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2021 2 year olds   Handicapping

Started Jul-2 by smartyslew; 34659 views.
In reply toRe: msg 113
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Aug-21

Best horse I saw today wasn't a 2 year old, it was a $50 winner that Shirreffs had in the Stakes race.  Astronaut.

Its was mind boggling that nobody bet on the horse, who has run ITM 1st or 2nd in 9 races......but what's more is the stakes race was at 1-3/8 miles and it was a Quality Road with Acatenengo BMS,  I mean, THE GERMAN LEGEND.....We are talking 3x HOY and 4 years Champion Sire who won everything under the sun at 2400m

So True Nicks gives Astronaut an A++ rating and nobody bets on him despite his great race record.   

I was happy for Shirreffs. 

In reply toRe: msg 114
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Aug-21

What was even better, a longshot ran 2nd so the $2 exacta paid over $900.......another homebred by Mastercraftsman out of a South American dam (CHI) bred by Haras Don Alberto (I always pay attention to his horses and breeding---esp. since he was the very first owner of a Frankel colt , and after he bought Vinery and started purchasing mares to breed to Frankel........those mares produced the first 10 Frankels in the Southern Hemisphere).   Many were not aware of him til he burst onto the US scene but they've been breeding in Chile for a long time.........he leased some pretty remarkable stallions like Mastercraftmen, Dylan Thomas(IRE), Proud Citizen, Rock of Gilbraltor, Bluegrass Cat, Fusahichi Pegasus, Henrythenavigator, etc. to breed with them)  Guy knows what he's doing ---- He's got well over 100 broodmares  at this point.    (He's got Dacita and Salty, too.) 

Some people like Shirreffs and McCarthy are obviously starting to "get it" with the breeding, training for owners who are going to South America and Germany for "drug free" breeding stock.   

I know a couple of owners and trainers are going in that direction,  and I have those listed in my virtual stable.  Holding on to these homebreds who have stamina and haven't been shot up with PEDs in their genetics.  

Some of the U.S. "win early and retire at 3" breeders:  "Take note"   LOL 

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Aug-22

While the winner ran a great race, there were quite a few horses in the race that didn't get to do their best running. My pick, Say The Word(no surprise there), never got a chance to run until the contest was decided. The jock seemed to be loaded, but his decision to save ground, always a double edged sword, had him up on heel throughout the stretch. He should get one more shot at a BC prep. I hope he gets a chance to fire his best shot.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Aug-22

Perfect Grace did win impressively, but for a debuting juvy to run the fastest race at the distance of three, in hand, winning by 8, I have to give KP the gold star!

In reply toRe: msg 91
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Aug-22

Up Date 8/22/21
-

2 yo's that raced threw 8/22/21 of interest updated 
Nobody on the list is unraced !
--
Achilles Heel
American Xperimint off the turf
Baladi
Big City Lights  E 102-sprinter injured
Bourbon Heist
Chancellor Bay-rf
Chattalot
Coinage (NY) RF
Costa Terra
Credibility
Daufuskie  sprinter
Degree Of Risk (T)
Defend
Don't wait up
Dripping Gold n(T)
Eldens Prince (T)
Electrostatic ( T)
Emmas Waltz  11 2d-rf
Enbarr
Feel The Fear
First Empire (T)
Flying Drummer
Forbidden Kingdom
Free Lancer
Great Escape
Gunite (speed)   E 89
Heat Merchant (aw)
Headline Report >   E90
High Oak
H P Moon
Immokalee
In Due Time
James ALoysius
Joker Boy
Kamui
Keepcalmcarryon
Kevins  Folly
Key Point 
Kiss The Sky
Kitodan
Lenny K (aw)sprinter- 3 yo
Limited Liability
Major General
Midnight Worker
Montebello
Murray     E 86
My Prankster
No Sabe Nada -sprint
O Captain
Old Town Road 2 -RF
On Thin Ice (T)
One Timer (AW)  E 100
...[Message truncated]
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RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Aug-23

Brad Cox unleashed a Pioneerof the nile juvy named Matareya at Ellis this past weekend. The Godolphin owned fllly is out of a Bernardini mare. She covered the 6.5f on dirt, in 1:15 4/5, winning in gate to wire fashion.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Aug-23

Thanks, yes I saw that and a good mover.

Another one ran at Woodbine on turf that made me eyes bulge.

I forgot her name, I'll have to look it up. Both are on the list.

That didn't take long  Cardio Princess (JPN) check that pedigree

Casse trained, Gary Barber bought out of Japan.

News feed says he won at Saratoga, that's wrong.

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Aug-25

On Saturday, one of those MTR fillies I was raving about(Plus Chic), will run in the Arlington-Washington Lassie Stakes. She is moving from the grass to the AW, and stretching out from 5 to 7f. Hopefully she can win this and move on to the BC!

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Aug-26

I love to keep up with the fillies. They don't get nearly enough press. Averly Jane has a pretty impressive resume already, and not many people know of her. The Midshipman filly, out of a Richter Scale mare, is bred for speed, and she has certainly showed it so far for Wesley Ward. She is a multiple stakes winner already.

Another who is more obscure as she debuted at Colonial Downs, is Hidden Connection, by Connect, out of an Awesome Again mare. She is also very fast, but is more likely to stretch out successfully, in my opinion. She is trained by Brett Calhoun.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Aug-26

I have both Fillies on the list, Remember Wes Ward doesn't have many 2 yr olds

that will stretch out to be gr 1 types, If he gets one and hypes it don't discount it,

He is a very good Horseman and knows what he has.
---

Today 8/26 Saratoga Race 5, 2 yr old MSW one and one eighth mile dirt

8 entrants no firsters entered,  Only one entered on the 2 yr old list #8 Keepcalmcarryon 5-2

2nd choice Pletcher/ JV , Morning line favorite Rattle N Roll 2-1, has about the same speed figures

Tom Amoss has #6 Dowagiac Chief   8-1,  has 2 races best speed numbers in this  field, not ITM

finished 4th in last 8.5 f Turf to winner Limited Liability. a shug runner on our list, 2nd Sweeping

Giant on our list, He might be considered for this race.

This starts the 2 Yr old Juv season, and maybe the derby trail.

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