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Triple Crown Series   Triple Crown

Started 4/18/21 by smartyslew; 25764 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/23/21

Here is a angle I look at when I'm putting my tickets together after the draw.

I like to look at all of the May foals to see their progress from January to Derby Day

They are a little bit behind in their Growth and need to show they are Improving.

If I have to choose between 2  horses and they are close in my scoring ,I'll pick the Youngest ,

especially to choose between May and Jan. or Feb. foals.

This year only one May Foal : 5/15 *foal   dam 9 yrs old-3rd crop 1st winner
Sainthood....

In reply toRe: msg 31
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/23/21

There is a Sire I have been waiting for to get to The Sire Brood mare age , and that age differs  from the amount of 

Mares they get to cover each year and the age they were when they started their fun cycle.

also its just my projection to be a possible elite BM sire and not really knowing his best mates sire lines or 

Mares.  

Corinthian has one in this years crop  Like A King 6-3-2-1 itm all 6 races. keep an eye on him.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/23/21

Jeff Ruby Stakes is perplexing, because look at how badly Tarantino did, as well as Gretzky the Great, who were the co-favorites in that race.  And both Like The King and Sainthood had trouble in that race, yet ran 1-2.   Only way around this is to watch works at CDX because this race isn't, on paper, going to tell you much.    FWIW I had both horses in my mid-April picks which was a while ago.... and they were also contest picks for me in the Derby contest that cubs is running.  

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/23/21

the video told a story not on the chart and the close told a lot about both horses

and tarantino was a throw out race and those 2 looked a lot better to me than Gretzky the great.

good luck in the contest.

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/24/21

smartyslew said...

good luck in the contest.

its not really a contest.  Nobody really picked their horses for the derby in order.   I play a similar contest on anotehr group, the master of cermonies has 4 categories and he puts the horses in each category you can choose only ONE from.  Usually, my top 3 horses are always concentrated in only one of those categories, so I only get to pick one.... then I pretty much "make up" my other picks out of thin air  because none of the categories he designs have  horses I would touch with a 10 foot pole.  LOL 

This one here is more like a pick a square in a football lottery that as the game goes on you are welcome to a square nobody else is taking.    But thank you just the same.  

It is a fun pasttime and I'm glad cubs thought of it.   Kinda something to lift the spirit and is lighthearted.  

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/24/21

For years I ran the 1 to 20 pool draw at  work for $1, $5, and $10 for the Derby !

I was nice if your horse was injured  you got your money back if  I started the contest

a week or longer before the derby, I was a shift worker had to cover 4 shifts and every year was different

to cover the race. A couple guys that have passed, gave me hell because they got hooked on Horse Racing

all in fun of course. One of them loved me later when OTB opened in the nineties, and we live in Gary Stevens

Country and almost everybody in there Bet on Thunder Gulch, even Stevens Grand Parents were in there

We had to come back on Monday with a chit to collect our money, The guy that ran the OTB, A texas hold em

buddy of mine, was told he had the highest percentage  payout in the whole network betting on the Derby.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/24/21

I wonder if some of those guys are going to skip the first pre Derby Party since there chances of getting lucky

went from 38% to zero.

In reply toRe: msg 34
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

4/24/21

Derby point leader board 4/24/21

Name, Horse conduit Tail female number, most of the female families in 5 generation,

next is Derby Points,  then Birthdate, Dams Age, Dams crop number for the entrant,

2nd row: N= Derby Nick, if applical, last race distance, next is 3 speed numbers

Con = Conduit Mare number of Derby winners . many have zero.

