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Triple Crown Series   Triple Crown

Started 4/18/21 by smartyslew; 25117 views.
In reply toRe: msg 159
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-1

Check out message 156 and 157 to see how good essential Quality belmont winner
did to previous winners. he's 2nd displayed here.
2021 belmont contenders 8 generation  female linebreeding
BOURBONIC C, 2018 DP = 2-6-8-0-0 (16) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.63
ESSENTIAL QUALITY C, 2018 DP = 5-12-14-1-0 (32) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.66
Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
SOMETHINGROYAL 6S x 8S x 6D x 7D x 6D 5 (2) (0) 5.86%
...[Message truncated]
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In reply toRe: msg 160
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-1

HOT ROD CHARLIE C, 2018 DP = 1-4-5-0-0 (10) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.60
Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
DOG BLESSED 7S x 8d 2 (1) (1) 1.17% < 7x7 1.17%*
...[Message truncated]
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

last Q on Dirt 11/8 mile or longer.last race only 25.40 or better
--
Essential Quality 24.98,Hot Rod Charlie 25.04   1st 5 listed here
Bourbonic 25.30,Known Agenda 24.98,Overtook 25.06
Rombauer 24.40
 
1 pt-tt only 
Essential Quality 23.85,Hot Rod Charlie 24.53,  1st 4 here
Known Agenda 24.74,Overtook 24.81, Rombauer 23.51
---
bris speed numbers 100 plus, distance and weight,grade,surface-last 1st
-
Essential Quality 101 juv 8.5f Gr 1,Dirt, 122, ;102 9f G1, Dirt, 123-1st
Hot Rod Charlie 100 juv 8.5 f,gr1, dirt, 122, ' 100 10f, G1 dirt 126-2nd
Known Agenda   101, 9f g1, dirt 126, 4th
Rock Your World, 102 9f g1 dirt, 124,  
Rombauer              103, 9 3/16,  dirt 126---3rd
--  
lead at 1/8 pole, 9f or longer
--
Essential Quality, Hot Rod Charlie,  1st 4 again here
Known Agenda, Rock Your World
Rombauer, 
- 
weight:last 3= 1 negative pt
Overtook 119-118-118,  didn't hit board
no race over 11/16 :1 negatve pt
0
- 
race: 4 lengths within winner
--
last race  Essential Quality. 1st 3 here
H R Char, Overtook, , 
Rombauer
--
In reply toRe: msg 162
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

28 day or less layoff or derby  all itm ok
all but Rebels Romance, 
--
gr1 races:
all but
Overtook, 
----
raced 3 times at 2
Bourbonic, Essential Quality,--1st
France Go De Ina, Known Agenda--4th,
 Overtook,
--
106 beyer:
none
-
beyer top:last
Essential Quality 100-=1st
Rombauer  102--3rd
Hot Rod Charlie 100--2nd
Overtook  84
----- 
2 or more 100+ beyer
none
-- 
92 beyer at 2:
Essential Quality  95--1st
Hot Rod Charlie  94..2nd
-- 
3 to 6 races at 3:
all but
, France Go de 
--
stakes win at 3:-----------------------------------1st 5 qualified
Bourbonic, Essential Quality, H R Char.
Known Agenda, Rebels Romance,
Rock Your World, Rombauer
---
stakes win at 2:
 Essential Quality  front line winner
--
raced at belmont:  weak this year
Bourbonic, 
Known Agenda,-4th    Overtook,
-- 
career wins,no. 100+ beyers,no 106 beyer-neutral
n/a
----- 
stalking style---1st 3
 Essential Quality
HR Char, Rombauer,
-- 
beat how many rivals-1 pt-leader
n/a
- 
lost ground in last:  all out of the money good angle
Bourbonic, ,France go
Rock Your World,
 --
 won on the lead and not on the lead, no mdn
Essential Quality   yup
-- 
races in a row on the improve-beyer
Essential Quality 6, 69-88-95-96-97-100  1st
Rombauer 3, 84-88-102    3rd
Hot Rod Charlie 3 ,94,99,100   2nd
Overtook 4, 46-70-83-84
-----
races in a row on the improve-bris
Hot Rod Charlie 3, 93-96-103    2nd
Overtook 4, 69-80-88-95
Rombauer 3, 91-96-100    3rd
---- 
belmont contenders variant.last race only
3 yr old races-routes
parenthesis is horses number, plus or minus is the variant
listed the ones who beat the variant
-
Essential Quality var 4, 3 +1  97   100 beyer-- 1st 3 still a good angle
Rombauer     var 3, +1  98   102   beyer
Hot Rod Charlie  var 4 +1  97,    100 beyer
----- 
plus or minus of variant last 3 routes-dirt-no scoring
important to see those 3 races and added dd
---
 Bourbonic  -14, -1(won),  +5,
Essential Quality  +1,+6(won) +2 (won) slop
Rombauer  +1,(won)  0, N/A,
Hot Rod Charlie +1, +9(won)  +3
Known Agenda -9 (Derby) +2 (won) 0 (won )
Rock Your World -22 (Derby), 0 (won) +4 (won)
Overtook   -4,-4, -2(won)
-------
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In reply toRe: msg 163
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

