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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 188173 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-27

How long will these Baffert's two year olds with works like this go before they breakdown.

gotta love Mandellas 5 year old work: 9 lengths slower than the Bullet killer work and thats a fast work.

Horse Name Trainer  Sex Age Time Notes Rank Race Status  Virtual
Stable
Arabian Lion (KY) Bob Baffert C 2 1:11.20 h 1/6 Last Start
Carmel Road (KY) Bob Baffert C 2 1:11.40 h 2/6
...[Message truncated]
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RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Nov-28

Spun Intended was impressive. Can’t wait to see Baffert’s Fort Warren who beat SI in their debut, run back!

I was most impressed this last weekend, with Hoosier Philly, winner of the Golden Rod. She was so professional. Seems both athletic and intelligent. She already knows what this business is about.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-28

Yes the cream of the crop is slowly moving to the top.

I agree the Filly Hoosier Philly was the best of the 2 year olds racing this last Week

She wins the Golden Rod g2 8.5 f dirt by 5 lengths geared down in the lane in  the time 1.43.94

Same distance Instant Coffee  wins the Jockey club g2 in the time 1.45.25   

Beyer awards him an 82, and awards Hoosier Philly  a 81 ,same track ,1/2 hour apart, go figure, geared down

her time is 6 lengths faster, good  cappers see this and ask will they run Her In the Derby. 

The hype is started.

--

Pool 2 Future  bets looks like the Filly Hoosier  Philly effected the wagers,
shows all 2 YO Fillys 29-1. Instant Coffee 35-1, 2 YO fillys have the 7th lowest odds because of one Filly imo.

  • Edited November 28, 2022 8:23 pm  by  smartyslew
In reply toRe: msg 1
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-28

1x tail female family Sires from  cmp conduit BP Classification transendant Mare La Troienne 1x, In a 5 generation Pedigree I like To see as many of these Sires,more than 1 
The More the better, better yet look more for the 1x Dams in a pedigree no matter
The Sires tf family, they rule the roost imo. Some lines of 1x Like the Target Horse, The BMS, the Sire Line their 1x Sires will beyond 5 generations, 6,10,15,20 generations back
more than one line of those are 1x than that piggy backs the Tff and is Powerful.
---
Buckpasser 1x 
Belong To Me 
Bernstein  
Bluegrass Cat: 
Congrats
Easy Goer
Essential Quality
Flatter
Go For Gin
Jet Action
Mineshaft
More Than Ready
Munnings
Not For Love
Officer
Petionville
Pleasant Tap
Poker
Polish Numbers
Private Account
Roar
Sea Hero
Sky Mesa
Smarty Jones
Super Saver
Ten Most Wanted
The Axe 
Top Account
Wisemans Ferry
Woodman
--
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-29

He looks like a elite Sprinter type IMO I need to see a couple more races.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Nov-30

Is that the same way you feel about Speed Boat Beach? Baffert took him to the turf after his big dirt debut, then went to the BC Juvy Turf Sprint. He is a very fast horse, I am curious as to why Baffert took the path with him that he did. I want to see him back on the dirt. Bayern, out of a PioneeroftheNile mare? Not bad!

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Nov-30

If you mean do I think Speed Boat Beach needs to show more to carry his speed a distance of ground and

Baffert's intent with him yes, Plenty of time to see if Baffert stretches him on dirt  furlong by furlong with that

gate speed to do like others he had  with gate speed to use in a prep to be a rabbit to hold on and win

or wear out other speed to help a team mate and with Baffert he goes with the plan he thinks  is best at the moment,

usually with at least 2 from his stable hopefully with a plan that either can win, I hate to say it, he is outstanding doing that.

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

Nov-30

My theory is that Baffert's quick works for 2 yr. olds replace races.....so that they are far more ready for their first race than others.  He also sees how they compete vs. each other, tells the stable/world, and the battered down prices result

Gerh

From: Gerh

Nov-30

I was very impressed with Spun Intended.He put that race to bed quickly

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Dec-1

Edit results 1st #7 Dubyuhnell,  2nd Arctic Arrogance, 3rd Tuskegee Airman  in the slop
Edit off track Numbers #2 Tuskegee Airmen 90. #4 Arctic Arrogance 90. #5 Midnight Trouble 86 #7  Dubyuhnell  83, #6 Quick To Accuse  69.
G2 remsen 9f dirt 2 year olds: 2 are on our list #2  Tuskegee Airmen,  #4 Arctic Arrogance, #7 
#2, and #5 only two in race  raced 2 turns.. 
I like #2 Tuskegee Airmen at this distance no matter the Odds
-
Speed Last: 90 Tuskegee Airmen 90 Arctic Arrogance 86 Midnight Trouble 85Il Miracolo 84 Quick to Accuse 83 Dubyuhnell 79 Prove Right
7 th RaceAqueduct - Saturday, December 3rd, 2022
STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Dirt. Purse $250,000. Remsen S. (Grade 2). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. (02:44 PM) (7)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Il Miracolo  EP5 2 C 118 Castellano Javier Sano Antonio
2 Tuskegee Airmen  S4 2 C 120 Saez Luis Servis John C.
3 Prove Right   EP 8 2 C 118 Gomez Jose Antonio Chapman James K.
4 Arctic Arrogance  E 8 2 C 120 Lezcano Jose Rice Linda
5 Midnight Trouble  EP 6 2 C 120 Lopez Paco Walder Peter R.
6 Quick To Accuse   E8 2 C 118 Franco Manuel De Paz Horacio
7 Dubyuhnell   S5 2 C 118 Ortiz Jose L. Gargan Danny
-
Early Pace :  
97 Prove Right 90 Midnight Trouble 86 Tuskegee Airmen 85Il Miracolo 80 Arctic Arrogance 79 Quick to Accuse 77 Dubyuhnell 
--
Late Last:
98 Tuskegee Airmen 96 Arctic Arrogance 95 Dubyuhnell 88 Quick to Accuse 84Il Miracolo 81 Midnight Trouble 62 Prove Right
--
  • Edited December 5, 2022 1:33 pm  by  smartyslew
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