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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 188185 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Oct-29

race 5 Santa Anita 2 yr olds MSW 1 mile Turf won by Peace Rules  Funtastic/ Point Of Entry won 2nd time on turf

1st 2 turn race :1.33 change faster than older today at 8f turf. MTR Sire line, He looked real good Blinkers on.

Gotta love the Female Foundation for the turf  6 crosses of Natalma ( Nor Dan, Raise The Standard) AlmAhmoud (Natalma, Cosmah)

FIRST PEACE C, 2020 DP = 1-1-6-0-0 (8) DI = 1.67   CD = 0.38

Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
NATALMA 6S x 6S x 8D x 7d x 7D x 8D 6 2 (1) (1) 5.47%
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RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Nov-1

First Peace! Appropriate name for these warlike times. I'll have to remember that one. Have you ever checked out a juvy filly trained by Pletcher named Munnys Gold; by Munnings, out of a Medaglia d'Oro? She ran a hole in the wind in her debut at Monmouth in June. Got a big Beyer(101), then went to the sidelines. She's back working.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-1

Yes that's a good one, More Than Ready from back in the day to First Peace is very Appropriate  today.

Check his time and splits that last 1/8 was pretty good for a wired job and relaxed and easy and the 2nd

place Eastbound  closed nicely,late splits were sweet imo. Suggest you remember him too.

I think we talked about Munnys Gold, good to see Her working Again.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-2

reminder for BC turf races.  The PP's and race charts between them   show different run ups,  Rail location changes, track condition fm,sf, gd, etc some of this you will find on the past race charts and not on the PP's, the splits are better on the race charts then on The PP's
same for rail position, run ups, some times weather conditions . Last Q ,1/8 time splits.etc

  • Edited November 2, 2022 3:58 pm  by  smartyslew
pianot

From: pianot

Nov-2

Thanks Smarty! You are always on top of everything.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-3

The X denotes the entrants I like, 1 other #9 Nagirroc trained by Graham Motion has only
raced short sprints and imo worth a look.  I'm Tilting Towards #1 Victoria Road 8-1 and he has raced at 9f
and this might be short for him. #4 Silver Knott 3-1 a presser would be my pick, maybe the odds will go up,
If I play Exotics I will use the X entrants. I listed the track conditions, the Runup, Last Q time, graded wins
or wins, bris speed, odds, rail position if noted ,and running style not bris fake numbers for young horses.
IT^S ONLY A Mile race and the winner could come from a first time mile runner.
-
10th  Keeneland - Friday, November 4th, 2022
STAKES. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $1,000,000. Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (Grade 1). FOR COLTS AND GELDINGS, TWO-YEARS-OLD. Weight: 122 lbs.; $15,000 to pre-enter, $15,000 to enter, with guaranteed $1 million purse including travel awards of which 52% to the owner of the winner, 17% to second, 9% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth, 2%to sixth, 1% to seventh, 1% to eighth, 1% to ninth, 1% to tenth; plus travel awards to starters not based in Kentucky. The maximum number of starters is fourteen with four also eligibles. In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at One Mile on the main track. (05:40 PM) (14)
PP Horse A/S Wgt Jockey Trainer
1x Victoria Road (IRE) 2 C 122 Moore Ryan L.  g3W O'Brien Aidan P. 8-1           RF*   gd
2x Packs A Wahlop
run up160 ft
122 Smith Mike E. 2 g3W Mullins Jeff   6-1  speed  91  rf * 23.40  fm
3 Curly Larry And Mo
Run up 92 ft
2 C 122 Arrieta Francisco Caramori Caio  30-1   speed  74  23.55 fm
4x Silver Knott (GB) 2 C 122 Buick William T. g3W Appleby Charles 3-1   press  gd
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DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Nov-3

ALL..Reminder ...that the paid handicappers pick a sole on top Winner and rarely no more than two more underneath.  They never pick a half dozen of the field and; say hey;  it could likely be at the end of race..Any one of these six runners 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-3

Shame on me for not being a paid capper and doing free stuff imo, narrowing the field down.

They talk about free squares and all and spreading in their pick 3's,4''s,5's,6's, and few pick a free square 

in a 14 horse field of 2 year olds on turf if at all. I have many more races to cap and one piece of the puzzle 

done for the pick players. Somebody likes it with the views this thread gets.

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Nov-3

Yep...and as you have always insisted....picks have to be posted on the site before the race...no ex post facto resultants .  No matter what or it doesn't count..as you call it red boarding.....on the internet. 

Six is a bit deep IMHO 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-3

imo that is not a pick that I posted. Show me a redboard I did .

Tex calls the redboarding !

  • Edited November 3, 2022 5:20 pm  by  smartyslew
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