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More8/28/20
Caracaro,scratched from the derby!
We'll know if Pletcher scratches D. Post from Derby and points him to the Jim Dandy. I believe Rushie is a no go as well.
Might have to hop on Max Player as a closer for a super play, other than Tiz no other horse ran a 1 1/4 race. Maybe Max can pull off a Nehro type of derby and sneak into the trifectas??
8/28/20
Caracaro injured. I put a lot of stock in Castellano's riding. The Derby is one race he has not won. This will become a Derby with the fewest elite jockeys coming into the Derby with the colt that got them there.
I mean, Husker and I got a call to ride.
And in cases where the Derby jockey contingent knows the competitors/mount riding style, this will not be so.
That said. This would be a great betting race on an off track.
The key to handicapping now is to estimate where the runners can be at a mile and an eighth.It will be fast. At that call, the Hopefuls will be there. I don't think a closing lumberer can eat up enough final ground or be close enough at say 148..47 and change.
8/29/20
8/30/20
I had to do it that way as my message was moderated to you. 'THE Site' also has PPs for key grade races throughout the 1st September week.
I enjoy my everyday. But Derby week certainly adds a fine sauce to the pastabilities.
It's a Rock Hard Ten adventure.
8/31/20
I looked at the Vegas odds before the Post drawing and official track odds come Tuesday.
We have fav probably a come at 6/5=A. Next 3 incrementally M/Liners and most likely at post time=B. Others should, guestimation a cluster of runners some17/1 to 21/1..and then there is the rest bet by one day window visitors Selectively C.
But rhyming..the one left out, gets in. Invariably.
Citing a Derby like California Chrome's (owners even had a likeness in background) and got some soft horse PR. Public, no news, Tizzy as the Rock Hard Ten bet/key.
An A/C/B ticket would net @ 50 cents in the $800s.
A/B/B $75 _$90. At $2
This year predict some will leave the gate at 60/1 or more.
(d)