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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 354130 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-14

Say What >>>>?????????

University Of Wisconson at Madison is where I took Accounting what a coincident, that couldn't happen again in 20 years LOL

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-14

9th Race Churchill Downs - Saturday, September 16th, 2023 9 entries all Lasix Free

I can't bet the chalk, with the Scratch of  the 7 , 3 Union Roll is the only P style left
in the race and should be used in IMO with the speed in this one turn Mile.
I  Like Union Roll 5-1, Edified 8-1,Risk It 2-1, Patriot Spirit 7-2,  These are the 4 I will use in my exotics
I May put a win bet on Union Roll 5-1 or Edified 8-1 at race time ,this group of 4 are my best picks for ITM.
picked for the speed holding on, or breaking down, you might want to add one more to this strategy for 8 horses
using wheels to spread out. Good Luck.

STAKES.  ONE Turn  Mile Dirt. Purse $300,000. Iroquois S. (Grade 3). FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. (04:55 PM) (9)
3E types 2-5-8, 4 EP types 1-4-6-9, 2 P type 3-7,
I  Like Union Roll 5-1, Edified 8-1,Risk It 2-1, Patriot Spirit 7-2,  These are the 4 I like so far for a fast track.
I'm Leaning toward Union Roll, wait for the track conditions.
PP Horse A/S Wgt Jockey                  runup last Trainer                   
1 Liberal Arts  EP6  Mdn 70     82 2 C 122 Torres Cristian A.     65 ft Medina Robert  20-1
2 West Saratoga E8 Mdn 70      86  2nd to Timberlake 2 C 122 Bejarano Rafael        20 Demeritte Larry W. 6-1
3 Union Roll P6     Mdn 58       84 2 C 122 Corrales Gerardo       40 Pletcher Todd A.  5-1
4 Edified EP6 6.5f G2 5th 68 Mdn 120 80  Bumped Bad in last 2 C 122 Santana, Jr. Ricardo   100 Asmussen Steven 8-1
5 Market StreetE8      6.5f G22nd 75,  2nd in Sar Sp g2, 8.5 f  T  in last 2 C
...[Message truncated]
View Full Message
  • Edited September 16, 2023 2:08 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-16

A peek ahead at the BC Classic, I liked a lot on this board
when they were 2 yr olds and early 3yr olds. their age is listed.
---
Beyer Leaderboard  1 1/4 mile distance only thru  9/14/23
Charge It   4                   106
Arcangelo  3                  105
Mage        3                    105
Two Phils   3                  105
Angel Of Empire 3         104
Bright Future   4             103
Disarm    3                       103
Proxy      5                       103
---
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-16

I updated message 2505 for the Iroquois stales today race 10 Churchill.

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

Sep-16

Do you know why the Cox horse, Gettysburg Address, scratched?  I read just yesterday that Cox said he's sure he'd love the stretchout.

I wonder if he's doing like some others and testing his own horses pre-race for overages?  Then, late scratch to avoid the inevitable penalty?

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-16

I was thinking the same thing.

I just now checked why.. HEHEHE, no I was looking for the spacing of his works and races.
Last race Aug. 6 , if you get a chance look at his pattern of  works for this horse
12 days 4f, 9 days  5f, 6 days 5f fastest and longest work, 7 days last work 5f, 7days race day 5f.
vet scratch......... that a 1 that I know of .  what did defunded have 4 or 5 vet scratches.

Gettysburg Address
SCRATCHED
Reason: Veterinarian
  • Edited September 16, 2023 2:56 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-16

I always liked it when WT updated vet scratches when she gets them. saved a lot of dinero.

A good tool for the old tool box dontcha think. Transperanacy!!!

If they would tell us why !

  • Edited September 16, 2023 3:05 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-16

Race 6 Churchill  More Than Vows and Wicked Halo go at it. 6f  10 min to post.

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

Sep-16

I just looked at the workout pattern for this one.  It looks like he should have been ready to roll today.  I would very much like to know the reason for all the late scratches.  It's not too much for a bettor to ask.  

Cox is not a fellow I trust, at all, anyway.  His stats are unbelievable.  Better than most of the greats through the ages by a lot.

https://www.equibase.com/profiles/Results.cfm?type=People&searchType=T&eID=241578&rbt=TB

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Sep-16

25 percent win lifetime, 30 million in 2021.

top horses  6 weeks in between races with works  that can slowly be unmasked week to week
or work to work by race day. him and Pletcher

And no reason given gets old like you say.  A bettor if done right would not have to ask

and gets the runaround asking for the answer Man playing kick the can in places he shouldn't be stuck in

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