---

X-Essential Quality 1x(8)3o,13c(9) 7 2f,     140        4/9 dam 9- 4th crop
N, EP4,9f  E109, bris 102,bsf 97,   con 4 kd,4 prk,2 bel     
-
Hot Rod Charlie  11d,26,7 21a,5 4n 4 13c,       110      4/11 dam 9-5th crop
E/P  9 3/16 E 99   Bris 96 ,bsf  99, con- 0        1/2 to Mitole
---------
Super Stock  23a, 37,4r, 4 1x, 4 13c,        109       4/12 Dam11-5th crop
  E/P4,    9f E 106,bris 97,bsf 92,   con-0
-
Like The King 9f,(9), 2s, 5h, 4 13c ,4 19c      104       2/13  Dam 6-1st crop*
 N E/P 6, 9 f, E 95 (aw), Bris 94, bsf 86,     con 0
-
Known Agenda   9f (10)19 c, 3L, 6 13c 4 23b         102   3/12  dam 9-2nd crop*
 N P3       9f E 112, Bris 100,bsf 94,    con 0
-
Bourbonic 5f (7) 8 4m, 6 5g,5 16a,4 13c,              100       4/7 dam-8 -3rd crop/
  P2,       9f E 100, bris 94, bsf 89,    con 0,
--
X-Rock Your World  9f, 7 13c,6d,7 4m, 4 8c        100         2/28   dam 9-2nd crop*
 E/P 7,L N,  9f E 103 , bris 102,bsf 100    con 1
-
Medina Spirit  2n (10) 1L,2n,4 1r,4 13c,4 11, 4 12c        74        4/5 Dam 4-1st crop*
N E7, 9f , E96, bris 98,bsf 94,         con 0
--
Midnight Bourbon A1(8) 26,2s, 4 3L, 4 13c, 4 9g      66    1/25    dam 9-4th crop-barren*
E 8, 9 3/16 E 96, bris 94, bsf 96   con 0                                   1/2 to Girvin
--
Mandaloun 5j , 7 23b,6d,   4 16a, 4 2d,4 4m,     cd 1.17     52          3/18     dam 7-2nd crop*
 N,P7,  9 3/16 E 82, bris 83 , bsf  82, con 1 derby
-
Caddo River 21a ,16 h,(6) 1x, 4 3L,4 7a                        50     3/29   dam 6- 2nd crop*
E 8, 9f E 102,bris 95,bsf 88,  con-0
-
Highly Motivated   7a ,7 23 b,2n,5 9, 4 4m,4 9b,4 12c,    50   3/23   dam 6-2nd crop*
 E/P6       9f E 108 , bris 102,bsf 97,    con 0
-----
X-Helium 1m, 7 1x,11d,  5 2d ,4 13c,4 9f,           50   4/1  dam 12-4th crop-barren*
E/P 6, N, 8.5, E94, bris 93, bsf 84  con 0 
-
Soup and Sandwich  26 ,7 23b,3o,6 2f,4 4m,            40     3/30  dam 7-1st crop*
 E/P7 9f  E 108 ,bris 98, bsf 90,        con 0         
-
Dynamic One 6a ,13b, 23b, 7 4m,4 8f, 4 13c,       40      2/2    dam 8-4th crop.1st winner
N E/P4  9f E 100, bris 94, bsf 89,         con 0
---
Sainthood  8h (12)8h,3L.6 13c,5 19b,              40            5/15 *foal   dam 9-3rd crop 1st winner/
L n, E/P5  9f E 93 (aw)bris 93, bsf 84,    con 1
---
Hidden Stash  1x,8k, 6 23b,4 13c,4 2f,4 3o,               32         3/15  Dam 8- 3rd crop/
N  P , 9f E 94, bris 91,bsf  82,          4 con-
O'besos  21A ,8c,2n, 5 2s,5 13c, 4 4n,                    25             3/4  Dam 11- 4th crop barren*
S3,  9f E 96,bris 94,bsf          con-0
--
Get Her Number 21A, 37,1x(8) 6 8c, 4 13c            20              4/14, Dam  7,-2nd crop*        
...[Message truncated]
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SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/24/21

Only the pessimists.  ;)

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/24/21

Thanks for doing this Smarty!  I have officially reached analysis paralysis.

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