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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 211541 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Dec-8

Two yr. Horses entered 12/9/22 & 12/10/22 that are on our list for stretching out
-
12/9/22 Oaklawn
 Race 8 : 5.5 f Dirt Advent Stakes 9 entrants
#5  Tylers Tribe  (Iowa Bred Phenom ) Bled In last and stopped 3rd place today
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Turfway Park Race 5 :6f AW MSW :12 Entrants + 2 AE
# 10 Santorini  finished 2nd nipped by a head.
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!2/10 Los Alamitos :Race 7 MSW 1 Mile Dirt 10 entrants
#3 Gilmore -Baffert  First 1/5 chalk
 
Race 9 : 8.5 f Dirt Stks  (f) stks
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  • Edited December 10, 2022 7:08 pm  by  smartyslew
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Dec-9

This year I've been following some pricey MTR two year olds, but none of them stepped up. Out of the blue, a moderately priced first timer named, Safe Trip Home, stepped up and won nicely at Turfway on 12/2. I know it was on an all-weather surface, but I like the way he did it, and there's some good dirt influences in his pedigree. He's out of a Bernstein mare, with names like Affirmed, Tiznow, Chief's Crown, and others, fairly close up in her pedigree. She was stakes placed up to 12f, so hopefully she passed on some stamina as well.

  • Edited December 9, 2022 5:31 pm  by  RAESFAN
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Dec-9

Bernstein 1x Has the same Conduit Mare as MTR 1x La Troienne BP Transcendant 
that gives Safe Trip Home a Piggyback Tail female  line from his Sire and BMS to go
with his TFF line 3o  with another line from Relaunch with a 1x/3o Dam S/BMS
4 stam Chef in 5 generations, he should be competitive.
Its getting Harder to project good runners with the Breeding getting Better
and a lot more making Projecting Pedigree guidelines, way to many this year.
RAESFAN said:

Safe Trip Home

Gerh

From: Gerh

Dec-9

Excel Calculator is in the same race as Gilmore

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Dec-9

Ok Thanks Gerh ,Tricky DI 5.67, Speed Sires countered with Stamina Conduit Mares for balance. 8h TFF

Conduit Mare Profile = 5-3-7-11-4   Speed = 8   Stamina = 15   Index = 0.77   Triads = 15-21-22 with a RF

RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Dec-10

Thanks for the info as always! I like the name of this colt. “Safe Trip Home” is the name of an album by Dido, which is the name of the dam. I like when the horse’s name has specific significance.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Dec-10

That is cool info, I already have good vibes and Safe Trip Home gives me goose bumps from your message.

Gerh

From: Gerh

Dec-11

I thought he ran really good to get up for fourth considering he broke poorly.Worth watching going forward

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Dec-11

This should cheer you up.

Workout History Don Corleone Back On the track

Track Date Course Distance Time Note Rank
San Luis Rey Training Center 12/10/2022 Dirt 1F 13.00 Handily 2/2
Del Mar 08/27/2022 Dirt 5F 1:00.00 Handily 13/73
RAESFAN

From: RAESFAN

Dec-11

Glad to hear it. Maybe they started him prematurely.

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