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Derby Picks   Triple Crown - HRN Horse-Races.Net

Started 4/12/23 by RAESFAN; 26538 views.
SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/12/23

Pletcher did beat me with Super Saver, though.  LOL  I know you had him and even tried to make me see the sense of it....but, nooooo.  

I still think Calvin won that Derby for Super Saver.  Killer ride.

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/12/23

Lol I just posted this in another thread:

2 Phil’s scares me with how he finished up in the Spiral (yes I’m old).  Can another winner come from Turfway?

He does have that ND-BR nick though so maybe third or fourth.

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/12/23

Hahaha yeah that was one of my many wins.  (I need a sarcasm font lol.)

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

4/12/23

Still looking at pp's for this race. Trying to whittle down 20 to around 6 or 7 and go from there.

Right now i like Kingsbarns / Hit Show and Disarm. On the fence with 4 others.

pianot

From: pianot

4/12/23

Honestly, until I really see the whole field who runs and track conditions, I just dont know. 

ChiefsCrown

From: ChiefsCrown

4/12/23

Yeah agree w/you on that note. Can just imagine injuries and defections which will insue before the gate opens!

In reply toRe: msg 12
Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/23

GL to you this year, Raesfan. 

I'm still just trying to find my WIN candidates, not my exotics horses yet.   I can fill those in later, after defections, post position draws, and also knowing the weather.   Like for exotics, I can't bring myself to leave out Kingsbarn yet, due to Uncle Mo.   

Then, i
f track is wet/sealed or sloppy, that would change a lot of things for me.   There are many in here who would benefit on slop like Reincarnate, Confidence Game, Two Phils, etc.   But leaving that aside for now:

So for my WIN candidates right now, (today) I like any of the Japanese horses, esp. Mandarin Hero.   Also Hit Show, Jaces Road, Lord Miles, Skinner.   I am not tossing Confidence Game yet.  I've learned not to "get off" a horse I like even under worst case scenarios.  I am still turning Blazing over in my mind for a longshot.  


Horses who may be in my exotics down the line, but I don't think can WIN (on dry track) are Practical Move, Tapit Trice, Angel of Empire, Two Phils, Rocket Can, Mage, Verifying, Sun Thunder, Raise Cain, and Cyclone Mischief if he gets in.  If I had to place a wager to day I am not even sure I would put Forte in the win spot, either.  But I like him a LOT. 

Take all this with a grain of salt, as I have a lot of "uncovering" to do. 
 

Wintertrian

From: Wintertrian

4/13/23

RAESFAN said...

Two Phil’s - I was impressed with his Turfway prep. You always want see a horse run fast while stretching out. The surface doesn’t bother me, as I picked Animal Kingdom a while back.

I included in my list for exotics, but not for my WIN spot   He is very tactical, and won on Slop at CD.  Nice Lasix Free horse who can run on AW and dirt.    Hard not to like a Hard Spun anyway and ND sireline is okay in my book. 

Oldbettowin

From: Oldbettowin

4/13/23

Continuar and Dura Erede have both been “striked through” on Downey’s road to the derby list, so hopefully the Mandarin gets in (23rd or 24th on his list) and we can still hit the exacta :D

SameSteve G

From: SameSteve G

4/13/23

Dura Erede is pointing to the Tokyo Yushun [Japanese Derby] on May 28.  I do not know why Downey put a line through Continuar.  He is at Churchill and pointing to the Kentucky Derby.

Downey wouldn't be the only one getting that wrong, either.

Box!!   LOL

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