First crops rarely excel, but could be different with Catholic Boy!  Besides, you need a new one as MTR is getting a bit old :)

I'm rooting for Army Mule's first crop....

The new game is go to that first crop sire reported by people smarter then me

the fee will be cheaper like for Into Mischief , Tapit who excel at stud with a lofty price
first few crops a lot cheaper.

Another thing they figured out your top sires were speed horses at 2 years old

Like Mr P, Storm Cat, Danzig, Into Mischief, Candy Ride, War Front , etc

Most Derby winners are from early crop Sires,.

Somebody Tongue In cheek said Breed to all of the first crop sires and you will get

thebest sires down the road and drop the bad ones.

Somebody said its the new game in town.

today and by the time their 3rd crop races ,you have a good idea who to breed to and who to drop, if this is true 4th crop sires that are doing good will be scheduled at a higher price, others not so good will be dropped and decrease in the mares they cover

All excellent points!

One of the reason I'm interested in Army Mule, as we never found out just how good he could have become

In the early fifties MLB was signing Bonus Babies like Dick Wakefield and Paul Petitt

For $100,000 signing , by the end of the Fifties they were signing 10 players for $10,000

each, thought the odds were better for one to make it to the biggies.

A breeder could breed to 50 1st crop sires to close to the price of one

top sire. Deep pockets savvy people just might be doing that today.

1/22/23 

Santa Anita Race 6 Today 8.5f Dirt MSW

Bafferts Harlocap Won and Mandellas yellow Brick was 2nd.

BTW Bafferts 3 yr olds have to be dispersed to other trainers before 2/28/23

to be eligible for the Derby.

Nothing to write home about, but Funtastic Again couldn’t have looked more impressive. He never got out of second gear! It is Turfway, so I don’t know if he will be as good on dirt. He’s tried it before, but he didn’t look like this!

Remember MTR passed last year!

Southwest Points race 20-8-6-4-2
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E1 E2/LATE SPEED PARS: 91 97/ 89      97 ,      94 99/ 104    104  (7f) Arabian Night)

Speed Last: 

104 - 7f Arabian Knight, 99-6f Corona Bolt, 96-8.5fJace's Road,  95-6f  Frosted Departure,

 89-8f Hit Show,  88- 8f Sun Thunder, 82- 8.5 f Red Route One ,81-8f, Western Ghent 81-7f  El Toma
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Back Speed :

96Jace's Road 89 Hit Show 88 Sun Thunder 88 Red Route One 81 Western Ghent 69 Frosted Departure NA Corona Bolt NA Arabian Knight NA El Tomat

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Early Pace:107-6f Frosted Departure,  100-6f Corona Bolt , 99 - 7fArabian Knight,  94-8.5 Jace's Road,
 83-8f Sun Thunder 83-8f Western Ghent, 83-8f Hit Show 83-7f El Tomate 64-8f Red Route One
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Late Pace :

104  7fArabian Knight, 104 8f Red Route One,96 8f Hit Show, 95 6f Corona Bolt, 87 8f Sun Thunder

 87 7f El Tomate, 86 8,5f Jace's Road 83 6f Frosted Departure 80 8f Western Ghent
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10th Race Oaklawn Park - Saturday, January 28th, 2023

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raced on Lasix :Sun Thunder, Corona Bolt, Frosted Departure, Hit Show, El Tomate
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3 speed Balls Coming Off sprints and one Arabian Knight has a Fast Late Pace Number
Frosted Departure, Corona Bolt will try to go with or stay behind and try to rate or

Arabian Knight Could Rate behind them and he is outside those 2.
Cox has 3 in here He could have Corona Bolt Duel with the Lead and Set it up for

Hit Show and Jaces Road. 
I think the first 4 Pedigree numbers are Arabian Knight, Hit Show, Corona Bolt, Jaces Road

Cox Trains the last 3 , and Baffert the other one. Arabian Knight and Jaces Road are Lasix Free of the 4.

I think the winner will be from these 4 on a fast track. 

See if the Lasix helps anybody.

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Best speed at the Distance:

3 Jace's Road 96 7 Red Route One 88 8 Hit Show 84

Prime Power:6 Arabian Knight 145.2 2 Corona Bolt 137.6 3 Jace's Road 133.5
Class Reading : 

6 Arabian Knight 119.2 2 Corona Bolt 117.0 7 Red Route One 116.5

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