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Kentucky Derby 2021 DogsUp Diary   Triple Crown

Started 2/28/21 by DogsUp; 49248 views.
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/21

DogsUp said...

Handicap Hoofnote:  crunch one's selections and set the ticket construction. (Exotic)..

Don't remodel the ticket; 2nd guess it, or 2nd guess yourself. Or be persuaded by others. 

I need this tatooed to my forehead.   You don't wanna know..........LOL 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/21

DogsUp said...

*Bulletin- Brad Cox is trainer of Derby sharps Essential Quality + Mandaloun.

If EQ does 1/2 of what Monomoy Girl has done......Cox is not an unimpressive trainer.    

And yes, Caddo River is not a derby horse.  Hope they don't run him. 

Mandaloun I'm not sure about.  Lesser exotics at this point for me. 

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

4/13/21

Dogs, i did that in 2010, the Super Saver win. I had the 3 for the tri/box ticket and for some reason i added my favorite horse for that year Jackson Bend and played a super/box instead. Well, we know where JB ended up...a lackluster 10th i believe.

Never did that again. If i lose a bet, its on me!

DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/14/21

Wheel / key; don't box in such a large field.

With just a change of start pole/finish pole,  premier jockey,Rosario, who is riding big horses to win makes a simplistic mistake. But provides example of best jocks and race riding is differential in KDy.

Derby point++ Jocks leave a chute, embattle traffic of 20 out of the gate. Run up is 3 times shorter in some cases. Gauging when and where to ride mount is unique.

https://www.thoroughbreddailynews.com/rosario-fined-for-misjudging-finish-in-nose-loss-on-stakes-favorite/

  • Edited April 14, 2021 12:06 am  by  DogsUp
In reply toRe: msg 68
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/14/21

Hot Rod Charlie

Team O'Neill bros start by Denny O N purchasing at auction. Then Douggie barn team turns them into Derby winners a la I'll Have Another + Nyquist.

Flav Prat rides. Won Derb on DQ of  Max S on Country House. Actually 2nd Place.

Must go out early to force runners to do more than they want before the stretch.

Flav rode as above in Derby 2017 and 3rd behind Lookin at Lee and winner Always Dreaming.

Flav 'in the Derby early and often 

  • Edited April 14, 2021 4:03 pm  by  DogsUp
In reply toRe: msg 69
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/14/21

This Catholic Boy tossed Jesus Team in the big Dubai yet likes Derby runner:

Sainthood running 2nd to The King in Jeff Ruby 'Steaks. (That's the spelling Husk) they cook em and eat em.

Sainthood can handle the early going by staying say 5 horses in front (in Derby) *as he did in Ruby and comport to not fight the jock. Be along the rail and move outside. Run outside and Bob and weave through tiring horses. He got bumped in stretch in Ruby making his run. But can/did take a punch and closed gamely. 

Video 

The King & Saint ran 1:50 though. Saint could have lost 2 seconds in transit. Saint #5. Pletcher Winstar.

Carried 123. This his 3rd lifetime.

https://youtu.be/Nk_m83r3Fhs

Like underneath guy can handle longer and can roll late.

  • Edited April 14, 2021 8:31 pm  by  DogsUp
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/14/21

Yeah, Rosario 'forgot' where the finish line was when riding Rushie last weekend.   

It's unreal that he would do this. 

I don't know why people like him. When he is aboard a horse I like I shudder, esp. since I  know he will go wide wide wide. 

 

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/14/21

They should call it the Jeff Ruby Steaks Stakes.

Just finished my taxes, the usual 5 hour ordeal.  Beat that Dogs.

In reply toRe: msg 63
DogsUp

From: DogsUp

4/15/21

Hot Rod Charlie .

Doug O'Neill older bro Denniss goes to auction buys recent KDY winners Nyquist & I'll Have Another. Know how to get There. Same team of stable crew underneath. They rent a house and live together/team prior Derby. 

Two prior winners with Raddam owner. 

HRC owner blood relative of O'Neill bros. Owners in winner circle always seem overwhelmed that they have such a great colt.

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/15/21

He definitely looks the part.  Long and lean, not like a sprinter.

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