Politics and Political Issues -  GOP struggle:Red state special elections (1842 views) Notify me whenever anyone posts in this discussion.Subscribe
From: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon Posted by host4/12/17 12:13 AM 
To: All  (1 of 66) 

Why the GOP should be very worried about what's happening in Kansas and Georgia

Washington Post
Democrats are going after two previously unwinnable House seats in a pair of special elections starting Tuesday. It's pretty amazing that Republicans have to defend either of them...First there was a seat in suburban Atlanta that looked competitive, and now there's a hugely Republican seat in Kansas that looks at least a little vulnerable as voters head to the polls today...Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Prices's old (Georgia) 6th District went for Mitt Romney by 23 points in 2012... CIA Director Mike Pompeo's old (Kansas) district gave Romney 62 percent in 2012 and Trump 60 percent in 2016.

From: Jeri (azpaints) Posted by host4/12/17 12:16 AM 
To: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon  (2 of 66) 
 137000.2 in reply to 137000.1 

Kansas stayed R...


From: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon Posted by host4/12/17 12:17 AM 
To: All  (3 of 66) 
 137000.3 in reply to 137000.1 

EXCLUSIVE POLL: Democrat Jon Ossoff dominates Republican challengers ...

WXIA-TV-Apr 5, 2017
An exclusive poll commissioned by 11Alive News and conducted by SurveyUSA shows Democrat and political newcomer Jon Ossoff dominating in the race to replace Republican Tom Price in Georgia's sixth Congressional district.  ... In the 11Alive poll, Ossoff grabs 43% of likely voters. Republicans Karen Handel (15%), Bob Gray (14%), and Dan Moody (7%) round out the top four. All other candidates combined make up 15%, and an additional 7% are undecided. Right now, Ossoff polls below the 50% needed to avoid a runoff. 

From: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon Posted by host4/12/17 12:19 AM 
To: All  (4 of 66) 
 137000.4 in reply to 137000.1 

Can Jewish Democrat Jon Ossoff Stun GOP And Trump In Georgia Special Election?

Forward - ‎Apr 9, 2017‎

With Democrats desperate for signs of hope after Hillary Clinton's loss to Trump, Ossoff's underdog “Make Trump Furious” campaign has endeared him to national anti-Trump activists and pushed him well ahead of 17 rivals in polls.


From: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon Posted by host4/12/17 12:20 AM 
To: All  (5 of 66) 
 137000.5 in reply to 137000.1 

Dem Ossoff raises $8.3M in Ga. House race

The Hill - ‎Apr 6, 2017‎

Ossoff's campaign is looking to win outright on April 18, and polls show him nearing the 50 percent threshold to avoid a runoff after the crowded primary against candidates of all parties.


From: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon Posted by host4/12/17 12:27 AM 
To: All  (6 of 66) 
 137000.6 in reply to 137000.1 

Looks like the GOP may have barely pulled off Kansas, but Georgia looks to be their real risk:

Live Results: G.O.P. Keeps Control of House Seat in Kansas Special ...

New YorkTimes
Ron Estes, Kansas state treasurer, won the special election to fill the seat vacated by Mike Pompeo, the new C.I.A. director, in a district that President Trump carried by 27 points. He had 52.7% of the vote in a narrow win. (This story will be updated)



From: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon Posted by host4/12/17 12:29 AM 
To: Jeri (azpaints)  (7 of 66) 
 137000.7 in reply to 137000.2 

Jeri (azpaints) said...

Kansas stayed R...

Just posted final results...it stayed too close to call... The Democrats look stronger in Georgia and both parties have poured in massive dollars for that upcoming vote.


From: Jeri (azpaints) Posted by host4/12/17 1:16 PM 
To: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon  (8 of 66) 
 137000.8 in reply to 137000.7 

Crossing fingers for Georgia...

The Kansas Secretary of State called it early last night before the last precinct was all in because the counted votes in that area were heavily r.


From: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon Posted by host4/13/17 1:02 AM 
To: Jeri (azpaints)  (9 of 66) 
 137000.9 in reply to 137000.8 

The Georgia race is the most heavily advertised race on TV I have ever seen in my life (be in President or Congress).  Over HALF of all the ads on the main local TV stations are for this one race.  Democrats have funded it VERY well, as even with 17 candidates, one is close to half the ads.

Interestingly, the many GOP interests are not only running anti-Democrat ads but they are attacking each other.   NO candidate in either party says anything good about Trump.

Non-candidate PACS are also running ads, interestingly a number of which are PRO-Obamacare.    Besides the parties and normal liberal and conservative PACS, folks like the AARP are even running ads.

The key question, as you have to get 50% in Georgia to avoid a runoff is whether Osoff gets up from the 45% where he sits in the polls now to 50%.   No one else is past the teens.   And if he doesn't, will moderate and conservative Republicans agree on the number two vote-getter.


From: Jeri (azpaints) Posted by host4/13/17 1:20 AM 
To: Glen (GEAATL) DelphiPlus Member Icon  (10 of 66) 
 137000.10 in reply to 137000.9 

This is going to be an ugly, ad infested, robot call election...we're already seeing anti Flake ads and lots of calls on R candidates.   You have my sympathy...and good thoughts for the D candidate.


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