26 days til Derby. The last Six 6 ML public Favorites Won the Derby. *DQ 2019 Maximum Security. Seven years ago non-fav I'll Have Another won. Connections owner, trainer and jockey returned to their next Derby (included in above 6) and won again.Nyquist. Now...

Tiz the Law looks and performs as prohibitive favorite. And I'm reminded of a blogger here who had his own blog based on breeding/handicapping complete with videos and his opener was: (in January).Why American Pharoah won't win the Derby.

Well, the Dogs is off his chain and collar. The math above including the significance of a DQ to get a bad beat ticket..the math and there is math in music, art and the hard sciences..and feel though for the numbers. And with all do respect 

Tiz the Law does not win the 146th - 2020 Kentucky Derby. (d)

Hope you're right, Dogs!  I think he'll be the biggest favorite we've had in over 40 years....by far.  Did look tremendous, certainly, hoping that Pistol is right with Art Collector.  He looked good today, pretty easy race, won't take anything out of him for the Derby......I had the tri cold, and was quite happy to see Attachment Rate come 2nd, as he was my shot in the top 10 thread, and I have him at 150-1.

The once a year Derby player (and there is a ton of them) will have TizTLaw a Rock Hard Ten bet.

Back to those connections of late winning 2 Derbys. There was Tim Tam/Iron Leige.A kinda connections in Riva Ridge/Secrtartiat (special extraordinaire). And as mentioned I'll Have Another/Nyqist. So is it like the chances of rolling box cars..two same dice. In a row. Or what the occurrence of a race's outcome with 20 runners as 3 yo many months later than the prescribed first Saturday in May.

Commonalities in the potential of winning of two Derbys by same connects are in the case of Tiz the Law's predecessor Derby winner Funny Cide the same individual purchased him at auction was an additional factor. Owner Jack Knowlton for Tiz/Cide. And trainer Doug Oneil's brother Dennis for Another/Nyquist.

Knowlton picked 2 NY breeds to boot.

I do remember noodling the chances of the 2 in a row I'll H Another/Nyquist both having the same jockey who won aboard his first ever Derby mount. Again?

To be continued..(d)

No Infield..No General Admission at the K D Y. Usually if late-in big single whale bet come in via a remote one. 

Derby is million more to $3 mil purse. Cause to believe 20 show up.

A winner beating the caulk, sorry chalk, will enhance breeding fee and pondering for 3 y o horse of the year. 

Winner $1.86 million ($186,000 to Jockey + trainer.

$600,000 2nd, $300,000 third, $150,000 4th and $90,000 to fifth. Kentucky was $2 mil since 2005, and $1 mil from 1996-2004.

3 Million reasons a field of 20.

Via KDY press: With a record $3 million in prize money now guaranteed for the Kentucky Derby, the winner will receive the event’s highly sought-after gold trophy and a $1.86 million payday.

Insert..Jock & trainer share, beyond prestige is $186,000. A piece.

 Also, $600,000 will be awarded to the runner-up, $300,000 to third, $150,000 to fourth and $90,000 to fifth. Previously, the Kentucky Derby purse had been worth $2 million since 2005, and was $1 million from 1996-2004.

Sole Volante. He hasn't raced since June. My saying is always "fit horses win G1 races" and I just don't know what Biancone is doing w/him. He raced on 6/20 and didn't work til 7/31. And then, on turf. Gosh. Something is not right here, folks. Horses competing for a TC race are not trained like this. This is highly not normal. Horse should have been back to scheduled workouts by end of June, not end of July! I've never seen anything like this. Horse has tons of stamina.

We all pretty much are calling this one the Kentucky Derby ..Unplugged..Diet...No trans fats..

Dogs just gonna hang back. In real life I'm a laid back and easy going man. 

This year..Easy Goer approach. 

https://youtu.be/G3avWeb_Sgk