This is a place for friendly and civil discussion of horse racing of all types including handicapping.
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Last Super Bowl posted a YouTube bio of winning team quarterback Tom Brady. Their opponent KC Chiefs did not score a touchdown. Three field goals. Record low 1.
Public and tv sporstscasters claimed the defending Bowl Champs couldn't possibly lose
Quarterback for Bengels Joe Cool is the deciding factor after all the comparisons are made at every nook and level.
If I were to show a video it would be Shawshank Redemption the movie .
The lead fiction characterxnamed Andy Dupree is falsely sentenced to prison. Bengals Qarterback represents Dupree
Here; guards, Warden and a handful of prisoners represent adversaries who can, will and harm him. RAMS.
Andy manages to rally some prisoners to create an improved quality of life and frame of mind.
He is above all that is a prison.
Pre-hype and the sixty minutes of play, and all real and tinsel distractions; and taking 4 1/2 points...Bengals Joe ia above all that is this Super Bowl.
Best bet Bengal toe kicks the longest field goal
That's how i see the SB playing out as well. Bengals kicker hits a 40 yarder at the buzzer. Cinci 33, Sheep 31.
I didn't know and don't follow any of NFL players until playoffs. Just know of Bronk, Brady + KC QB.
Along the way in playoffs ; peeps I know who really bet football went chalk and gave points.
Bengals @ + 4.5...if RAMS had made ,not missed, the point after a touchdown; the game would have still favored Bengals with points for and a A Half point win with points.
Mediocre SB....Bengals are still the Bengals.
On to the Risen Star!
No Knock Out punch. Purely an ending decision after 60 minutes.
The Risen Star dirt surface will be a factor to consider that week of; and that card.
The Star should be a good one! Maybe they'rll be a KD entry from this race
Did you read that hot rod 'Mattress Mack' lost $10 million S Bowl and most on Bengals straight money line vs taking the 4 1/2 points. TEN!
There's no shame in betting place as the Delta.
You know, when I'm not rested I don't handicap; dig in.
This guy owns a mattress company!
What was he thinking? Certainly was not rested. He needs a nap. There's a lot less cash under his pillow.
Being emotionally rested and in control is a key in everything including the races.
Nightmares for this dude.
I'll play the Star if I can get a handle on how the surface is running. Horse like Hot Rod Charlie set track record in the Louie Derby this track..and handled many many other surfaces forward.
Yet there have been runners out of this race, then forward on to L Derby winning and hitting the board:Win.. 2nd + 3rd then entering the Derby. The 1st + 2nd hit boarders in The Louisiana didn't score in the Derby and up late for 2nd behind California Chrome was the 3rd place in Louisiana.
Commanding Curve. With Shawn Brigmohan. 2nd longest in betting.
The 1st + 2nd in Louie were Last and 12th in Derby; Vicars in Trouble Rosie rode and Johnny Vee on Intense Holiday.
A great example of surface is Bourbonic in his Wood last year. I predicted an Over of 1:14 for the six fl.
I never studied under D Wayne Lucas but would say that Pletcher would have wanted a fast track for Bourbonic to get something out of the race to go forward. Yet! Bourbonic was coming off racing on a very slow surface PARX track. It worked.
Stay Thirsty...Xxx..I mean Stay Rested.
Mattress Mac must have a large bankroll to lose $10mil and probably not blink an eye. I thought he took the Bengals w/the pts (+4) which if my math is correct he won his bet?
Better luck next year!!!
My wife had the Chrome/Curve exacta that year....betting angle.....she used CC & CC for a $2 dinero exacta! Go figure.
I like Hot Rod in the Dubai World Cup. Think he gets the lead and its over.
Mattress Mac is not simply a gambler; he's a businessman, and quite successful. He offered any customers who purchased mattresses over 3K during the 2 wk period leading up to the SB their money back should the Bengals win. Thus, though he lost the 9.5 million bet, he did over 20 million in revenue during that period, with 70% coming in as brand new customers.
He's been doing that for years in baseball and other sports.....he's hedging, in actuality, and it's been very good for business.
Mattresses offer one of the best profit margins in retail. While some grocery store chains might earn a 5 percent profit margin, mattresses have a markup in the 40 to 50 percent range, according to Consumer Reports. According to one study, a $3,000 mattress might only cost $300 to manufacture — a 900 percent markup. (From a study)
His track record in sports is losing bets.
He lost his real own personal reportable income money. And not tax deductible. (Signer requirements)
The Fungible notion is a rationale that his personal profit was made at a very high markup vs cost of goods.
Anybody can spend money.