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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 216554 views.
Msg 1280 of 1867 to smartyslewsmartyslew 
In reply toRe: msg 1279
pianot

From: pianot

9/7/22

2.3 and a baffert baby. Wow and smarty thank you.

  • Edited September 7, 2022 7:23 pm  by  pianot
 
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Msg 1281 of 1867 to pianotpianot 
In reply toRe: msg 1280
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/7/22

They finally named him  Arabian Knight 23b ,Zedan Racing Stables 2.3 Million Baffert must be the trainer

works started July first

Track Date Course Distance Time Note Rank
Del Mar 08/29/2022 Dirt 4F 49.00 Handily 41/74
Los Alamitos Quarter Horse 08/13/2022 Dirt 4F 48.40 Handily 8/23
Los Alamitos Quarter Horse 07/24/2022 Dirt 4F 49.60 Handily 27/43
...[Message truncated]
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Msg 1282 of 1867
In reply toRe: msg 1281
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/7/22

2 year old racing Thursday 9/8 from my list, 1 only in 2 races, They are projected to be 2 turn type runners
Kentucky Downs
Race 9 Juvenile Sprint Stks:
Purse $500,000. (Includes $250,000 – KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). For Two Year Olds. Six And One Half Furlongs. (Turf)
# 2Sharp Aza Tack 8g, Sharp Azteca/Bernardini  7-5  Edit Finished 2nd, I Ortiz race riding and Intimination
down The stretch Riding west instead of north cost him the win. IMO
--

Race 2: 2 year old MSW : 6.5 f Turf
# 4 Sundance 23b  Quality Road/ Bernardini  $800,000   9-2,  Didn't fire, still on list.
-
  • Edited September 8, 2022 11:34 pm  by  smartyslew
 
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Msg 1283 of 1867 to smartyslewsmartyslew 
In reply toRe: msg 1282
TexSquared

From: TexSquared

9/7/22

Thanks for your efforts to bring the lists back after they were deleted in error.  I renamed this thread to reflect what you're posting now.

 
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Msg 1284 of 1867 to TexSquaredtexsquared 
In reply toRe: msg 1283
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/7/22

Thanks Tex I appreciate it.

 
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Msg 1285 of 1867
In reply toRe: msg 1282
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/8/22

EDIT Chart for race won by Speed Boat Beach in track record time. great out of the gate, difference imo

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?date=2022-09-10&track=DMR&country=USA&race=6&type=inc&print=on
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Edit- Bafferts 3.55 Million AE is scratched in today race 6, He has 3 in here,
NY) Hejazi 12d, 13c (8) Bernardini / Meda D'oro *3.55 mil  8-5 Baffert, Mike Smith #11 post

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?type=ent&print=on&country=USA&race=6&track=DMR&date=2022-09-10

---
2 year olds racing 9/10 /22 from our  list, see how they do sprinting
or how somebody else runs good to add to our list.
-
Del Mar race 6:MSW 5.5f Dirt $80,000, (Plus $24,000 – CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight, 120 Lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred)(Purse $100,000 For Horses That Qualify For Maiden Dirt Bonus. I don't know How that works
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1 on our list from AE #11 (NY) Hejazi 12d, 13c (8) Bernardini / Meda D'oro *3.55 mil  8-5 Baffert, Mike Smith
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Gulfstream Park Race 5 MSW 2 year olds 1 mile 70 yards all weather track 7 entrys
edit both listed didn't fire.....
#1 Universal Hero 23b ,13c (8) Empire Maker/ Mda D'oro
#3 Hollywood Hero P/N 19c, 8 2s,Malibu Moon/ Tiznow 
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Kentucky Downs race 1:MSW 2 year olds 1 Mile (T)
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  • Edited September 11, 2022 11:41 am  by  smartyslew
 
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Msg 1286 of 1867
In reply toRe: msg 1285
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/9/22

9/12/22 edit to post results, No surprise top 2 Cave Rock-1st,Havenameltdown 2nd, Had the Highest prerace
Par speed Numbers, 3rd place Skinner, Bad trip in last, Had best last Late number 98, 4th place Newgate, filled
the Super, all 4 are on our list.
-
9/11/22 2 year olds racing from our list (6) Edit to add Odds
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Del Mar Race 10 Del Mar Fururity stks G1  7f dirt, speed par 97 bris,9 entrants
-
#1 Classical Cat 19c,Mendelssohn/ Not Bourbon (t) D'Amato  1-1   8-1
#2 Agency 9f, 13c (15) Bolt D 'Oro / Bernardini    Glatt    2-1-1, 2nd g3-98  12-1
#4 Skinner 9e Curlin/ Malibu Moon        Shireffs           1-0   check trip   8-1
#6 Newgate 3c Into Mischief /Majestic Warrior  Baffert  1-1    4-1
#7 Cave Rock 8h,Arrogate/ Bellamy Road        Baffert   1-1   6-5
#8 Havnameltdown P/N 4i, Uncaptured/ Put It Back  Baffert  2-2 g3-102, 4-1
--
Speed Last Race :Par 97
104 Cave Rock 102 Havnameltdown 98 Agency 90 Classical Cat 89 Newgate 87 The Big Wam steadied
86 Pop d'Oro slow gate, 85 Mixto-MDN TRIP 75 Skinner-MDN
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Early last or only race:
112 Havnameltdown 110 Agency 107 Cave Rock 103 Newgate 102 The Big Wam 97 Classical Cat 94 Pop d'Oro 83 Mixto 68 Skinner 
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Late Last:
98 Skinner 94 Cave Rock 93 Mixto 88 Classical Cat 87 Havnameltdown 85 Pop d'Oro 84 Agency 80 Newgate 79 The Big Wam
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  • Edited September 12, 2022 12:58 pm  by  smartyslew
 
