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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started Jul-2 by smartyslew; 16094 views.
In reply toRe: msg 1
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jul-5

2 yo's that raced thru 7/5/21 of Interest
----
Candy Landing
Coinage (NY) RF
Gunite (speed)
Headline Report
High Oak
Nakatomi
One Timer
Ottoman Empire RF
Thirsty Always (Cal)
------
In reply toRe: msg 3
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jul-11

2 yo's that raced to 7/12/21
----
Candy Landing
Coinage (NY) RF
Costa Terra
Dance Code
Grafton Street RF (T)
Gunite (speed)
Docter Jeff RF-Natalma, 12f type
Headline Report
High Oak
Hope In Him
Lenny K (aw)sprinter- 3 yo
Nakatomi
One Timer
Ottoman Empire RF
Seize The Night
Thirsty Always (Cal)
---
In reply toRe: msg 4
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jul-13

2 yr olds at Saratoga trained by Top trainers: Males only
--
Pletcher
----
Up to the Mark
 Master Game
 Pioneer of Medina 
-
Chad Brown
-
Watasha 
Triple Elvis 
 Accretive 
 Portfolio Company 
---
Steve Asmussen
--
Gunite, 
Chileno, 
Woodline
Red Run. 
Raymond 
---
Bill Mott
--
Galt- full to Songbird
Calloway Peak. 
Town Branch
 Urban Forest 
--
Clemente
--
Big Invasion
Silvery Rill 
Senbei 
Waterville 
Derrynane 
...[Message truncated]
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In reply toRe: msg 4
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jul-15

Message 4 has 5 entrants entered in the Sanford Stakes g3, 6 f, Saturday July 17 
field of 12.  at Saratoga for 2 yr olds. The ones from my list are projected to be
more than 6f sprinters, the distance of this non Lasix race. (precocious)

Race 9, For 2 yr olds. :

2 Candy Landing  7-2    Walsh   E 85   6th bumped the winner at the start

5 Dance Code   12-1   J C Vazquez      E 81   3rd  Stumbled badly at start

7 Ottoman Empire-rf   10-1   Amoss   E 87   4th

9 Headline Report 5-1   W Ward      E 90       2nd

11 Seize The Night 20-1  D Stewart   E 87

--

The Favorite is not on my list #1 Wit 8-5  Pletcher/ I Ortiz.   E 91  WON by 8  E 100

--

Wit was Much The best by 8 lengths, Weird start, 4 horses stumbled.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jul-15

Looking forward to seeing James Aloysius on Saturday, debuting in an 8.5f turf race. I hope Garghan has him ready. 200k purchase, out of a Lord of England(Top 3 year old in Germany in 2006) mare.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jul-15

The tail female has multiple European Country nicks

no way to use the Dosage or CMP's , he has Speed on top and World Class

BMS line of Shirley Heights Stamina line and in 5 generations 7 lines of family 2d

and a few 5h family right there is a terrific Turf Pedigree.

He is one of many in recent years to have a world class 8 generation female foundation. IMO

JAMES ALOYSIUS C, 2019 DP = 4-0-6-0-0 (10) DI = 2.33   CD = 0.80

Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
ALMAHMOUD 2d 5s x 6s x 8d x 8d x 8d x 8d 6 2 (0) (2)
...[Message truncated]
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jul-15

Checked the field for that race, there is Some good prospects and top Turf trainers.

8.5 f is a warmup for most in here.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Jul-16

I look forward to Saratoga every year, just for the juvy races. Many trainers wait until this meet to unveil the cream of the crop. Undoubtedly we'll see some BC Juvy runners show up over the next several weeks. As always, I follow the MTRs that are already working, hoping to see a couple in those races. I am usually not disappointed. More Than Real, Catholic Boy, Selflessly, and Stopshoppingmaria, all showed up at this meet before participating in a BC Juvy race.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jul-16

I always look forward to this time of year for the 2's at Saratoga and Del Mar,

I enjoy looking for the ones to project before they race, and projecting a list

separate after they run and who the main trainer is for the Homebred Elite Sires

that won't be on the sales lists, and back burner the ones they sell and track the amount.

Then look at the Owners of the Mares bred to the Sire, do they sell them or keep them.

This year the Freshman Sire I singled out is Gun Runner owned By Winchell, His trainer

is Asmussen and I list his group of G R's first ,they could be the best of his crop, Look at his High

priced Sales of Home breds G R's, and check the high sales of the mares bred to  G R,

and the ones they keep. After all of that, the best of the crop might be the cheapest sold.

Using my pedigree angles the Cheapest sold could be rated higher then the high priced ones.

Its 2 Yr old season. Good luck.

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

Jul-16

Great job Smarty. SPA action is where 2 year olds enter for 1st time. And it takes burning the midnight oil to get a handle on 1st time maidens - No PPs. Thanks!  (d)

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