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Jun-11
How they did in the belmont on angles from message 2178 with their tops numbers Non Pedigrees angles.
by bris without lasix being used.
1st Arcangelo 101 g3, 2nd Forte 103 g2, 3rd Tapit Trice 102 g1, 4th DH Hit Show 99 g2, Angel Of Empire 101 g1
6th National Treasure 100 g1, 7th Il Miracolo 85 g1, 8th Red Route One 95g1,9th Tapit Shoes 75 Mdn.
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highest with L used Tapit Shoes 98-stks,Il Miracolo 89 Oc, Red Route One 98 L Stks, (all 3 L number higher than non L)
interesting the 3 with Best Number on lasix finished 7-8-9, the last 3...
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Speed Last Race Arcangelo 1st 101,2nd Forte 100, 3rd Tapit Trice 93, 4th Hit Show 96, Angel 101
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Back Speed ::103 Forte 102 Tapit Trice 101 Angel Of Empire 99 Hit Show 98L, 2-3-4-4, Arcangelo 1st 97L
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Early Last; 1st Arcangelo 68, 2nd Forte 90, 3rd Tapit Trice 77,Hit Show 100, Angel 81,Tapit Shoes 100-Last.
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Late Pace Last : 1st Arcangeno 122,2nd Forte 96, 3rd Tapit Trice 86, 4th Hit Show 82. Angel 95
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Jun-12
I see now yes the 8 generation female linebreeding blood and agr usually is lower then
the 9 generation Male and Female Linebreeding charts.
I should of did the 9 generation charts the males can show more crosses sometimes
10 or more and have over 20 % agr 3x4,4x4 etc influence.
I put both together for this years crop they came in almost in order of their 9 generation linebreeding pedigree
Chart.
Jun-12
Lets see How message 2130 did for the belmont Copied below, check the date for that message 5/29/23
Page 108 this thread.
Arcangelo did have the closest up linebreeding 3x4 and and high AGR over 20 % closest
Also family 8f and the 3rd Conduit Belmont win last 16 years, Jazil & Rags to Riches 2 others
Equal to tapits 3 derby wins Deputy Minister below Sire of Better Than Honour 8f the 3rd Dam
Nijinsky 8f and Raise The Native 8f have the same Conduit as ARC and thats 2 amplifiers for
The tail Female Familiy 8f Lots OF influence strong for TC races, this family more for the Belmont
Keep a picture of the Sires & Mares and their progeny and family and Rasmussen Factor LIke
Forte when you see his wonderful Linebreeding at least 10 progeny listed are in many TC race winnersl
JJ a perfect ride that was Beahtiful.
Arcangelo
UNBRIDLED 1r | 3S x 4d unbridleds Song 4m, Tap Your Heels 3o | 2 | 2 (1) (1) | 18.75% | 3x4 | 21.66% |
DEPUTY MINISTER 10a | 4s x 4d Better Than Honour 8f grechelle 16g | 2 | 2 (0) (2) | 12.50% |
Jun-13
How I read the splits from their last races to cap the Belmont message 2137 page 108
Arcangelo won Belmont: splits all 24's to 9f and how he did it, 12f type
all 12's clicked 1/8ths after 1st 1/4, Angel close for 1/8's,distance suspect
National Treasure: Front Runner 10f top under right conditions, 1st Q fast.2nd Q almost 25
Red Route One Best numbers with lasix toss, Tapit Shoes last 4 races with lasix 70 something
number with out. Toss. Arcangelo if Mage and Tonalist can do it why not; JJ fit him like a glove
in the PeterPan and a Perfect ride in the Belmont and Pedigree says yes.