1 pt-tt-quarter only last race    scored on another page
 Essential Quality 23.85,Hot Rod Charlie 24.53,
Known Agenda 24.74,Overtook 24.81, Rombauer 23.51
---
lead at 1/8 pole, 9f or longer, any 3 yr old race
--
Essential Quality, Hot Rod Charlie,
Known Agenda, Rock Your World
Rombauer, Rebels Romance
Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

Jun-2

aces in a row on the improve-bris
Hot Rod Charlie 3, 93-96-100
Overtook 4, 69-80-88-95
Rombauer 3, 91-96-100
 
Rombauer’s should be 91-96-103.  
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

Thanks, I'll correct it !

In reply toRe: msg 164
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

RAN BM Sire Line:1 negative pt       neutral
Bourbonic, Essential Quality, France Go
 Rock your World
--- 
dosage points
2008--DaTara--12-----4-2-5-0-1
2005-Afleet Alex-14--5-0-9-0-0
1966-Amberoid--14---1-3-6-0-4
1959-Sword Dancer-10--2-0-2-5-1
1950-Middleground-12--6-0-4-0-2
1944-Bounding Home-10--2-2-0-5-1
1943-Count Fleet(TC)--4--0-2-1-1-0
---------
1 negative pt   the winner was good
,Hot Rod C 10,
Rombauer 10 Incomplete, some Argentina pedigree
--
 
belmont winners
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In reply toRe: msg 167
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

Afleet Alex,Sarava,Thunder Gulch ,ruler on ice
these are the only 4   0-0 Belmont winners without a
stamina chef in 5 generations. In fact they are the only 3
without a stamina chef going back thru 1940. 3 others
Jazil(RF),Point Given,Hansel going back thru 1970, have only one
stamina chef in 5 generations.those 3 and Touch Gold,Danzig Connection
that don't have a stamina chef on the Sire side.thats 8 winners
without a stamina chef on the sire side.add ruler on ice to this,union rags
-- 
0-0 stamina contender without a stam chef in 5 gen.1negative pt--EQ is good
Bourbonic, Hot Rod Charlie,
- 
only one stamina chef- 1negative pt  winner is good
Brooklyn Strong, Overtook, Rombauer,
- 
no stam chef-sire side- 1 negative  winner is good
Bourbonic,Hot Rod Charlie,
- 
stam chef 4 gen------------------- 1 positive pt   
Brooklyn Strong, Essential Quality-1st, Known Agenda,
Rebels Romance, Rock Your World
 -
dominate  classic pts -1 positive pt 
None, I mean nobody
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 only 8 winners have a cmp stamina 1.07 or higher, highest 1.17
Hot Rod Charlie 1.31 -2nd winner good
--
Horse cmp s/s more speed pts than stam-1 negative pt
 0
------------------- 
Grand Sires Dams more speed than stam:1 negative pt
-
 Essential Q good
Hot Rod Charlie-2nd
--
  the X passing position on the dam side- 1 pt 
-All
-
contenders with conduit belmont winners-1pt
--
Essential Quality 1x La troienne; 2 Bimelich(son) Easy Goer !st
(This is 3rd Belmont Winner for Conduit La Troienne 1x (BPT)
11th TC winner for Her 4 derby, 4 preakness .3 Belmont) Greatest of all time
move over Doxa..   :)
...[Message truncated]
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In reply toRe: msg 168
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-2

-
ran sire line with la troienne in a passing position  Winner not here
Known Agenda,  Overtook, Rebels Romance
Rock Your World, Rombauer, 
no la troienne in a passing position-  winner is good
,France Go De Ina
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 generation black type winners:23
Essential Q. 31 
reine 5 gen 10:1 pt
-
BPT conduits in 5 gen
Essential Q 13---1st
--
big 4 large heart in a pp= 1 pt
 all
--
6sx 6d : big 4 large heart or closer=1 pt:
0
big 4 lh in a pp  6th generation or closer:1 pt
Overtook- Prince   otm
--
2 daughters or more of big red on each side in 5 generations
Essential Qualty  3          winner
-
10 gen dc mares Dam Side in a PP-20= 1 pt
--
Overtook      49
Essential Q. 38----1st
Known Agenda  29--4th
Rombauer     21---3rd
 Bourbonic 20---5th
Hot Rod Charlie 20--2nd
-
5 gen Double copy Large Heart  Mares
Overtook 8   0tm
Knownj Agenda 4--4th
Essential Qu.  3   1st in race
--
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