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2022 2-year-olds/2023 3-year-olds   Handicapping - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 7/2/21 by smartyslew; 345693 views.
smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-7

He has AP Indy on both sides that's good and perfect Placement and The Tapit/ Mr P nick that Essential Quality had, the Only P/P Tapit Sired Belmont Winner ,the Other 3 were P/N types.

Tapit has a test this year as A BMSIRE, and this field of 9 Has a good crop of Pedigrees for 12 f distance

and the pace will be a key and some like National Treasure to Wire this field,

that will be tough with only 3 wire Jobs in the 21st Century, 2 of those Triple Crown winners and Da Tara.

Gerh

From: Gerh

Jun-7

Interesting article.Thanks for posting it Rob.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-8

9 generation Inbreeding 1st chart, 8 generationFemale linebreeding 2nd chart
2023 Belmont Contenders
ANGEL OF EMPIRE C,2020 DP 4-4-2-0-0(10)DI 9.00 CD 1.20, 26, Classic Empire 4m/To Honor& Serve4r
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-8

FORTE C, 2020 DP = 4-4-5-1-0 (14) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.79 1x, Violence 1g/Blame 5h
Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence
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Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

Jun-8

smartyslew said...

I'm sorry it upsets you, and it's a pet peeve I hope you retain something positive from it

even with its defects.

I hope you did not misunderstand.  Your posting great data is not upsetting. 

I meant that Baffert's horses, IMHO, don't really run to their breeding, and/or I don't trust it.  So when I look at stats, I just remove those from my view until maybe the 3rd or 4th pass.   Or in case of shortened race, I also delete those from my "view" when analyzing. 

Its just my way of how my brain "sorts" data.   

If I were posting stats for each horse/year, on a forum, like you are, I would of course, include them, and as  you say, let the reader/end-user, apply whatever due dilligence to the data as they choose. 

Was just pointing out how I assimilate and translate data, on a personal basis.  :)  Hoping it may be helpful to others.  

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-8

Thats all good to know, thank you.

smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-8

9 generation Inbreeding 1st chart, 8 generationFemale linebreeding 2nd chart
2023 Belmont Contenders
HIT SHOW C, 2020 DP = 2-5-6-1-0 (14) DI = 2.50   CD = 0.57 A1, Candy Ride 13c/ Tapit 3o
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-8

NATIONAL TREASUREC,2020 DP 4-4-7-1-0(16) DI 2.56 CD 0.69 4c,Quality Road 13c,/Medag.D'Oro 9b
Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
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smartyslew

From: smartyslew

Jun-8

all 9 contenders linebreeding are now listed on this thread

TAPIT SHOES C, 2020 DP = 4-11-12-1-0 (28) DI = 3.00   CD = 0.64,8h,Tapit 3o/Flower Alley 17b

Horse Inbreeding Stats Crosses Lines Blood% Influence AGR
MR PROSPECTOR  13 c 4s x 5S x 5D x 5D x 6d Fappiano 16a, Preach 2f,Fort
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