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Future pools   Triple Crown

Started 1/24/21 by smartyslew; 3797 views.
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Feb-20

Fine observation. You know I'm into the anecdotal information of a race.

This was a $20 mil-yon purse. Winner. TEN. LARGE. Jockey a mil at 10%. Agent 25%. And that agent represents Johnny Vee and Rosario. AND Agent stood close to making much more for just putting it together  

Short story Johnny Vee gets literally taken off a plane for Covid clearances and Rosario has foresight to update his credentials to make flight by a photo nose.

Antennas (Dogs) up this gave me consternation to not bet Knicks Go. Why didn't the agent forecast and check, war game the Covid + Airline needs. And JV couldn't rebook for resolve. BTW.

They weren't going to a neighbor's BBQ. A walk over..

I just felt they were not more than ready. Smith got out- jocked where it counted.

(d)

  • Edited February 21, 2021 5:11 pm  by  DogsUp
In reply toRe: msg 31
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-3

4 Into Mischief, 3 Tapits in pool 4

021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Official Field - Pool Four
# Name Pool 1
Final Odds
Pool 2
Final Odds
Pool 3
Final Odds
Pool 4
M/L Odds
Pool 4
Final Odds
  1 Caddo River 27-1 13-1 15-1 15-1
  2 Candy Man Rocket - - 35-1 30-1
  3 Collaborate - - - 30-1
  4 Concert Tour - 16-1 17-1 20-1
  5 Dream Shake - - 28-1 30-1
  6 Essential Quality 8-1 8-1 8-1 7-2
  7 Freedom Fighter - - 52-1 30-1
  8 Greatest Honour - 40-1 9-1 6-1
  9 Highly Motivated 18-1 24-1 37-1 20-1
10 Hot Rod Charlie 34-1 40-1 35-1 30-1
11 Hush of a Storm - - - 50-1
12 Keepmeinmind 19-1 19-1 25-1 30-1
13 Life Is Good 5-1 7-1 7-1 4-1
14 Mandaloun - 42-1 16-1 15-1
15 Medina Spirit - 24-1 25-1 30-1
16 Midnight Bourbon 59-1 26-1 41-1 30-1
17 Prevalence - - 14-1 20-1
18 Proxy - - - 20-1
19 Risk Taking - - 25-1 30-1
20 Roman Centurian - - 41-1 50-1
21 Rombauer - - - 50-1
22 Spielberg - 47-1 - 20-1
23 The Great One - - 38-1 50-1
24 Mutuel field (all other 3-year-olds) 6-5 9-5 3-1 10-1

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Mar-4

Damn.. The Great One + Collaborate are already on the radar. Connections will wak the best of 2 proportionately in this pool. 

Math now: IF one bet $20 EQ at 7-2 win = $50.  Versus May Derby bet $1 Exacta wheel..EQ all @ $1 exactly only has to come back $90 for same @$1. With chances for more

In reply toRe: msg 34
TexSquared

From: TexSquared

Mar-4

Always worth a look, compare the Derby future pools with the Euro bookmakers:

Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-6

Greatest Honour is the most Popular bet at 12-1 over there

Prevalence at 16 -1  is 5th most popular, and I haven't looked at him yet
so much more to learn. Thanks Tex.

top 5 popular bets:  83 percent have bet on these top 5 listed. 17 % all others

Greatest Honour (12/1) Life Is Good (10/1) Essential Quality (8/1) Concert Tour (12/1) Prevalence (16/1)

Greatest Honour  43.75 % of the bets,

In reply toRe: msg 36
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-8

IMO top Pedigrees : Essential Quality, Greatest Honour, Life Is Good

Prevalence, Proxy P/N(Tapit), Concert Tour , X= top Contenders,

N/P Midnight Bourbon, P/N Proxy, 21 others all P/P in Pool
4 Into Mischief, 3 Tapits Sires in pool 4. look em up,  

021 Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Official Field - Pool Four
# Name Pool 1
Final Odds
Pool 2
Final Odds
Pool 3
Final Odds
Pool 4
M/L Odds
Pool 4
Final Odds
  1 Caddo River  21a     8f 96 27-1 13-1 15-1 15-1 E 8      16-1
  2 Candy Man Rocket  A4  14 13c - 35-1 30-1     E/P 8    71-1
  3 Collaborate L  20b    8.5f 93 - - - 30-1 /        EP 4    29-1         
  4 Concert Tour  b  3c   7f  97 - 16-1 17-1 20-1 X   N           EP 6     17-1             
  5 Dream Shake  Lb  3h.  8 13c 6.5f 90  - 28-1 30-1 S4       71-1 
  6 Essential Quality b 1x 8, 9 13c, 8.5f 98    8-1 8-1 8-1 7-2 X    N      EP 4   5-1     
  7 Freedom Fighter  b  1n   7f 96 - - 52-1 30-1 E6      84-1
  8 Greatest Honour  8f   12f, 8.5 97 - 40-1 9-1 6-1 X      N     S 0       6-1      
  9 Highly Motivated  7a  6.5f 102 18-1 24-1 37-1 20-1 X        N      P6     36-1       
10 Hot Rod Charlie  b 11 d.  8.5f 93 34-1 40-1 35-1 30-1
...[Message truncated]
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DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Mar-8

The pool Today pretty much shakes out to what now appears the likely top 3; maybe 4. With what we know.  And fits my ticket construction if the race was today. 

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

Mar-8

Prevalence taking an interesting route.....entered this week in an ALW one turn mile at GP.  Trying to understand strategy, probably wants him to show his stuff, win by 8 in a short field, but then hamstrung for the Derby, unless enters him next in the final 9f. prep, perhaps at OP in the Ark Derby?

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Mar-8

Sounds like the Preakness strategy. orders come from the Sheik. (my Guess)

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