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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 255494 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-24

3 years old On our list racing this week
 
1/25/23  Edit Munnys WON going away
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Gulfstream Park Race 8: Allowance 3 yr old state bred Fillies never won 2 races
6 f dirt  #2 Munny's Gold (f) Munnings/ Mda D'Oro   I Ortiz/ Pletcher  L  7 entrants
1/27/23
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Turfway Park Race 5 MSW 1 Mile All weather track 14 entrants,2 L free
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#8 Line Of Sight  L Gun Runner/ Unbridleds Song   Achard / Stidham EDIT 5th place
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Santa Anita Race 6 allow/oc  6.5f Downhill Turf 6 entrants 
# 2 Wound Up   L1   Mendelssohn/Distorted/ Humor  Gutierrez Edit Last of 4
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1/28/23
Sam Houston Race 8 100,000 stks Bob Bork Texas Turf Mile 8 entrants
#3 Worthington   Classic Empire /Monarchos   Gutierrez./ Maker L free , rest on L
---
  • Edited January 27, 2023 9:06 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-25

Southwest Points race 20-8-6-4-2
-

E1 E2/LATE SPEED PARS: 91 97/ 89      97 ,      94 99/ 104    104  (7f) Arabian Night)

Speed Last: 

104 - 7f Arabian Knight, 99-6f Corona Bolt, 96-8.5fJace's Road,  95-6f  Frosted Departure,

 89-8f Hit Show,  88- 8f Sun Thunder, 82- 8.5 f Red Route One ,81-8f, Western Ghent 81-7f  El Toma
-

Back Speed :

96Jace's Road 89 Hit Show 88 Sun Thunder 88 Red Route One 81 Western Ghent 69 Frosted Departure NA Corona Bolt NA Arabian Knight NA El Tomat

--

Early Pace:107-6f Frosted Departure,  100-6f Corona Bolt , 99 - 7fArabian Knight,  94-8.5 Jace's Road,
 83-8f Sun Thunder 83-8f Western Ghent, 83-8f Hit Show 83-7f El Tomate 64-8f Red Route One
---
Late Pace :

104  7fArabian Knight, 104 8f Red Route One,96 8f Hit Show, 95 6f Corona Bolt, 87 8f Sun Thunder

 87 7f El Tomate, 86 8,5f Jace's Road 83 6f Frosted Departure 80 8f Western Ghent
--

10th Race Oaklawn Park - Saturday, January 28th, 2023

STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $750,000. Southwest S. (Grade 3). THREE YEAR OLDS. (04:57 PM) (9)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey                       runup    bris            last Q Trainer
1 Sun Thunder So 3 C 117 Cabrera David             60 ft      88 8f gd     26,39 McPeek Kenneth G.
2 Corona Bolt EP6 3 C 117 Prat Flavien                 80         99 6f Cox Brad H.
3 Jace's Road EP5 3 C 119 Talamo Joseph             50         96 8.5f        25.95 wired Cox Brad H.
4 Western Ghent  E3 3 C 117 Torres Cristian A.        60         81 8f            25.78 wired Lukas D. Wayne
5 Frosted Departure  EP6 3 C 117 Arrieta Francisco         80         95 6f McPeek Kenneth G.
6 Arabian Knight  E6  84 days off 3 C 117 Velazquez John R.       55        104 7f Baffert Bob
7 Red Route One  P2  63 days off 3 C 117 Santana, Jr. Ricardo     50         82 8f           25.52 Asmussen Steven M.
8 Hit Show   P4 3 C 119 Franco Manuel             60         89 8f           25.32 Cox Brad H.
9 El Tomate  S4 3 C 117 Mojica Orlando            50         81 7f Silva Miguel

------

raced on Lasix :Sun Thunder, Corona Bolt, Frosted Departure, Hit Show, El Tomate
----------
3 speed Balls Coming Off sprints and one Arabian Knight has a Fast Late Pace Number
Frosted Departure, Corona Bolt will try to go with or stay behind and try to rate or

Arabian Knight Could Rate behind them and he is outside those 2.
Cox has 3 in here He could have Corona Bolt Duel with the Lead and Set it up for

Hit Show and Jaces Road. 
I think the first 4 Pedigree numbers are Arabian Knight, Hit Show, Corona Bolt, Jaces Road

Cox Trains the last 3 , and Baffert the other one. Arabian Knight and Jaces Road are Lasix Free of the 4.

I think the winner will be from these 4 on a fast track. 

See if the Lasix helps anybody.

--

Best speed at the Distance:

3 Jace's Road 96 7 Red Route One 88 8 Hit Show 84

Prime Power:6 Arabian Knight 145.2 2 Corona Bolt 137.6 3 Jace's Road 133.5
Class Reading : 

6 Arabian Knight 119.2 2 Corona Bolt 117.0 7 Red Route One 116.5

---

?

Msg 1770.1548 deleted
pianot

From: pianot

Jan-25

I'm all in for swinging away for ya in skid row. I guess I dont understand Baffert either believes he will be able to run in derby or feels can transfer and get enough points for AK by derby time. I suspect the first.

DogsUpWired

From: DogsUpWired

Jan-25

100 Days to Ky Dby.

Churchill Dws will flood the court with stalling counter claim objections while Roberto Baffman team claims time is of the essence.

The over/under is whether the court will allow timeliness as a consideration. Time is of the essence...in racing and in this court battle.

Over: Court does not adjudicate in timely fashion. Mute as Derby day runs. 

Under: Decision made for one party's contention. Causing enforcement. Don't think court wants to override and create precedent.

 Over  (d)

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Jan-25

smartyslew said...

