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3/28/22
Jockey Club stats: Handle says 2021 a banner year. Comes after Covid. And a rash of favorite and Triple Crown winners year after year. I remember as of late the free sheet handed out on Derby day at simo had the Superfecta printed dead nuts cold.
https://www.jockeyclub.com/default.asp?section=FB&area=8
One will see over the years the amount of handle drops from on track to nearly all off track. With 2021 handle being record breaking this year will tell the tale. Perhaps there will be a mid year update 2022.
FOR the Derby 2022
6/5 Under
Even $ Over
Alex I'll take the Under and buy a vowel.
3/31/22
Diary construction ARK DBY
#4 Doppleganger/Blinks Off - Johnny Vee
(Colt has been rotating 5 + 6 furlong works)
#4 / 23689/ 23689 $2. $40
23689/ 4 /23689 $1. $20
23689/23689/ 4 .50. $10
----
Hoofnote:
JOSE Lezcano already has a Derby horse; yet leaves his NYRA circuit steady business to buy May gate day insurance? Perhaps lost that points mount following his questionable lookie-lookie around in a race and Stewards meeting with him as follow-up.
Further, jock should give mount better rate and trip over previous jock piloting skills.
The jock to beat is Prat who rode Dopple in last but is on another
3/31/22
Simplification
perhaps a marginal fav or co-fav likely betting at 5/2 has inside post.
If come rain, yielding wet, can make his escape route with less possibilities of breaking in a tangle with insiders trading bump for bump.
Rare that Dog punts a... jockey Jinx of Castellano getting off this colt in last and new jock then winning and gives Jose Ortiz another run atop the lock & key silks runner.
4/1/22
Preakness & Compression by Jockey
Affirmed jockey Steve Cauthen maneuvers his colt towards Affirmed approaching the line causing compression to 'the colt' Alydar.
Only a 5 horse field at greatest distance Belmont stakes 1/1/2 miles.
Jockey Cauthen with Affirmed knows it's going to be 'a 15 round title fight/no early KO' and keeps his colt on the lead comfortably while pushing Alydar and jockey slowly around the track...Near the finish line Alydar and jock puts the proverbial nose in front, Cauthen finishes with the late KO punch.
Did Stevie C calculate the move for the entire trip? Compresion; relief, then KO? Why didn't Alydar jock move much sooner.
4/1/22
The other race Jack Ruby..
Key Delta
COBO SPIRIT
Joey Bravo has hit the board in Kentucky Derby and if this colt takes a liking to dirt might beat the 2 obvious with seasoned dirt runs.
4/2/22
+ All
Like Cobo Spirit and correction; will see if he takes to Tapeta surface.
Also that Joe Bravo perhaps committed to stay with the colt if he wins for Derby. Not just further shopping for others if even the win.