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Derby Picks   Triple Crown - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 4/12/23 by RAESFAN; 26534 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/13/23

you did like I did with winter, slightly different he striked thru the 33 pts Cont.  earned in Dubai

has him listed in 20th place as the Invite from Japan, the other Derma Sotogake in 7th place.

Dura Erede was strike thru last week .

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/23

smartyslew said...

has him listed in 20th place as the Invite from Japan

As you know reason I don't like how they are doing that and why should be listed in #1 spot....he is not vulnerable, he's in no matter what.  Putting him at the end like that makes it look like he is like the others vying to get in.  

I guess it's just how how file drawers work in our brains though, how we order things.  

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/13/23

I like Sotogake if he doesn't attempt to wire the field.  I would prefer to see him prominent behind the pacemakers.  I do not think he needs the lead.  He will be overbet, though.  Hovering around 6/1 even now.  

Aside from Mandarin Hero, who may or may not get in and I hope he does because he capable of winning the race, IMO, Continuar will be a huge overlay.

He is coming into the race live and I see on some books he's around 50/1.  I would love him at 20/1.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/23

SameSteve G said...

I would love him at 20/1.

I hate to tell you this,, but I am expecting Derma Sotogake's odds to be less than, or about equal to, Forte's....or thereabouts. 

 

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/13/23

I would love 20/1 on Continuar.   I just said Derma is already around 6/1 at the books.  It would not surprise me in the least if he's 2nd or 3d choice on Derby day on the live tote.

Derma Sotogake is not a stand alone bet for me.  No way, no how.

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/13/23

Ah, I see what you mean.  I haven’t been there in ages either, guess I forgot how to navigate lol.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/13/23

that was easy to do no matter if they had him 1 or 20 imo, what do you think.?

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/13/23

Yeah he doesn’t need to be on there twice at any rate.  They should just do a list of the top 19 if he’s accepted the invitation; 18 if the Euro comes whoever it is.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/23

oh, okay, I misunderstood 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/23

ChiefsCrown said...

Still looking at pp's for this race. Trying to whittle down 20 to around 6 or 7 and go from there.

Right now i like Kingsbarns / Hit Show and Disarm. On the fence with 4 others.

Not trying to talk you on or off any horses.   Just take a look here though.   I think it's worth looking at the times for this race where you pulled out 2 horses to love.   If you love them, that's cool.   Just know that that was a very slow race, historically.  I'm sure you knew that but I can't help but point it out, which I did here:

http://forums.delphiforums.com/horse_racing/messages/?msg=1770.1943

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