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Kentucky Derby 2021 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 2/28/21 by DogsUp; 49041 views.
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/19/21

The chances of getting a specific royal flush are 1 in 2,598,960 hands. 

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/19/21

We all got'ah make our secret (tomato) sauce and recipes based on....how much we are willing to bet on it. 

So if Joel no hit board = should have kept jockey for better ride.

Colt hits board= so would have original jock.

Wish you all/Steve a fun and winning Derby.

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

4/19/21

Not only a downgrade, but one must look at initial choices.  He chose to go to BG stakes to ride Untreated for Todd over staying and riding Dream Shake or Rock Your World in the SA Derby....

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/19/21

Agree....a must! not to have 1 runner that has to be in the ticket/ a must be to cash...

With tosses and keys in wheel about $150/$200 for a dollar tri usually gets the job done.

 Dogs Tri tick this yr may be like my Always Dreaming ticket (damn favs winning 7 yrs now). 

It had 5 winners/must win on top. Then bunch below About $160 or $200 cost for ticket.  40/1 return. IF the fav ran out still had live tics.

  • Edited April 19, 2021 3:43 pm  by  DogsUp
SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/19/21

DogsUp said:

Wish you all/Steve a fun and winning Derby.

You, too, Dogs.  :)

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/19/21

That's true, too.  

I have nothing against Rosario as I've said more than once.

In the particular case of RYW, I thought Rispoli was especially well-suited.

It's in the rearview mirror now.

Onward & upward, Prince.  :)

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/19/21

Gambling on the KY Derby in particular, is one of the few decisions where I allow a little bit of karma, intuition, etc. to play a role.  

That would be where I insert the "luck" component.  

Some people just have "strings" of bad luck, just like jockeys and trainers have cold spells. Rick Porter for instance, as an owner.  So yea, I let a bit of that ju-ju stuff creep into my wagering. 

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/19/21

All

Since 1952 when Wood began running 9 vs 8.5 panels..2021 Wood slowest ever. Husker has cooked breakfast faster.

Even though they gave me a record day...They definitely are never in my win slots. Beat me.

chroses

From: chroses

4/19/21

Every time I bet on Rosario/horse I have lost (if my memory serves me correctly). Does anyone know how many Derbies he has run in and won?

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/19/21

Rosario had ridden the Derby 9 times.  He won on Orb in 2013.

I was just reading the article in DRF when you posted here so I had the info at my fingertips.  

I had a bad string of racing luck with Mike Luzzi back in the day & it came to a head when I bet a horse he was riding at AQU in the slop.  The horse (and Luzzi) had a clear lead & then yards from the wire, good ol' Mike came off - the horse went on to cross the wire first which kind of made it worse since there are no payouts for riderless winners!  :)

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