a Mahmoud daughter, the placements of strong female families throught his ped..
he has no chefs in 1st 4 generations on his sire side and only 3 in his 4th generation on the dam side
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AUDIBLE: old profile Conduit Mare Profile = 7-7-8-8-3 Speed = 14 Stamina = 11 Index = 1.32 Triads = 22-23-19
ACTUAL Profile : 7-7-7-5-2 speed =14 stamina= 7 index= 1.75 triads= 21-19-14
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5/22/18
Thank you so much for doing this!
as for audible being a freak, he better be, because not only does he fail on CMP angles, he fails in sire side dosage angles (DI, CD, no professional pooints), on Sire BMS angles, and Dam BMS angles.
One would really have to *believe* in this horse to choose him for the win, IMHO.
5/22/18
w/out Mr.Lathrop or Dr. Roman doing updates, and George Smith doing GSVs, I sense that it will be an increasingly difficult task to have information we will be able to use. Most of us are getting older as they are too.
5/22/18
here is where it gets tricky for belmont winners at the time they were 3 yr olds
some have stamina numbers lower than 12, like Tapwrit, Creator.
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Tapwrit cmp profile 11-3--3-5-6 speed 14, stamina 11 index 1.40-
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creator cmp profile 7-6-3-6-5 speed 13 stamina 11, index 1.21
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American Pharoah 8-4-3-10-2 speed 12 stamina 12 index 1.35
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Tonalist 10-4-0-4-11 speed 14 stamina 15 index .92
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you still need to carry speed a distance of ground and having some speed helps most years to get 12 furlongs
or be a grinder like drosselmeyer. am pharoah is a freak with the B at 8 and the P at 2 off set with a 12/12 s/s
but his s/s index at 1.35 and help from his S number of 10.
Not a stand alone angle.
5/22/18
Audible cmp 7-7-7-5-2 speed =14 stamina= 7 index= 1.75 triads= 21-19-14
Justify cmp 10-3-4-6-7 speed 13 stamina 13 index 1.13, triads 17-13-17 ( that is positive)
hofburg cmp 12-4-1-5-10 speed 16 stamina15 index 1.12 triads 17-10-16 (high in the wings B & P) balance
5/22/18
smartyslew said...
Justify cmp 10-3-4-6-7 speed 13 stamina 13 index 1.13, triads 17-13-17 ( that is positive)
Perfectly balanced profile. Very nice
Hofburg's, too My question is, given the kind of high class speed Justify has, I am not sure Hofburg can run other horses down in the stretch Creator did to Destin in the stretch? We've got Bravazo, Justify, Core Beliefs (maybe) Tenfold and Audible who seem faster than he is...I don't particularly love closers in the BEL
5/22/18
thats very important and as you know i love hofburgs pedigree, saying that he has the wrong style
and i would like it very much if he was a forwardly placed style runner.
midnight lute had to be a sprinter because of his style, not his pedigree imho.
hofburg hasn't woke up yet imo. maybe he will at 12 f, he looked lost inside the 1/8 pole in last.
5/22/18
Audible cmp 7-7-7-5-2 speed =14 stamina= 7 index= 1.75 triads= 21-19-14
Justify cmp 10-3-4-6-7 speed 13 stamina 13 index 1.13, triads 17-13-17 ( that is positive)
hofburg cmp 12-4-1-5-10 speed 16 stamina15 index 1.12 triads 17-10-16 (high in the wings B & P) balance
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bravazo cmp 6-3-4-6-6 speed 9 stamina 12 index .86 triads 13-13-16
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tenfold cmp 7-5-2-5-6 speed 12 stamina 11 index 1.11 triads 14-12-13
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