BTW Bafferts 3 yr olds have to be dispersed to other trainers before 2/28/23 


Freudian slip, i read "dispersed" as "disappeared"    LOL  

Anyway, this paper trainer trick should be an embarassment to US Racing but it's not, which actually puts a lot of things in perspective.  About US Racing.  


It reminds me of a neighbor I once had, real trash who beat up on his girlfriend, she called police that night, then got a restraining order on him and made the landlord pay to change the locks (she was a manipulator, too, as it turns out)  . At his hearing he was found guilty, and the judge made a STATE ORDERED declaration that he was not allowed on the premises anymore....state ordered means even if she invited him over he can't be there.   

So she of course, takes him back.  And he walked around like he was clever,  and they were both proud that they had "gotten over" on everybody.  The neighbors didn't call because he was a gun nut and very large, so they thought they might be hurt if they reported this. 

Basically, "power" w/in a group, whether that power is perceived or real, allows these things to happen.  It allows some to be where they have no right to be.   Here is the "but why?" : 

The guy continued to physically abuse his girlfriend, of course.   She acquiesed, and so did everyone in the immediate environment out of fear.  Maintaining STATUS QUO and agreeing to what is not ethically correct.   Seems to be a common model when inside a dysfunctional and corrupt bubble. 

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-26

LOL eyesmask My mask got in the way when I did that .

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-26

Edit: Derby Points in this race, 2 entrants Jaces Road 13,Red Route One 5,

More for Southwest stks on message 1547.
Speed Last: 
104 - 7f Arabian Knight, 99-6f Corona Bolt, 96-8.5fJace's Road,  95-6f  Frosted Departure,
 89-8f Hit Show,  88- 8f Sun Thunder, 82- 8.5 f Red Route One ,81-8f, Western Ghent 81-7f  El Toma
--
Early Pace:Bris number last race EDIT:  60 ft runup in this race

107-6f Frosted Departure, 80 ft runup  22.15   45.38  57.83  1.10.91      stks  3rd
100-6f Corona Bolt , 80 ft runup            22.24   45.92  57.78  1.09.96      stks
99 - 7fArabian Knight,  55 ft runup       22.47   45.78   --       1.09.82     MSW 1st
94-8.5f Jace's Road, ---  50 ft runup       24.46   48.18  -         1.12.59   1.38.30   1.44.85 stks
83-8f Sun Thunder         60  "     "          24.47    48.50 ------   1.13.84   1.39.42    Mdn
83-8f Western Ghent,     60   "  "            23.60    47.95   ---     1.12.66   1.26.59    1.39.54  stks 
83-8f Hit Show *  SCRATCHED           60    "  "           23.79    47.97-------- 1.12.95    1.25.80    1.38.17 all OC  89
83-7f El Tomate              50    "   "          23.66     46.76-------- 1.11.81    1.24.98    MSW
64- 8.5f Red Route One 50 EDIT 2nd        "         25.26     50.41-------- 1.15.41    1.39.41    1.45.53  g2

   

* 25.32 Last Q

----

Late Pace :

104  7fArabian Knight-1st, )104 8f Red Route One-2nd,96 )8f Hit Show, 95 6f Corona Bolt, 87 8f Sun Thunder 87 7f El Tomate, 86 8,5f Jace's Road 83 6f Frosted Departure3RD 80 8f Western Ghent
-----

  • Edited January 29, 2023 1:02 pm  by  smartyslew
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-26

They Put Extra Anejo in the Pool 3 Future bets and 6 or 7 others with no works
for weeks, even a couple of Firsters who won on 12/31/22 and left off others in training

and racing and people betting on these horses with no true  transparency and
other years a few, and not this many, Most people don't have time to research

who is in training. I suggest anybody who bet on those 7 ask for your money back

for them not being Transparent Its as bad as Masking Drugs with Lasix. imo
-----

Extra Anejo exploded onto the scene with a 9 1/2-length win at Keeneland on Oct. 13 to break his maiden at first asking. He earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure and 119 TimeformUS Speed Figure for the eye-catching romp.

But Extra Anejo underwent surgery for a bone chip, and Asmussen has not given any news on his status. Keep in mind that most horses need at least four to six workouts to prepare for a race, and currently he shows zero since the October maiden win.
-- Any Thoughts

  • Edited January 26, 2023 7:03 pm  by  TexSquared
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jan-26

Sunday 1/29/23 horses on our list: 4 bafferts and 1 gelding.
anybody going to bet this race. will all 4 be cut to run in the Derby after.
$120,000 to the winner, $40,000 to second, $24,000 to third, $12,000 to fourth and $4,000 to fifth. 124 lbs. 

 2nd Race Santa Anita Park - Sunday, January 29th, 2023

STAKES. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $200,000. San Vicente S. (Grade 2). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. By subscription of $100 each if made on or before Thursday, January 19, 2023, closed with 11 or by Supplementary nomination of $4,000 due at time of entry. $1,500 to enter and an additional $1,500 to start with $200,000 guaranteed ofwhich $120,000 to the winner, $40,000 to second, $24,000 to third, $12,000 to fourth and $4,000 to fifth. 124 lbs. Non-Winners of a Sweepstakes allowed 2 lbs. Non winners of A Race other than Maiden, Claiming or Starter allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. (01:00 PM) (5)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Havnameltdown 3 C 124 Hernandez Juan J. Baffert Bob
2 Faustin 3 C 120 Vazquez Ramon A. Baffert Bob
3 Fort Warren 3 C 120 Velazquez John R. Baffert Bob
4 Man Child 3 G 120 Herrera Diego A. Hanson Ryan
5 Gilmore 3 C 120 Smith Mike E. Baffert Bob

----

  • Edited January 26, 2023 8:34 pm  by  smartyslew
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