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Kentucky Derby 2021 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started Feb-28 by DogsUp; 34631 views.
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Apr-27

Since 2013  I keyed and when they ran chalky I usually got my money back and some change.

I'd say my par spent was $156.

The Always Dreaming /Lookin at Lee Tri was near $8K. $1.

This year (as opposed to highly logical winners -like two TCers + Nyquist prior) I will construct the trap  tix cause other than Ess Quality + Rock Your World (thoughts of Animal Kingdom - turf to dirt) and visually bigger than a 3 yr old.

The horse and jockey and trainer and PPs create millions combo. For just 3. Falling into the right hole. If two of the top 3 have a bad day = $3200 for $2. My estimate.

4 days left!

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Apr-27

At about 1:08:Rock Your World strolls, like a bull in the AM

https://youtu.be/g1Y5QUyQaXs

This is the one who could beat all.

cubs.fan

From: cubs.fan

Apr-27

What's your tri structure again? 3x10x9?

  • Edited April 27, 2021 9:08 pm  by  cubs.fan
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Apr-27

That will not do it this yr with ten horses.

4 ..10..15

Break it out

Becomes 1 with 9 with 14

Times 4

The 4 on top repeat in 2nd + 3rd

$58.50 for fittty cents 

10/4/15

A 4/15/10 chance for LS or have Win ticket Twice.

Five tosses should be first step. A late scratch always helps among this beat me tic spoilers.

The track was fast Tuesday .

  • Edited April 27, 2021 9:49 pm  by  DogsUp
princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

Apr-27

Who are you playing in the Oaks, Dogs?

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Apr-28

Prince..Who are you playing in the Oaks, Dogs?

Great question cause where I am today...

Tuesday: I viewed results charts. Times fast. Even a race for maidens at Derby distance.

Wed: rain

Thursday. Iffy rain

Fri/Sat 10 - 30% chance. (and chance to ...?

So Friday surface + results will reflect my Oaks/Turf Classic/ Derby Tri Wheel..plus weather forecast. 

Note. The sloppy track "Last! Friday when dried got normal fast.

If races this Friday, early races create horses running past their odds, track conditions apparent, 

Pick 3 fri/sat

Play 3 runners *3Fav listed + maybe 1more due to if track not dried tight. 4.  

3 runners in Turf classic

Derby:Rock Y World / Essential Q

$48  (min $2 bet)

And Oaks I'll stick with Exacta this. Shear up the vig.*

*Read the Will Pays for Exacta. Bet accordingly. 

For Friday in general...rolling pics.  

Tight tris with 1 key. 

Double will pays into Oaks another good play.

  • Edited April 28, 2021 12:03 pm  by  DogsUp
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

Apr-28

Friday 65 and sunny

Saturday 74 and sunny 

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Apr-28

Weds 28.. Rain delaying at race 7.  3 45 pm

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Apr-28

We'd Ch Dw delayed racing @  race 7 weather

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

Apr-28

I just looked up the weekend weather for Louisville. They're calling for flash flood warning but yet Saturdays weather has a sun listed w/73 degrees?? That really puts a wrench in handicapping the race.

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