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Kentucky Derby 2021 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 2/28/21 by DogsUp; 46505 views.
pianot

From: pianot

May-14

Wish the best for you. If I understood 1/10th of what u say here I could retire again!

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-14

I think they must use the progeny. Twirling Candy 23b, is the Sire. Candy Ride is Part Argentina bred-2nd sire

At 3: 1st: Malibu S (G1,7f), Del Mar Derby (G2,9fT), Oceanside S (R,Dmr,8fT)

At 4: 1st Strub S (G2,SA,9f), Californian S (G2,Hol,9f); 2nd Pacific Classic S (G1,Dmr,10f); 3rd Hollywood Gold Cup (G1,Hol,10f)

  • Dec. 2010: Set Santa Anita track record Malibu S. for 7F on dirt in 1:19.70

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only 2 races this year with improvement  91 bris 1st 9f Aw, bumped bad at start bris 96- 3rd place blue grass

a tidbit to think about Cowboy Cal  bms a turfer ran on dirt 2nd Blue Grass

Fappiano/ Storm Cat TC  nick bred for the Classic . Needs this race to see if he should go to the belmont.

AWD is moot for this marraige imo. Like a Hang nail.imo

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

May-14

pianot said...

Wish the best for you. If I understood 1/10th of what u say here I could retire again!

After a few years, you start to pick it up.   Really, you would not be alone in that. 
Reading dogs is stream-of-consciousness with puns and a little Jack Keroac thrown in and maybe some movies that paul newman did.

As someone who read Gertrude Stein books and actually made it thru those, you'd have to understand that compared to her, dogs speaks very simple language.   ROTFL 

 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

May-14

I LIKE Rombauer.   I just couldn't decide if I liked him more or less than Midnight Bourbon.  2 completely different types of runners. Midnight has lower odds (5-1) that I believe will go lower at Post Time because so many people are 'on' him. (including some outfits that put out big products and have a huge following).  Midnight is 5th off the layoff......Rombauer is fresh.  So I need a horse, I will proably pick Rombauer. 

Preakness race is not my strong point, and I may chicken out playing it altogether, at least that is my feeling right now.  Maybe tomorrow I will feel differently. 

One horse I have added is Concert Tour.  I'm not "sure" he can get the distance in time, but I do know he was on the vets list at OP, so I can't help but think he will improve here.  

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

May-15

Midnight is the favorite right now at 5-2.  Rombauer is 11-1 but they’re all between 5-2 and 18-1.

I think I’m just going to put $20 on Rombauer and enjoy the race without getting too stressed out.  My order for Haskins’ contest:  Rombauer-Concert Tour-Medina Spirit-Midnight Bourbon-Unbridled Honor-Ram-Crowded Trade-Risk Taking-Keepmeinmind-France Go De Ina.

In reply toRe: msg 360
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

May-15

off to a bad start.  One of my picks for race 1 Market Cap fell out of the gate, lost rider.  
Hope the #1 beat hozier, I'll be good if that happens.   edit:  Yay!  it did happen

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

May-15

That's on paper as you know, 3rd time out doesn't guarantee a forward move.

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

May-15

To all..The third time cap axiom is. Third time back, third time on a drop 

In claiming price or class  

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

May-15

For sure.  Sometimes I like to take races and works together and try to get a feel for how the horse is feeling headed into a race.  I label the works slow, par, or fast.  For example, over 1:01 and over for a 5 furlong work is kind of slow, 1:00 to 1:01 is par, and under 1:00 is fast.  Of course some trainers always want to work them fast but you can kind of get a look at the big picture.

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