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I’ve only had good results with 2 avatars - the Dryad has brought me more wins than all the others combined, & the Spring Fairy does fairly well against Anabel.
I am not sure, it seems to work differently for players and at times and depending on your opponent.
Annabel seems to be more generous to the Knight and vice versa. The dragon is more susceptible to a female character, against the chamberlain the wizard of lightning did very well for me, I think the black pirate was rather good against Salty.
During an event the new characters tend to do better. Last Halloween I used the Demoness, for over two weeks I won at least 2 out of three. Stopped working one day after the event.
When an avatar fails me twice in a row he or she is replaced.
During a castle challenge I test avatars in advance, so that I have a good one on start.
While some people subscribe to using a particular avatar for better luck (and I admit to the same practice on occasion), in reality...the avatar makes no difference.
You will end up winning at dice about 43% of the time regardless of what avatar is used.
My theory is this ...
In any game where the chances are random, I believe the outcome has already been set BEFORE you do the first thing. And this doesn't just pertain to MC.
I tend to agree. The moderators confirmed on the BF forum site that when you open an HOS, the item received is selected at that time. It matters not how fast you complete the room.