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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds Handicapping
From: smartyslew
Aug-20
only 4 Derby Winners in the last 86 years haven't had a Stamina Chef
2016 Nyquist has progeny of Stam Chef in his 5th generation
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- Edited September 6, 2022 1:01 am by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Aug-26
Travers 8-27-22: the odds are suspect imo.
--EDIT to show how the angles did
Won at distance: Early Voting 104(G1)Rich Strike 102(G1)Epicenter 101(g2)-1st 112 beyer today
and Supersize it !
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| STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,250,000. Runhappy Travers S. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. This is a Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $1,250 each which should accompany the nomination; $9,000 to pass the entry box and an additional $9,750 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $12,500 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse for the Runhappy Travers shall be divided as follows: $670,000 to the owner of the winner, $230,000 to second, $125,000 to third, $85,000 to fourth, $50,000 to fifth, $35,000 to sixth, $30,000 to seventh and $25,000 to eighth. Weight 126 lbs. Trophies will be presented to the winning owner, trainer and jockey. Closed Saturday, August 13, 2022 with 12 Nominations. (05:44 PM) (8) |
| PP | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer distance record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cyberknife P3 2G1W 9f | 3 C | L 3rd,5th r | 126 | Geroux Florent | Cox Brad H. 7-2 1-0-0 -0 56 2nd |
| 2 | Rich Strike S 1G1W 10f | 3 C | 126 | Leon Sonny | Reed Eric R. 10-1 1-1 102 4th | |
| 3 | Ain't Life Grand P3 | 3 C | L 8 races | 126 | Gaffalione Tyler | Von Hemel Kelly R. 20-1 0-0 |
| 4 |
- Edited August 27, 2022 10:09 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Aug-29
Message 1268 the Travers
The play for this race IMO was the Chalky Superfecta For $1 per unit = $24.00 per unit total Or 10C per Unit= $2.40 per unit total.
If you have 1 on any line, and the same 4 horses on 3 other lines and do it in any combination of 4 lines it will cost $2,40 for a dime
$24 for a $1 for the super. This is my best play for Chalky races like this one. Epicenter was my Pick paid $4 for the Win, I didn't bet him to win. The performance for the other 4 were the best for a fast track at this elite level. I was confidant, that's the time to do it.
1st #6 Epicenter
2nd #1 Cyberknife, #2 Rich Strike,#7 Early Voting, #8 Zandon
3rd Same 4
4th Same 4
$1 Super 6-1-8-2 pd $146.50, 10 cent pd $14.65 510 % return better than a kick in the pants.
many won't play chalk on top for that return. $24 win bet returns $48,00 @$ 4.00
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I missed my replay tri from the derby, I didn't have Cyberknife today in the tri
had him in the super, would of cost to much to add to the tri.
__
The first 4 Qualified for the last Quarter time of 25.40 or better a key for the win in a 10f race.
the 1st 3 Qualified For Par Time Speed 104 or better 1st Epicenter 107,2nd Cyberknife 104, 3rd Zandon 106
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Back Speed First 4 in the top 5 ,Early Voting 111 was 1st ,tired finished last
Best speed at distance The Winner was 2nd best 103,
1st,3rd,4th place finishers were Lasix free.
I forgot to mention The Horses I used had the Best Historical Perfomance Guidelines pre race
Like the Par Time, The Last Quarter time, Best speed at distance, won at The spa etc.
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One of my buddies suggest that I say Epicenter faced more elite Runners, Than Cyberknife last
against lightly Raced Horses to win by a nose or head in his last 2 races.
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- Edited August 30, 2022 11:54 am by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-7
Since my thread for 2023 3 year olds was deleted and can't be recovered I'll list
the 2022 two year olds on this thread,
2022 2 year olds will be started now on this 2021 2 year olds topic !
they are 2023 3 year olds.
- Edited September 7, 2022 12:22 am by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-7
This is my list for prospects for 2 yr olds that look like they can stretch out to 2 turns
and possible TC contenders a -z listed , I think it will take 6 messages on here to list a-z.
I will edit and update each page when needed.
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- Edited October 12, 2022 3:25 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-7
page 2 C-E
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Carsown 9f, 13c (13)Honor Code/Quality Road
- Edited October 22, 2022 10:38 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-7
Page 3 F-H
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Harbour Bridge 2o, Justify/Street Sense $675,000
- Edited October 22, 2022 10:42 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
Sep-7
page 4
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- Edited October 22, 2022 10:47 pm by smartyslew