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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net
From: smartyslew
2/27/23
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and bet the Winner
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In the Rebel I will do one box of the 4 Lasix free entrants 2 Powerful, 3 Red Route One, 6 Reincarnate
7 Confidence Game: Rain Or Shine
I'll wait to see what the track Conditions look like before I make a bet Saturday.
Message 1657 this Thread with results
best pedigree mud stats Sire only----------- Sire & BMS AWD (average winning Distance
1stConfidence Game Starts 1913 % 21 7.1 7.5 WINNER, 1st 2 both sires 7.1 f or better
Giant Mischief 1836 % 19 6.8 7.1
Talladega 1836 % 19 6.8 6.4
Frosted Departure 278 % 15 6.6 7.0
Powerful 146 % 20 7.1 7.5
Gun Pilot 121 % 22 7.3 7.6
Red Route One 2nd 121 % 22 7.3 7.6 2nd
Reincarnate 3rd 26 % 23 6.7 7.2 3rd
Verifying 4th 19 % 21 6.8 7.3 4th
Bourbon Bash 11 % 18 7.2 6.7
Event Detail 11 % 18 7.2 6.8
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Message 1659
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And bet the winner hoping he would rate and not break on top.
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I'll wait to see what the track Conditions look like before I make a bet Saturday.
Tough field.. On Paper.
7 Confidence Game
he won't have a clean face
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From: pianot
2/27/23
This is all awesome stuff. Do u track track issues as well? Blocks, pullups, bad starts etc?
- Edited February 27, 2023 7:19 pm by pianot
From: smartyslew
2/27/23
I use bad trips for a lot of that and many times it happens in the last race and besides watching
replays I use back speed a lot, sometimes its more important than data from last race and
with Bris free PP's on Cindy and Tex's Main site I correct what I think is mistakes and many times my
own numbers are used where I don't agree with their numbers and its handy to use and my own deciphering.
Some will say I don't like bris, Bris isn't the only tool in my tool box, far from it.
Their free PP's is a blessing on this site.
From: smartyslew
2/28/23
Message 1664 this thread, Has the angles I used in the Rebel that worked and some didn't
work from the PP's and charts from previous races. The only Pedigree angles I use in these
early preps are the Entrants from my list that could be Prospects for carrying 126 pounds on
the first Saturday In May and I have around 110 0n that list at the best 90 from that list won't make the field
Derby Day. I suggest take the time to read the angles on that message and take notes write them down and use them for the next preps. Some think I'm just a Pedigree capper, but I have always been more than that and competitive.
Try it and let me know how you did ! The same for message 1666.
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- Edited February 28, 2023 5:01 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
2/28/23
| STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $400,000. Fountain of Youth S. (Grade 2). THREE YEAR OLDS. Free nomination by Saturday, February 18. Preference will be given to graded stakes winners, stakes placed then by highest career earnings. (05:43 PM) (10) |
| PP | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey Runup Ft | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Jim P5 | 3 C | 121 | Saez Luis 30 |
McGaughey III Claude R. |
|
| 2 | Legacy Isle EP6 | 3 C | 121 | Jaramillo Emisael 60 | Crichton Rohan | |
| 3 | Shadow Dragon S2 | 3 C | 119 | Ortiz Jose L. 60 | Mott William I. | |
| 4 | ForteP3 | 3 C | 123 | Ortiz, Jr. Irad 50 | Pletcher Todd A. | |
| 5 | Il Miracolo EP2 | 3 C | 119 | Perez Edgar 60 | Sano Antonio | |
| 6 | Blazing Sevens S2 | 3 C | 123 | Rosario Joel 50 |
- Edited March 6, 2023 10:11 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
2/28/23
Suggest you go here http://www.horse-races.net/library/links-pastperformances.htm
Put your picks in a message on this Forum Sight , both sights are owned By Cindy And Tex
| STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $400,000. San Felipe S. (Grade 2). FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. By subscription of $100 each if made on or before Thursday, February 23, 2023, allowed 2 lbs. Non-Winners of a Sweepstakes at One Mile or Over allowed 4 lbs. - Entrants on Our List: National TreasureScratch, Practical Move 1st , Geaux Rocket Ride 2nd, Fort Bragg, Mr Fisk. Lasix free Chase The Chaos, National Treasure, Practical Move, Fort Bragg,: 2.3.7,9.10, Have raced in Graded Stakes Races. |
| PP | Horse | A/S | M/E | Wgt | Jockey | Trainer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase The Chaos | 3 G | 122 | Ayuso Armando | Moger, Jr. Ed | |
| 2 | National Treasure | 3 C | 120 | Velazquez John R. | Yakteen Tim | |
| 3 | Practical Move | 3 C | 124 | Vazquez Ramon A. | Yakteen Tim | |
| 4L | Bluegrass Go Go | 3 C | o | 120 | Maldonado Edwin A. | O'Neill Doug F. |
| 5L | Genius Jimmy | 3 C | 120 | Kimura Kazushi | McCarthy Michael W. | |
| 6L | Crypto Ride | 3 G | o | 120 | Rispoli Umberto | Lewis Craig Anthony |
| 7L | Hejazi | 3 C | 120 | Smith Mike E. | Yakteen Tim | |
- Edited March 6, 2023 10:21 pm by smartyslew
From: smartyslew
3/1/23
I noticed the DRF Top 20 derby watch For last week Had 5 Entrants In the Rebel
On Their list. #6 Verifying, #8 Giant Mischief, #11 Reincarnate, #17 Gun Pilot, # 18 Red Route One
Who finished 2nd, And not on the List the Winner Confidence Game.
I don't pay much attention to their list, After seeing that I'll be curious to see what this Weeks
List looks like.. The Fountain Of Youth will probably dominate this weeks with Forte in it
and there is 3 other preps this week. Next week with luck They should have a better handle on it.
3 on Their list is racing in the Fountain of youth.
- Edited March 1, 2023 12:27 pm by smartyslew