This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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If the Wood had an Over/Under proposition for time at 6 fl of 12.3.
I'd take the over.
The track Thurs/sloppy + Friday/good and Saturday will be good. But slow times to date the 2 days for dirt races. Turf , yet normal. With windchill the Big race will be weather cooler than normal for downstate at Ozone Park NY. I love that city name. Must be cool to say I'm from Ozone.
So. Rarely in a G1 (but I do place importance on what mother nature sets up for her good terra); the surface to me says the jocks will ride for endurance against the field as it shakes out.
I even blogged earlier that I thought a horse would go out and stay out to force closer(s) to exhert themselves too early. Come home in a parade.
With a chess game for endurance possible I'll bet a Home Run ticket.
Well good luck Dogs.
I wouldn't even begin to try to cap AQ, a track I play about once every 5 years.
Ditto, GS or Tampa.
I've *tried* to play Fairgrounds and SAR but I can't win there. So I learned to not even try.
Over the years Ive done BEL, Woodbine, OP and sometimes CDX......and those are tracks I have at least a passing acquaintance with. But I keep a stable at racenet so I keep track of some of the aussie races, too.
Aqueduct is a strange track. When it is dry it can play really slow. The other day no mile race was completed in under 1:40. It is often faster when wet or drying out. On most days this year, 1:12 for 6f would have been flying. I would definitely say it will be slower than that. Nevertheless, they need to be careful of giving Market Maven an easy lead. He is improving, and can take them a long way at a huge price. He might be disrespected and allowed to lope along on the front end, and be difficult to run down. Worth a show bet, I think.
When all is said and done, I think the Gotham form will stand up. The number was very good, and a lot of people looked at the actual running time on a track that was running slow. Crowded Trade got beat by a booger, and I think he ran the better race, losing more ground, and galloping out better than Weyburn.
You got me second guessing the Woodie
At first.went with..winner goes to lead and forces closers to overwork on dull track..
Tonight said nobody goes out and a grind it out by endurance and jockey smarts.
I'm thinking the surface can make polenta of the legs and a exotic price emerges.
smartyslew said...the last 8 winners prepped in Florida and not New York.
Wintertrian said...That would be Prevalence, CandyManRocket, and Dynamic One,
okay, as a know nothing, I'll go Exacta Box with Prevalence, Candymanrocket, Dynamic One, Risk Taking
That dull track could be the wild card. Horses that trained and ran on it, may have an adv.
I just play NYRA circuit. And
GULF, KEEN, CHURCH and your track I like horizontal pk 3s for starters.
The colts from Parx are also used to a dull track.