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Msg 1287 of 1867
In reply toRe: msg 1286
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/12/22

2 year old BEYER leader board, 9/11/22 : Historical guidelines for a Derby Winner is a 92 beyer
or better in a race at 2 year olds. Last year  seems like we had 4 or 5 for the year.
--
This year We have 9 times a 2 year old was awarded 92 Beyer or better in these early sprints
4 times triple digits. I think this is impressive looking by eyeballs, Some races by track Variants
Show Caution by raw time , That can be a mirage on a souped up track. Suggest do your own DD
The first thing I look at with the speed numbers looking for 2 turn prospects for this tool, who's
numbers are going up stretching compared to their sprints and or numbers down. 6f-7f-8f-8.5, 9f.
and any of them can take a jump up at any time.
--

2-year-olds: male or female
through 09/11/2022

HORSE TRK DATE DIST BEYER FIGURE
Speed Boat Beach DMR 10 Sep 5 1/2F 104
Cave Rock DMR 13 Aug 6 1/2F 101
Munnys Gold MTH 17 Jun 5F 101
Hejazi DMR 10 Sep 5 1/2F 100
Echo Again SAR 20 Aug 6 1/2F 94
Tyler's Tribe PRM 27 Aug 6F 94
Chocolate Gelato SAR 14 Aug 6F 92
Forte SAR
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  • Edited September 12, 2022 12:16 pm  by  smartyslew
 1
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Msg 1288 of 1867 to smartyslewsmartyslew 
In reply toRe: msg 1287
princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

9/14/22

Still find it hard to believe that Cave Rock's 2nd race scores a lower number than the first, especially with the competition in the second.  But I suppose coming up with those numbers are above my pay grade :)

As DM is the only track I visit in person each year, and having seen the races of the top colts listed, my eyes tell me they are special, and definitely worth following.  I'll be very interested in who races at Santa Anita American Pharoah Stakes on Oct. 8th.....

 
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Msg 1289 of 1867
In reply toRe: msg 1286
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

9/14/22

Edlt-The Winner #5 Curly Jack was one of the 4 on our list I said The winner will come from
Damons Mound and Echo Again Speed dual and tired, Jaces Road on our list finished 3rd.
Iroquois Saturday Churchill Downs starts the points preps for the Tc trail.
I don't know the odds yet. #3 Damon's Mound I really like his races for stretching out and I think
the first 4 listed in speed and Prime Power 3-9-5-6,have class over the other 5 and the winner is probably one of them
Numbers 3-5-6-9-8 are on our list, time to start sorting them out. Also I like #9 Echo Again. 3 or 9
will be the top 2 favorites and imo they have the best pedigrees for the classic Distance .
They will have to proof it on the track. If you play Exotics I think the 3 and 9 should be on your ticket.
edit I will put a win Wager on #3 Damon's Mound.
--
None raced the distance 8.5 f, Raced 8f #1 Hayes Strike 1.39.4 76 bris ,#7 Honed 1.39.2  69 bris,
Speed last race :
99 Echo Again 93 Damon's Mound 93 Curly Jack 1st 90Jace's Road 82 -3rd Jin Tong 80 Confidence Game 76 Hayes Strike 68 Honed 63 Zaic
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Early last :
106 Damon's Mound 105 Curly Jack 103-1st Zaici 100Jace's Road 98-3rdJin Tong 98 Confidence Game 94 Echo Again 69 Honed 68 Hayes Strike
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Late last:
102 Echo Again 89 Hayes Strike 84Jace's Road 82-3rd Damon's Mound 81 Curly Jack 78-1stJin Tong 77 Honed 76 Confidence Game 42 Zaic
--
9th race :
 Churchill Downs - Saturday, September 17th, 2022
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $300,000. Iroquois S. (Grade 3). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. (04:55 PM) (9)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Hayes Strike E4   4th 2 C 122 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph McPeek Kenneth G.  homebred
2 Zaici  E5 2 R 122 Cohen David Courville Ricky
3 Damon's Mound P6 2 C 122 Saez Gabriel Lovell Michelle   homebred
4 Jin TongS4 2 C 122 Bejarano Rafael O'Neill Doug F.
5 Curly Jack EP8   1st 2 C 122 Morales Edgar Amoss Thomas M.
6 Jace's Road EP6   3rd
...[Message truncated]
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  • Edited September 18, 2022 11:40 am  by  smartyslew
 
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