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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 114479 views.
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

7/25/21

The Tri + Super + Picks in that race exploded the board.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

7/25/21

MTR

7/25/21 Del Mar 5.5f Dirt

Race 2 Drink the Wind Peter Miller

7/29/21 Saratoga 5.5f Turf

Race 6 Consumer Spending Chad Brown

7/30/21 Saratoga 5.5f Turf

Race 6 Slipstream Cristophe Clement

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

7/25/21

Thanks, race 2 at Del Mar number one has a MTR BMSire Sumter Mandella trained

Suppose to be pointed for Routes, facing Bafferts 3.. that has me curious for a good trip.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

7/25/21

The #2 disappointed big time. Baffert's horse looked very impressive.

princeofdoc

From: princeofdoc

7/25/21

Yes, Murray looked great......as did a $67 BB daily double!  I am surprised that SF Racing is sticking with Baffert, but I suppose that if they get a Derby contender, they can always switch barns?

In reply toRe: msg 42
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

7/25/21

2 yo's that raced to 7/26/21 of interest (update from 7/19 )
to see who progress  to make the Derby field. This early its
Hard to identify the Cheap Speed(precarious) in 5f and 5.5f MSW and separate
them until they stretch out to be 2 turn candidates, its no biggy not to 
have one thats raced once or twice on the list this early imo. theres always next time.
May is a long way off.
--
Big City Lights  E 102
Bourbon Heist
Chattalot
C My Meister (T )
Coinage (NY) RF
Costa Terra
Dance Code >
Grafton Street RF (T)
Gunite (speed)   E 89
Docter Jeff RF-Natalma, 12f type   E 91
Heat Merchant (aw)
Headline Report >   E90
High Oak
Hope In Him
In Due Time
James ALoysius
Kitodan
Lenny K (aw)sprinter- 3 yo
Midnight Worker
Murray
Nakatomi   E 103
One Timer   E 100
Ottoman Empire RF>
Portfolio Company (T)
Sonnyisnotsofunny
Stolen base (sprinter)
Ten Gauge
Thirsty Always (Cal)  E 90
Volcanic
Winging It
Wit   E 100

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

7/26/21

“Cheap speed” indeed! It’s bad enough if they are only able to win 5.5f sprints. What’s worse is when they are only able to lead early in this fields, then fold like a cheap tent! MTR sent out two such horses at short prices in Labarde and Drink the Wind. Pretty embarrassing to get all that pre-race hype, then finish so poorly. Looked like quarter horses out there!

In reply toRe: msg 45
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

7/27/21

Historical Beyer numbers for Derby winners is 92 beyer  or higher for 2 yr olds.
saying that it's not at 5.5 f  or less and normally this early in the year.
--
Here is the Beyer Leader Board for 2 yr olds thru 7/27/21
no body has qualified yet for that angle Wit was close at 90.
Murray @ 5.5f has a 78 for those excited for his race, but firsters can improve
leaps and bounds next race like any 2 yr old.
---

Big City Lights SA 02 May 4 1/2F 93
Echo Zulu SAR 15 Jul 5 1/2F 92
Wit SAR 17 Jul 6F 90
Little Drama BEL 16 May 5F 86
Big City Lights SA 20 Jun 5F 85
Behave Virginia CD 26 Jun 6F 83
Control ELP 25 Jul 5 1/2F 83
Happy Soul BEL 13 May 5F 81
Happy Soul BEL 03 Jun 5 1/2F
...[Message truncated]
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DogsUp

From: DogsUp

7/28/21

Control, a Philly no less,  has great stats for 1st time starter winnerS' on the mare side. Unlike scoping the stallion numbers for firsters.

She hit the gate in maiden win, ran on every path possible against substantial early fractions and was taken in hand to the wire. 

To me she has 8.5 - 9 fl potential and we might just see her come Breeders Cup day.

Great list!

RACE #4 ..  #1 Saddle cloth

https://youtu.be/GFrEkHs6k0k

  • Edited July 28, 2021 9:18 am  by  DogsUp
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

7/28/21

Interesting, Very Interesting pedigree. She can be almost anything.

Di 1.55, cd .43 Stamina Sires , with high speed cmp gives her balance

of speed and stamina, Good tf families in 5 generations, the foundation Mares

Threw 2 high stamina Sires Tom Rolfe,  Chieftain, another one

Bold Ruler and mare Foolish one, 5 lines

With Almahmoud 2d,  Baby League 1x, Myrtlewood 13c, all 3 2 lines. 

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