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smartyslew said:2023 belmont Contenders splits from their last race. Angel of Empire 24.30, 48.38 11.84 37.02 2.01.70 10t Derby G1 24.08 23..46 25.18 24.68 lastQ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Arcangelo 25.05 49.35 13.54 37.59 49.71 1/8 12.12 g3 9f 24.30 24.19 24.05 Last Q 24.15 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Forte 24.69 47.74 11.54 36.87 49.37 1/8 12.50 g1 9r 23..05 23.80 25.33 Laast Q 25.14 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Hit Show 23.38 46.44 10.83 36.37 2.02.82 10fDerby G1 23.06 24..39 25,54 26.45 Last Q ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Il Miracolo 23.02 45.34 10.48 37.12 last Q 26.64 8f allo OC 100,000 22.32 25.14 26.64 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ National Treasure 23.95 48.92 13.49 37.07 55.12 last 3/16 18.05 Prk G1 24.97 24.57 23.58 23.95 Last Q ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Raise Cain 23.59 47.14 11.12 36.71 2.03.57 10f Derby G1 23.55 23.98 25.59 26.86 Last Q ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Red Route One 25.06 49.64 13.80 37.78 56.08 Last 3/16 18.30 Prk G1 24.58 24.16 23.98 24.31 last Q ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tapit Shoes 23.17 47.16 12.26 38.34 50.95 1/8 13.61, 9f S 23.99 25.10 26.08 Last Q 26.65 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tapit Trice 24.61 48.76 12.14 37.31 2.03.42 10f, Derby G1 24.15 23.28 25..03 26.11 Last Q G1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Prove Worthy 24.30 49.21 13.44 38.68 2.03.80 10 f MSW 24.91 24..23 25.24 25.12 Last Q
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Jun-13
Message 2138 main Female Families for the 21st Century Belmont winners page 108
Arcangelo 8f, 2023 winners is loaded with family 8f one of the Dominant female families for The Belmont
and many other branches of family 8 within 5 generations.
2023 Arcangelo 8f(7) 8c 3 Storm Cat
2022 Mo Donegal 8c(7)
2020 Tiz The Law 8k(5) 8f 1
2018 Justify 8c(5) 4 8f
2016 Creator 8f (7) 4 8h
2013 Palace Malice 8k(4) 2 8f,2 8c,1 8g, 1 8h
2012 Union Rags 8f (5) 1 8d
2011 Ruler On Ice 8c(6) 5 8h,2 8f, 1 8d
2010 Drosselmeyer 8f(5), 1 8d
2009 Summer Bird 8f(8) 1 8d
2007 Rags To Riches 8f(6),2 8c, 2 8d
2006 Jazil 8f(6) 2 8c, 2 8d
*2005 Afleet Alex 8f(2) 8j 2,1 8d,5g(10)5h 3,1 5f
2004 Birdstone 8f(7)
2003 Empire Maker 8f(6) ,1 8c, 1 8d
2002 Sarava 8c(4) 2 8h
2000 Commendable 8f(4)2 8c ,2 8d,
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*Family 5 another angle goes with family 8 added together 19 positions Afleet Alex 5 with family 8.
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Jun-15
Jun-16
I like to take a picture of the speed numbers after the TC in June and compare before
the Breeders Cup the numbers and distance and see who improves and their best distance
and always check the last Q time to see if they ran it or backed up and under any pressure
a good tool to find their distance limitations when they move longer they are 3 yr olds.
here is the Beyer leaders.
------
3-year-olds: male or female
through 06/15/2023
HORSE | TRK | DATE | DIST | BEYER FIGURE |
---|---|---|---|---|
Arabian Lion | BEL | 10 Jun | 7F | 109 |
Drew's Gold | BEL | 10 Jun | 7F | 106 |
Munnys Gold | TAM | 26 Mar | 7F | 106 |
Mage | CD | 06 May | 1 1/4M | 105 |
Two Phil's | CD | 06 May | 1 1/4M | 105 |
Angel of Empire | CD | 06 May | 1 1/4M | 104 |
Gilmore | BEL | 10 Jun | 7F | 104 |
Arabian Lion | PIM | 20 May | 1 1/16M | 103 |
Jun-16
|
Jun-20
I was surprised how many horses 5 and older are on the Tbred Voting Poll
only two 4 year olds in the top 10.
1 | CODY'S WISH (29) | 5-H | 2-2-0-0 | 334 | 1 |
2 | ELITE POWER (5) | 5-H | 2-2-0-0 | 293 |
Jun-23
I won't bet the Ohio Derby tomorrow because I don't see value in the Horses
I think that will win. I have noticed the 8 entrants has speed, stalkers, closer types
and I can see Two Phils eventually take the lead if the jock decides its necessary because
of the pace . I think the 2 to beat are Two Phils and Bishops Bay who finished 2nd to Arcangelo
in the one turn 9f Peter Pan. Others are Lord Miles not consistent and Hayes Strike the gurus like and Henry Q.
Some think Hayes Strike 6-1 is the value, I don't see any value there for any I mention.
Two Phils will be tough to Beat imo.