Horse Racing Forum

Hosted by Cindy Dulay (CindyDulay)

This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.

  • 479
    MEMBERS
  • 25682
    MESSAGES
  • 3
    POSTS TODAY

Discussions

Kentucky Derby 2021 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 2/28/21 by DogsUp; 49459 views.
In reply toRe: msg 417
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Jul-30

Hoofnote: The speed figures for Derby day also calculate into it a factor of the track variant.

The fact that the races that day; over a mile and quality Grade runners push the number upwards.

Also on fine track surface conditions, mother nature and track maintenance equipment, the variant will push up the number.

Yet...When it is a soupy track; the variant is still a factor for lifting the number upwards as other races with Graded runners are compared using the surface as a Delta or par as to the aggregate times on the surface.

And a thought that earlier races could be run on wet/drying surface and by 6:45 PM the 1st Saturday in May, the surface has dried and the maintenance crew has an hour and a half to spin some speed magic into the track with equipment and maybe aqua.

²Hoofnote: Maxfield is a free square Saturday, at...The Spa.

³ Dogs passed on betting/using the 5 win streak filly last Saturday. Dogs passed on The Haskell/Hot Rod Charlie.

(d)  

  • Edited July 30, 2021 8:52 pm  by  DogsUp
In reply toRe: msg 418
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Jul-30

Since 1992, 26 of 29 (89.6 percent) Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer Speed Figure of at least 95. This number would be 27 out of 29 if Maximum Security had not been disqualified in the 2019 Kentucky Derby, gifting Country House with a victory.Apr 20, 2021

  • Edited August 3, 2021 3:33 pm  by  DogsUp
In reply toRe: msg 419
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Jul-31

Favorites winless in the last 7 Jim Dandy. Dandies.

During that time, 5 winners of Triple Crown races have all been beaten in the 1 1/8-mile race that serves as the local stepping-stone to the Grade 1, $1.25 million Travers on Aug. 28. So the 80 - 20 rule says odds are good for EQ. Also super favs have exhausted the odds,by failing as in last Saturday 5 ror 5 Philly losing, Knicks Go went. And Hot Rod Charlie take down 

EQ faces colt 3yo-peers who just never ran a good race at the G1 level. 

1/2 is oddly the number el fresco. I say it to be $2.60 and South to $2.40. 

Avoid cave man tickets.

Buy -construct a full $2 (x number of picks in other legs ticket" The hard ten picks.

Then 50ty center with vigorish multiple horse in legs where using the potentials of a 7-1 or better sets your ticket compounding.

  • Edited August 3, 2021 3:56 pm  by  DogsUp
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

Jul-31

How many entrants a year on average have a Beyer 95 to their credit Dogs?

Msg 1621.422 deleted
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Aug-1

PP HORSE OD
1 Known Agenda 11-1   94   
2 Like the King 52-1 86
863 Brooklyn Strong 41-1 94
4 Keepmeinmind 47-1 92
5 Sainthood 37-1 84
6 O Besos 39-1 96
7 Mandaloun 29-1 98
8 Medina Spirit 12-1 99
9 Hot Rod Charlie 6-1 99
10 Midnight Bourbon 13-1 96
...[Message truncated]
View Full Message
In reply toRe: msg 423
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Aug-1

More about Beyer above later.

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

Aug-2

Sorry, I didn’t mean you had to list them.  I figured you would know that knew it was half the field :)

TOP