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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started Jul-2 by smartyslew; 34781 views.
In reply toRe: msg 280
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Oct-10

Wintertrian said...

For the Bourbon, I'm going to try Red Danger or Rocket One.......

I think I will add Stolen Base because he will be under-bet and represents "good value"... (same way martinin'moonshine will be over-bet)...

..and yes, I should probably add Tiz the Bomb as well. 

I have a feeling this race will turn out wonky though.  There are some interesting longshots in here, and most of these horses have very few races under their belts.  Dowager Chief looks like an interesting long-long-long shot to stick in an exotic somewhere.
 

In reply toRe: msg 289
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Oct-10

Boy at the very end it looked like my long long shot, Dowagiac Chief was gonna nail the race with Red Danger, then Tiz a Bomb and Stolen Base ran by them. 

I'm definitely putting the chief in my virtual stable, he had speed, ran in the mix the whole way.  

Anyway,  as posted, I got the exacta --- would have had the superfecta and Super High Five, but Casse horse ruined it for me.   LOL   ( am not betting anyway) 

12-2-6-10-3

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Oct-10

Tiz The Bomb is going to be tough to beat. He is looking like his daddy. 

MTR looks like he will have a runner in the Juvy Turf C&G. Slipstream looked very good. On Thin Ice has got to break better. He saved ground and looked like he would make a run, but veered outside and couldn’t sustain his run.

PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

Oct-12

I stuck with Great Escape also Dont Wait up and had the winner, Rattle and Roll as third pick.     The filly race on Friday was much easier to pick, had that one singled.

In reply toRe: msg 287
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Oct-12

I've been under the weather and will not update this site until I get Better.

I hope to be back soon.

In reply toRe: msg 292
PISTOL9

From: PISTOL9

Oct-12

I just noticed BB has Corniche, that means I'll be passing the Juv this year.  My biggest success in the last 6-7 years has been the Juv Classic double, with BB being involved in both, I'm not touching that or those races.  Are there any other races he is in (I'm assuming FM Sprint with Gamine)

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Oct-12

Thank you Pianot, I hope so.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Oct-13

smartyslew said...

I've been under the weather and will not update this site until I get Better.

Really sorry to hear this --- rest up!   and hope you're back quick....not seeing you here is sort of like this: 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Oct-13

I found time for one more cup of coffee, thanks

5 entrants on our list 2-3-10-12-15AE, < 14 Elite miler,  x = Turf pedigree A or A+ my data
Took me 2 days 15 minutes at a time when possible , Picqued my Interest, Hand it to the breeders
A great Pedigree group for the Turf. Now that's on paper I can't see what they look like.
There is value all over the place and who knows who the culls are or is it a blanket finish.
A good betting race go for it its the turf. 
----
E1 85 E2 85 /LATE 83 SPEED  85   PARS: 85 85/ 83 85, 3 closest to par
Diamond Wow ¯ 84 86/ 90        86    7f
Boxing Day        89 86/ 88        83    6.5f
Opalina             77 82/ 101      92       8.f
--------
Keeneland - Wednesday, October 13th, 2021 8th race
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Turf. Purse $200,000. JPMorgan Chase Jessamine S. (Grade 2). FOR FILLIES, TWO YEARS OLD. (04:44 PM) (16)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Kneesnhips 2 F 118 Graham James Amoss Thomas M.  30
2 x California Angel 2 back 1st 8f 2 F RF 118 Bejarano Rafael  Q 24.87 2 back Leonard, III George  30
3 x Turnerloose  1st 8f  Stk 2 F 120 Geroux Florent Q 24.98 Cox Brad H. 5-2
4 Ontheonesandtwos 1st turfer 2 F 118 Talamo Joseph Casse Norm W.  20
5 / Roughly A Diamond 2nd 7.5 f , 2 F 118 Saez Luis Nihei Michelle  30
6 Bhoma 1st turf 2 F 118 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph McPeek Kenneth G.  20
7 / Rigby 1st 6f 2 F 118 Santana, Jr. Ricardo Maker Michael J.  20 
8 x Queen Judith 1st 6,f yl 2 F 118
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