This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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After 15 KDY point races to date Pappycappie the Delta horse/ comparison horse is still the point leader and his Beyer kinda falls below nearly 10 runners, and consider there are 20 Derby stalls to come not too shabby.
Hoofnote: A Baffert runner in a Derby points race, yet ineligible to race in the Derby does not affect the final 20 count of points to become a Derby qualifier.
NEVER a winner from post-position 17. The last time gate 17 produced a horse that even finished in the top 5 was 2005.
Other factors - no longer
Bodemeister first crop Always Dreaming.
Colt with 7 Dossge won / 4 +/-
Never raced at 2 y o has won.
New starting gate now.
And the Baffert factor out of contention
Perhaps the draw will land Post 17 in top 4 needed..
For a general Over/Under not knowing the post draw:Go with Yes hit the board, in top 5.
Math only 5% chance #17.
Withers @ Big A.....for fun
Imaginary bet next 10 pt nine furlongs, weights....Weather conditions may even cancel racing..but would highly consider. * up to but not over.
OR Holly Bull. Same Saturday. Same as below
1. USE $100* any way WPS. One Horse selection. Minimum $20 in a slot
2. USE $24 for Exacta. Any
3. USE $60 for Tris. At .50 cent tickets
My early prediction of Kent D a Derby rider now has him a winter book long shot. I've given him more conditional chances than a 9/0 maiden.
In the I'll Have Another Derby his 3rd place was just not enough for window exchange. And he came out of that race with a personal issue.
It's a great life if you don't weaken.
Aquduct with fog today had 8th and 9th scratches to end up with small enough for no exacta, tri, super. And a W,P only..
Couldn't see to time race at run up.
Friday snow. Proly cancel?
Sat. Clear but a pulanta track. If they run and track chemistry gets Mother nature to turn her back
Two 30/1s and 60/1 found it to their liking.
My trainer instructions go wide then as fast as you can without grazing the outside rail.
Contest above for Holly Bull. Only.
Derby Point Race
Holly Bull - rain 7 PM, if before post Tiz the Bomb moves up. I wish I was in Florida now facing 2 months of winter.
Fortunately we have an informative Winter that makes it summer (song lyrics Nancy with the Laughing face) Hi.
Although Castellano is booting for under the radar connections, he's 'a hoping this one is his ticket to better days while performing out of recent injury..and Derby day mount. Yet he may switch to better if it presents itself on the first Saturday in May, yet the last day of that week.
One need see Tiz the Bomb run July 2nd at Elllis 4th race to know, even though tagged a winner and 2nd on greens, will run on dirt Saturday as an all terrain-er.
as above, to remention, Castellano rides Simplification. I can imagine when the silk maker got this one (Silk for Simpie) he said: "Hey Jake are they saying this 'is a lock!'
Up here near Buffalo we had 40 hours straight hours of the white stuff falling!
Blaming Phil on that note (6 more wks. of winter). I'm using the 5 / 6 / 8 in the Holy Bull...tri/box.
Non winners of post #17 in the derby, that curse has to end sometime. Odds in favor or against Dogs?
BIG A weather scratches Feb 4 yielding 3 horse fields.
I'd say the 17 hits the top 5. In advanced bet, hold
Lot-sa Japanese runners signed up for Derby dreams on Jan 29 late entry.
Corniche just signed in too.
Yah' know the Santa Anita Derby, Preakness and Haskell followed by winning the 3 eventos and popping in for a win BC Classic for a bonus could be up a sleeve.
Engraved invitation for Baff runners if a no go for Derbski and run for the carnations in the Belmont Stakes. And others who have a long ball runner or timing not Derby ready.
Keenland hosts BC as it did in 2020 and 2015.