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This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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2/15/22
Did you read that hot rod 'Mattress Mack' lost $10 million S Bowl and most on Bengals straight money line vs taking the 4 1/2 points. TEN!
There's no shame in betting place as the Delta.
You know, when I'm not rested I don't handicap; dig in.
This guy owns a mattress company!
What was he thinking? Certainly was not rested. He needs a nap. There's a lot less cash under his pillow.
Being emotionally rested and in control is a key in everything including the races.
Nightmares for this dude.
I'll play the Star if I can get a handle on how the surface is running. Horse like Hot Rod Charlie set track record in the Louie Derby this track..and handled many many other surfaces forward.
Yet there have been runners out of this race, then forward on to L Derby winning and hitting the board:Win.. 2nd + 3rd then entering the Derby. The 1st + 2nd hit boarders in The Louisiana didn't score in the Derby and up late for 2nd behind California Chrome was the 3rd place in Louisiana.
Commanding Curve. With Shawn Brigmohan. 2nd longest in betting.
The 1st + 2nd in Louie were Last and 12th in Derby; Vicars in Trouble Rosie rode and Johnny Vee on Intense Holiday.
Surface change?
A great example of surface is Bourbonic in his Wood last year. I predicted an Over of 1:14 for the six fl.
I never studied under D Wayne Lucas but would say that Pletcher would have wanted a fast track for Bourbonic to get something out of the race to go forward. Yet! Bourbonic was coming off racing on a very slow surface PARX track. It worked.
Stay Thirsty...Xxx..I mean Stay Rested.
(d)
2/16/22
Mattress Mac must have a large bankroll to lose $10mil and probably not blink an eye. I thought he took the Bengals w/the pts (+4) which if my math is correct he won his bet?
Better luck next year!!!
My wife had the Chrome/Curve exacta that year....betting angle.....she used CC & CC for a $2 dinero exacta! Go figure.
I like Hot Rod in the Dubai World Cup. Think he gets the lead and its over.
2/16/22
Mattress Mac is not simply a gambler; he's a businessman, and quite successful. He offered any customers who purchased mattresses over 3K during the 2 wk period leading up to the SB their money back should the Bengals win. Thus, though he lost the 9.5 million bet, he did over 20 million in revenue during that period, with 70% coming in as brand new customers.
He's been doing that for years in baseball and other sports.....he's hedging, in actuality, and it's been very good for business.
2/16/22
Mattresses offer one of the best profit margins in retail. While some grocery store chains might earn a 5 percent profit margin, mattresses have a markup in the 40 to 50 percent range, according to Consumer Reports. According to one study, a $3,000 mattress might only cost $300 to manufacture — a 900 percent markup. (From a study)
His track record in sports is losing bets.
He lost his real own personal reportable income money. And not tax deductible. (Signer requirements)
The Fungible notion is a rationale that his personal profit was made at a very high markup vs cost of goods.
Anybody can spend money.
2/16/22
Dogs said "His track record in sports is losing bets."
I don't what is overall record in betting is, I know he made Millions of Dollars betting his Horse Run Happy the non Lasix
Phenom. I think he still has a piece with Claiborne..
Jockey: Gary L. Stevens
Trainer: Laura Wohlers
Owner: James McIngvale
Breeder: Wayne Lyster, Gray Lyster & Bryan Lyster
Sold to Jim McIngvale
2/17/22
KNICKS GO *Post #1 broke sharply, then brushed
with CHESS CHIEF *Post #3.....in the ensuing strides and was prevented from getting off the rail....... was able to work his way outward three or four paths after entering
the first turn, gave distant chase to LIFE IS GOOD to the stretch, could not make up the necessary ground but outbattled STILLETO BOY
2/20/22
"inched closer outside of rivals around the far turn before floating four wide entering the lane, but came up empty thereafter.
SlOW DOWN ANDY, in his next, will have Douggie putting anti-floating blinkers on.
Team S D Andy had a meeting prior to race to determine if the lack of blinkers would Slow Down Andy.
In prior; raced greeny, appeared distracted by noise or visual impact.
Seemed to float-step then as well.
Say; Give him credit for mental accuteness for his tourist view in his race surroundings, yet goggles in next should make him all business and there he can gauk. Maybe take the shadow roll off.
2/22/22
Dosage 11 for newest installed 2021 Derby Winner. Unrefuted.
PRIOR Years...
https://edge.twinspires.com/racing/foal-date-dosage-indexes-for-2020-kentucky-derby-field/
A Dosage toss is a huge loss.
50-1 ers like The Bird, Giacomo.
Late birthdays can make the First Sat in May paydays.
The diminution of crop size substantially changes the genetic calculation for Anomalies.