This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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Thanks for the visuals and updates !
5.5 races help figure who are good gate horses, and like you noted more distance.
The trips for me are the hardest to judge at a short distance race.
When you get gate 12 in a 5.5f race in your debut race, you have to be pretty special to win. Any out of the money finish, really tells you little.
Baffert doesn't get many MTRs. They probably don't cost enough. However, I am following a 300k yearling Starlight purchase named Faneuil Hall. He is out of a Forest Wildcat mare. I hope Barfert doesn't mess him out!
Has he ever had a MTR ?
The female families suggest better on the Turf !
Elite Projected 3 Year olds for 2022.> updated 12/23/21 page 1 from post 406
name, distance, stam. Chefs,Prince.,LaTroienne, L. Heart, (top Families) Trainer, Tff, Reines Mares
|Corniche yes,2 stam,,P,L, 0 LH,(10 1x, 12-13c,6 16c,4 9c,)||x||Bob Baffert 1x, 12r|
|Jack Christopher yes 0 stam,P,L,1 LH,(6 1x,5 1e,4 9b,4 16a,9b,)||x||Chad Brown 1e,8r|
|Smile Happy yes 5 stam,L,3 LH, ( 10 1x,6 6d,5 4k,4 3o, rf)||x||Ken McPeek 6d,11r|
Emmanuel yes,1 stam,P,L,1 LH, (10 1x,6 4m,5 2d,4 16h,4 16g,) x Pletcher 4m,16r
|Giant Game yes 1 stam L,1 Lh,(11 1x,7 12c,6 19c,5 8c,4 2d,) rf||x||Dale Romans19c,11r|
|Octane yes,1 stam, P,L,4 LH,(6 1x,6 4m, 6 8f,5 13c,4 9f,) rf||Carlos David 4m,18r|
|Newgrange ? 2 stam, L, 1 Lh,(6 2o,5 13c,5 9b,5 1g,4 6d,4 8h)||Bob Baffert 2o, 7r|
|Tang yes 3 stam P, L, 6 LH,( 9 13c,8 4m,6 1s,4 3l,)||2 rf||x||Chris Clement 1s,12r
Armagnac yes,3 stam,P,L,5 LH, (15 13c,6 a4,4 3l,,
|x||Bob Baffert a4,14r|
|Wharton yes,2 stam,P, L,1LH,(10 13c,8 4m,7 21a,6 1x,4 19)||x||Bob Baffert 1x,13 r|
He had a three year old last year named Showpower, a 500K yearling purchase that has never run. I remember many years ago, he had a filly that started out promisingly, but she died suddenly. Don't remember the details.
I saw a nice one at Gulfstream today from Chad Brown. Credit Event, by Not This Time, out of a Candy Ride mare, debuted with a three length win over the artificial surface, at a mile and 70 yards. He completed the race in 1:41 and change. I need to see if he can replicate that on the dirt.
His female families says be belongs if he shows he has talent/
His sires Linebreeding I find interesting topped with Nasrullah and Forty Niner
I don't see that very often ,the percentage for Blood and Agr is pretty good imo !
Forty Niner carries Princequillos large Heart and is bred to Lucky Lucky Lucky who
carries Princequillos Xfactor thru Pocahantas same as Forty Niner to get the 3rd Dam
Mahdooda 6e. lot to like with that cd 0.20 winning from off the pace.
Blushing Groom has Rahy and Candy Stripes one on each side that's a positive imo
I think Gulfstreams Tapeta is going to play a role this year, preparing the 3's.
CREDIT EVENT C, 2019 DP = 1-0-9-0-0 (10) DI = 1.22 CD = 0.20