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Kentucky Derby 2020 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 2/3/20 by DogsUp; 37460 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/23/20

You Made Jackson Bend a player for many on here during that time.

I think before he finished 2nd to the Big E if I remember correctly .

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/23/20

I Think the Plan was to scratch one of them and enter the one they thought had the best chance.

a common practice for them

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

5/23/20

smartyslew said...

You Made Jackson Bend a player for many on here during that time.

Yes, that was back when we had contests.  Maybe 2 of us should host one.  I'm bad at adding up numbers, but I can sure try.  Maybe in 2021 we can have weekend contests again, or for the BC races.  That would be fun.  

I was also a big Brendan Walsh fan and delighted to see he is finally really in the limelight.  

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/23/20

Your 12 was on the rail in the Louisiana Derby and didn't like it like many young horses

and didn't break like he did in earlier races, and fought to get off the rail and came from 12- 14

lengths wide and came hard.  he is in shape . The 2 is scary hype horse. and Asmussen is doing a good job

trying to settle him in the paddock, a long tongue type.

your 12 is 11-1 and my 10 is over bet. I like those odds on your horse.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/23/20

a little bumping in the stretch 6 coming out the 10 coming in!

you don't care, you hit the tri if you bet it.

 I don't think the 2 liked the tongue tie S A is using on him.

In reply toRe: msg 129
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

5/23/20

Wintertrian said...

12, 2, 10, 6  ex box


Good Longshots would be 7 or 11 

Came in 10-6-2-11

Got the exacta, played 50 cent tri too
Didn't get rich but got it right at least. 
10 $4.60 $3.80 $2.80
6 . $4.40 $3.00
2 . . $2.80
$2.00 Exacta 10/6 $25.20
$0.50 Trifecta 10/6/2 $20.90

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/23/20

That doesn't count. you had to have the Super with the 11 in it, cmon

In reply toRe: msg 1
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

5/23/20

Re: Maxfield..The trip + chart reads about everything in a recipe for all the Derby stuff occurrences have to offer. Granted he ran against just a bunch of horses carrying just 118, Max 123. Short race. Late out gate. Could hurry early. Rated against jockey felt time pace, compression, ran behind horses, ran wide, split horses. Took to robust command. 

  • Edited May 23, 2020 8:52 pm  by  DogsUp
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

5/23/20

Max should skip the Belmont, 2 weeks away.

No matter who the high weight races against as you know look to see how the 118 pounders do

in there next few races and the quality of the field.In Maxfields last race ;3 or 4 ran some good races

after that and are compeitive. 

This time of year in this new structure usually about 20 have carried 126 pounds ,not so this year.

I haven't looked at the Belmonts structure this year, are they assigned 126 pounds?

also the other 2 that ran good today could run competive carrying more weight, its not there fault they were assigned 118 pounds.

I haven't done research this year to come up for this years model.

one opinion i have is it could be very competive and look out for the out of staters ,they are like all 3 years olds, more mature June thru September and the elite should be very good and some late bloomers

will be running in the preakness this year.

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

5/23/20

Although Belmont Stakes has dropped 3 furlongs and 1/2 million off the scheduled $1.5 mil...seems as a Jewel race the weight carried should go at the prescribed 126.

A quick look at the races left( see official Derby site),for points and some substantial $, owners and crew will need equation of lost total stable income revenues due to pandemic; how much they could potentially win (in exclusive 3 yr old races/ never to be run in again) and then yes add the Sugar Plum Delta...at what cost to get enough Derby points for a gate and be able to humn the song all summer:"See You in September."

The point schedule has a number of 30 pointers where a few can get knocked out. 

And as mentioned Monmouth Park runs a July 18th 9 furlongs with scholarship to Breeders Cup. I think there's even money they would offer appearance fee to connections vs having it in August where the likes of an already made man American Pharoah shows up for all due respect. 

This is also a good year, due to the Crown flop dates, to not face colts one will face in the Derby.

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